Digital Auto Care Factbook & Lang Annual 2018 - 13

Auto Care Industry Sales History and Forecast
Auto Care Sales by Channel: History & Forecast
(USD Millions)

Auto Care Sales by Channel: History & Forecast (USD Millions)

5 YR
CAGR

NAICS

2007
Census

2012
Census

2013#

2014#

2015#

2016#

2017*

2018*

2019*

2020*

811111

30,961

34,957

35,905

36,987

38,681

40,469

42,014

43,382

44,958

46,624

Automotive body, paint, and interior repair and
maintenance

811121

22,855

27,912

28,616

29,394

30,299

31,336

32,328

33,144

34,133

Car washes

811192

5,306

6,903

7,153

7,424

7,717

8,066

8,441

8,779

9,136

Automotive oil change and lubrication shops

811191

4,563

5,078

5,220

5,391

5,599

5,879

6,149

6,398

Automotive glass replacement shops

811122

3,023

3,098

3,194

3,300

3,419

3,568

3,699

Automotive transmission repair

811113

2,613

2,230

2,217

2,217

2,234

2,259

2,302

General automotive repair

5 YR
8 YR
CAGR CAGR

(07-12) (12-17) (12-20)
2.5%

3.7%

3.7%

35,121

4.1%

3.0%

2.9%

9,491

5.4%

4.1%

4.1%

6,657

6,933

2.2%

3.9%

4.0%

3,808

3,938

4,065

0.5%

3.6%

3.5%

2,359

2,436

2,515

-3.1%

0.6%

1.5%

Other automotive mechanical and electrical repair and
maintenance

811118

2,118

1,686

1,723

1,768

1,823

1,879

1,941

2,000

2,068

2,143

-4.5%

2.8%

3.0%

All other automotive repair and maintenance

811198

1,093

1,374

1,400

1,429

1,466

1,499

1,542

1,586

1,631

1,678

4.7%

2.3%

2.5%

Automotive exhaust system repair

811112

1,357

714

714

717

724

731

744

759

782

806 -12.0%

0.8%

1.5%

8114

20

108

110

113

116

117

120

122

125

127

39.6%

2.1%

2.0%

73,910

84,060

86,253

88,738

92,077

95,804

99,280

102,337

105,864

109,504

2.6%

3.4%

3.4%

2.6%

2.9%

3.8%

4.0%

3.6%

3.1%

3.4%

3.4%

Personal and household goods repair and maintenance
Total Services
Year/Year Percent Change
Automotive parts and accessories stores

441310

22,576

27,473

28,304

29,340

30,437

31,532

32,495

33,379

34,298

35,197

4.0%

3.4%

3.1%

Tire dealers

441320

14,742

17,402

17,962

18,617

19,387

20,102

20,704

21,236

21,863

22,460

3.4%

3.5%

3.2%

Warehouse clubs and supercenters

452910

8,120

14,351

15,494

16,710

17,906

19,029

20,148

21,180

22,221

23,270

12.1%

7.0%

6.2%

4541

4,143

7,141

7,877

8,690

9,621

10,578

11,561

12,662

13,784

14,902

11.5%

10.1%

9.6%

Other gasoline stations

447190

5,605

4,337

4,431

4,525

4,624

4,726

4,842

4,966

5,091

5,208

-5.0%

2.2%

2.3%

Gasoline stations with convenience stores

447110

4,073

3,620

3,769

3,924

4,069

4,229

4,350

4,477

4,626

4,774

-2.3%

3.7%

3.5%

Discount department stores

452112

2,744

2,339

2,388

2,435

2,487

2,520

2,571

2,629

2,682

2,730

-3.1%

1.9%

2.0%

42

1,911

1,916

1,964

2,013

2,067

2,129

2,182

2,237

2,291

2,340

0.0%

2.6%

2.5%

452990

813

1,186

1,235

1,285

1,340

1,386

1,444

1,506

1,568

1,629

7.8%

4.0%

4.1%

45431

487

757

791

829

870

913

957

1,001

1,047

1,094

9.2%

4.8%

4.7%
2.0%

Electronic shopping and mail-order houses

Wholesale Trade
All other general merchandise stores
Fuel dealers

4442

646

336

344

351

359

364

371

379

387

394 -12.2%

2.0%

Hardware stores

Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores

444130

236

236

239

241

244

245

248

251

253

255

0.0%

1.0%

1.0%

Department stores (except discount department stores)

452111

89

129

134

138

144

150

156

162

168

174

7.7%

3.9%

3.8%

Supermarkets and other grocery
(except convenience) stores

445110

49

98

105

111

118

124

132

140

149

157

15.0%

6.1%

6.0%

Electronics and appliance stores

4431

59

99

102

104

106

107

109

112

114

116

11.0%

1.9%

1.9%

Sporting goods stores

451110

62

77

80

84

88

92

96

100

104

109

4.5%

4.5%

4.3%

Convenience stores

445120

90

71

73

74

76

77

79

81

82

84

-4.5%

2.0%

2.0%

Pharmacies and drug stores

446110

60

52

54

55

56

58

59

60

62

63

-2.8%

2.3%

2.3%

All others (Incl. Home Centers 444110)

Various

140

48

50

53

54

56

58

60

61

63 -19.3%

3.9%

3.5%

Other building material dealers

444190
Total Retail

77

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

66,723

81,714

85,440

89,626

94,101

98,466

102,612

106,667

110,903

115,071

4.6%

4.9%

5.0%

4.6%

4.2%

4.0%

4.0%

3.8%

171,693

178,364

186,178

194,270

201,892

209,004

216,766

224,575

3.6%

3.9%

4.4%

4.3%

3.9%

3.5%

3.7%

3.6%

Year/Year Percent Change
Total Independent Market

140,632

165,774

Year/Year Percent Change

52 -10.6%

2.0%

2.0%

4.1%

4.7%

4.4%

3.3%

4.0%

3.9%

New car dealers

441110

61,316

67,026

68,713

71,014

73,943

77,165

79,215

81,451

83,710

85,892

1.8%

3.4%

3.1%

Used car dealers

441120

1,708

1,908

1,939

1,972

2,018

2,061

2,108

2,155

2,218

2,280

2.2%

2.0%

2.3%

Other motor vehicle dealers

4412
Total Dealer

4,262

3,580

3,589

3,600

3,628

3,640

3,653

3,659

3,667

3,667

-3.4%

0.4%

0.3%

67,286

72,513

74,241

76,586

79,588

82,866

84,975

87,265

89,595

91,840

1.5%

3.2%

3.0%

2.4%

3.2%

3.9%

4.1%

2.5%

2.7%

2.7%

2.5%

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

$186,178 $194,270 $201,892

$209,004

Year/Year Percent Change
Sales Summary

2007

Total Independent Share
Dealers

2012

2013

2014

$140,632 $165,774

$171,693

$178,364

$74,241

$76,586

$67,286

Total Auto Care Market

$72,513

$79,588

$207,919 $238,287 $245,935 $254,951 $265,767
Year/Year Percent Change

3.2%

3.7%

4.2%

$82,866

$277,136 $286,867
4.3%

3.3%

4.0%

3.9%

$91,840

1.5%

3.2%

3.0%

$296,269 $306,361 $316,414

2.8%

3.8%

3.6%

$84,975

$87,265

3.5%

3.3%

$216,766 $224,575
$89,595
3.4%

3.3%

Market Share Summary
Total Independent Share

67.6%

69.6%

69.8%

70.0%

70.1%

70.1%

70.4%

70.5%

70.8%

71.0%

Dealers

32.4%

30.4%

30.2%

30.0%

29.9%

29.9%

29.6%

29.5%

29.2%

29.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

100.0%

Total Market Share

Notes: # Estimated
* Forecast (**) Auto Parts and Accessories store sales include those sales to the general public.
Source: Auto Care Association / AASA Channel Forecast Model.

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13
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Digital Auto Care Factbook & Lang Annual 2018
