Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 52

Medium and Heavy Duty Auto Care Industry

Our latest forecast for the period
from 2018 to 2021 correlates with the
continued economic recovery and
anticipates a growth trend that is also
predicted to benefit the light vehicle auto
care industry, as discussed
in earlier sections.

$106.6

$110
$100
$78.9 $81.6

Note:
#
Estimate
* Forecast
Historical data have
been revised.

$84.4

$73.9

$70

Source:
Auto Care Association

$60
$50
$40

2011

2012 2013# 2014# 2015# 2016# 2017# 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*

Single Unit(1) and Combination(2) Truck Miles Driven,
2007-2016 (Millions of Miles)
$320,000
304,178

310,680

$300,000

288,005 286,585

$280,000

275,018 279,132 279,844

287,895

267,207 268,318

$260,000
$240,000
$220,000
$200,000

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

Definitions:
(1) Single-Unit - single frame
trucks that have 2-Axles
and at least 6 tires or a
gross vehicle weight rating
exceeding 10,000 lbs.
(2) Combination Trucks - Prior
criteria used description:
"Heavy Duty Trucks" to
capture this class of vehicle.

Source: U.S. Department of Transportation / Highway Statistics

Sales and Shipments of Truck Replacement
Tire Retreads, 2007-2017
$8
$7
$6

19.2
$7.3

$7.4

$5

19

$6.9

18

$5.8

16.7
15.5

$4

$3.8

$3.4

$3.7

15.3

14.8

14.9

14.3

$3.6
15.6

$3.4

17

$3.2
$2.9

14.8

16
15

$3

14

$2
$1
$0

20

13

12.5
2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Tire Shipments
(right axis)

Tire & Retread Sales
(left axis)

12

Shipments (in Millions)

$9

Note:
Historical data have
been revised.
The large shipment on
retread tires was due
to record demand for
such tires.
Sources:
Auto Care Association,
Modern Tire Dealer's
January 2018 Facts
Issue

Truck Tonnage Analysis
(% change in 12 - Month Moving Total campared to same month of previous year)
9.0
7.0
5.0

2.8
2.4 2.2 2.0 2.5 2.4
3.0 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.3

1.0

2.4
1.9 1.5 1.4

3.5

0.8 0.6 0.7 0.5 1.2
2.3

-1.0
-3.0
-5.0
-7.0
-9.0
-11.0

52

$103.1

$93.3

$87.2 $90.2

$90
$80

$99.7

$96.4

Jan-16
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan-17
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec

For 2011, the U.S. Department of
Transportation (DOT) updated its data
to be registrations-based and made
fleet-appropriate adjustments to its
vehicle classes. For continuity, DOT also
published corresponding historical data
updates. In this edition of the Factbook,
appropriate historical updates have been
applied where sales figures transitioned
to registration-based data and/or where
weight classes were recalibrated.

(Billions of Retail Dollars)

Sales (in Billions)

In 2009, we recalibrated our predictive
index to more closely correlate to miles
driven for these classes of vehicles. The
resulting baseline revealed the close
correlation between medium and heavyduty auto care sales, miles traveled,
tonnage hauled, tires replaced and more.
The recession years of 2008 and 2009, as
well as the beginnings of recovery signaled
in 2010, reveal the correlations.

Medium and Heavy Duty Industry Sales

% Change in Truck Tonnage Index

The auto care industry's medium and
heavy-duty segment includes parts,
accessories, non-warranty service
repair and maintenance for commercial,
industrial and agricultural vehicles falling
within weight classes four through
eight. Usage of these vehicles and their
demand for replacement parts is strongly
connected to the prosperity of the U.S.
economy. As demand for goods and
services grows, so does movement of
raw materials and finished goods; making
good on the old metaphor that over the
road commercial trucks are the lifeblood
carrying essentials of society along
America's arteries.

The 2019 Digital Factbook is Copyright © 2019 Auto Care Association and/or its licensor. 
All other rights reserved.  Use of the 2019 Digital Factbook is subject to compliance with the Legal Terms and Conditions found on page 119 of this report.

Sources:
Auto Care Industry Indicators
Report, American Trucking
Associations



Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019

Introductory Page
Letter from Bill Hanvey, President/CEO
Auto Care Association Legal Terms and Conditions
Market Intelligence Committee
Economic Indicators (section)
Key Economic Indicators
National Debt
Industry Employment
Technician Employment and Wages
What Do Our Members Think? / Key Issues
BCI/ECI Summary
U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry (section)
Introduction to the Channel Forecast Model
2016 to 2021 Forecast Assumptions
U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry
Auto Care Industry Sales History and Forecast
Auto Care Sales by Distribution Channel
Auto Care Segmentation
Auto Care Service and Retail Outlets
Auto Care Service and Retail Outlet Analysis
Program Distribution Overview
Retail Distribution Overview
Financial Benchmarks (section)
Financial Profiles of Select Auto Care Companies
Select Auto Care Transactions
Auto Care Industry (section)
Consumer Profile
Replacement Rates for Motor Vehicle Parts and Jobs
Top 10 Replacement Rate Categories By Vehicle Age
Auto Care Industry Segments (section)
Medium And Heavy Duty Truck Industry
Sales of Replacement Tires
Tool and Equipment
Paint, Body and Equipment
Vehicle Registrations and Usage (section)
U.S. New Motor Vehicle Registrations
Top 10 Light Vehicle Registrations
U.S. Total Motor Vehicle Population
Hybrid Vehicles
Vehicle Operating Costs
Miles Driven and Vehicle Service Contracts
Gasoline Affordability and Fuel Consumption
Crude Oil and Diesel Fuel Costs
State Summary Statistics (section)
State Summary Statistics tables
Global Auto Care Industry (section)
Aftermarket Dynamics
U.S. Trade Data By Country
Global Vehicle Registrations By Country
Global Economic and Automotive Data
U.S. Trade Data for Selected Motor Vehicle Products
Canadian Auto Care Industry
Mexican Auto Care Industry Report
Chinese Auto Care Industry
Glossary and Reference (section)
Glossary and Terms
NAICS Definitions
Auto Care Data Resources
Auto Care Association Market Intelligence (section)
Auto Care Association Market Intelligence
Auto Care Association – Lang Market Comparison (section)
Harmonization of Auto Care Industry Data
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Introductory Page
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - I
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Letter from Bill Hanvey, President/CEO
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - III
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Market Intelligence Committee
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Economic Indicators (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Key Economic Indicators
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - National Debt
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Industry Employment
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Technician Employment and Wages
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - What Do Our Members Think? / Key Issues
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 8
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Introduction to the Channel Forecast Model
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 2016 to 2021 Forecast Assumptions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Industry Sales History and Forecast
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Sales by Distribution Channel
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Segmentation
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Service and Retail Outlets
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Service and Retail Outlet Analysis
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Program Distribution Overview
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Retail Distribution Overview
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 20
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Financial Benchmarks (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Financial Profiles of Select Auto Care Companies
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 23
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 24
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 25
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 26
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 27
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 28
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 29
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Select Auto Care Transactions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 31
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 32
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 33
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 34
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 35
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 36
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 37
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 38
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 39
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 40
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Industry (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Consumer Profile
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 43
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 44
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 45
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 46
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 47
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Replacement Rates for Motor Vehicle Parts and Jobs
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Top 10 Replacement Rate Categories By Vehicle Age
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 50
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Industry Segments (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Medium And Heavy Duty Truck Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Sales of Replacement Tires
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Tool and Equipment
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Paint, Body and Equipment
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 56
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 57
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 58
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Vehicle Registrations and Usage (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. New Motor Vehicle Registrations
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Top 10 Light Vehicle Registrations
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Total Motor Vehicle Population
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 63
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 64
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Hybrid Vehicles
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 66
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 67
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Vehicle Operating Costs
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Miles Driven and Vehicle Service Contracts
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Crude Oil and Diesel Fuel Costs
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - State Summary Statistics (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - State Summary Statistics tables
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 75
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 76
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 78
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Global Auto Care Industry (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Aftermarket Dynamics
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 81
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Trade Data By Country
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Global Vehicle Registrations By Country
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Global Economic and Automotive Data
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 85
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 86
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 87
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Trade Data for Selected Motor Vehicle Products
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 89
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 90
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 91
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 92
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Canadian Auto Care Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 94
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 95
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Mexican Auto Care Industry Report
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 97
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Chinese Auto Care Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 99
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 100
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Glossary and Reference (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Glossary and Terms
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 103
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 104
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 105
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - NAICS Definitions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Data Resources
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 108
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 109
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 110
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association Market Intelligence (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association Market Intelligence
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 113
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 114
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 115
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 116
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association – Lang Market Comparison (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Harmonization of Auto Care Industry Data
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association Legal Terms and Conditions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Cover4
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