Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 7

BCI-ECI Summary
What Do Our Members Think? (Continued)
According to April, 2018 Results of Auto Care Association / Northwood University
Business and Economic Confidence Index
Chart 1: AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION/NU

Results of the joint Business Confidence Index for April
2018 show that aftermarket business leaders had a slightly
more confident outlook on the economy and the automotive
aftermarket over the next 12 months.

Chart 1: Auto Care
Association/NU
BusinessIndex
Confidence Index
Business
Confidence
50
40

Auto Care Association members completed the 88th
monthly index survey and according to the data:

30
20

0

Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18

10

-10
-20

* The overall Auto Care Association/Northwood University
Automotive Aftermarket Economic Confidence Index
for April 2018 stood at 4.81, down from the March 2018
reading of 25.74 (Chart 2), keeping aftermarket business
leaders on the low side of "slightly more confident" in
the economy as a whole in April (see Table 2). This is the
eighteenth month in a row since November 2017 that the
index has been positive.

-30

Table 1: Auto Care Association/Northwood
University Automotive Aftermarket Business
Confidence Index
Assessment

Numeric Range

April Position:

Significantly Less Confident
Slightly Less Confident

-100 to -51
-50 to -1

21.15

No Change
Slightly More Confident
Significantly More Confident
Current Index Position

0

* The overall Auto Care Association/Northwood University
Automotive Aftermarket Business Confidence Index for
April 2018 was 21.15, down from the March 2018 reading
of 33.09 (Chart 1), keeping aftermarket leaders on the
medium side of the "slightly more confident" category
(see Table 1).

1 to 50
51 to 100

Chart 2: AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION/NU

21.15

Chart 2: Auto Care
Association/NU
Economic
Confidence Index
Economic
Confidence
Index

For more information, contact Auto Care Association
market intelligence at 301-654-6664 or Dr. Timothy G.
Nash, Northwood University at 989-837-4323. These
indices are prepared monthly by Dr. Nash and Northwood
University aftermarket major, Mr. Matt Fusco.

50
40
30
20
10
0

Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18

The 89th monthly installment of the survey was sent to
members on April 4, 2018. Results are calculated monthly
and reported in Auto CarE-news. Member responses will
be used solely in the aggregate and for the purpose of
providing empirical information.

-10
-20
-30
-40
-50

Table 2: Auto Care Association/Northwood University
Automotive Aftermarket Economic Confidence Index

March Position:

4.81

Assessment

Numeric Range

Significantly Less Confident
Slightly Less Confident

-100 to -51
-50 to -1

No Change
Slightly More Confident
Significantly More Confident
Current Index Position

0
1 to 50
51 to 100
4.81

The 2019 Digital Factbook is Copyright © 2019 Auto Care Association and/or its licensor. 
All other rights reserved.  Use of the 2019 Digital Factbook is subject to compliance with the Legal Terms and Conditions found on page 119 of this report.

7



Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019

Introductory Page
Letter from Bill Hanvey, President/CEO
Auto Care Association Legal Terms and Conditions
Market Intelligence Committee
Economic Indicators (section)
Key Economic Indicators
National Debt
Industry Employment
Technician Employment and Wages
What Do Our Members Think? / Key Issues
BCI/ECI Summary
U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry (section)
Introduction to the Channel Forecast Model
2016 to 2021 Forecast Assumptions
U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry
Auto Care Industry Sales History and Forecast
Auto Care Sales by Distribution Channel
Auto Care Segmentation
Auto Care Service and Retail Outlets
Auto Care Service and Retail Outlet Analysis
Program Distribution Overview
Retail Distribution Overview
Financial Benchmarks (section)
Financial Profiles of Select Auto Care Companies
Select Auto Care Transactions
Auto Care Industry (section)
Consumer Profile
Replacement Rates for Motor Vehicle Parts and Jobs
Top 10 Replacement Rate Categories By Vehicle Age
Auto Care Industry Segments (section)
Medium And Heavy Duty Truck Industry
Sales of Replacement Tires
Tool and Equipment
Paint, Body and Equipment
Vehicle Registrations and Usage (section)
U.S. New Motor Vehicle Registrations
Top 10 Light Vehicle Registrations
U.S. Total Motor Vehicle Population
Hybrid Vehicles
Vehicle Operating Costs
Miles Driven and Vehicle Service Contracts
Gasoline Affordability and Fuel Consumption
Crude Oil and Diesel Fuel Costs
State Summary Statistics (section)
State Summary Statistics tables
Global Auto Care Industry (section)
Aftermarket Dynamics
U.S. Trade Data By Country
Global Vehicle Registrations By Country
Global Economic and Automotive Data
U.S. Trade Data for Selected Motor Vehicle Products
Canadian Auto Care Industry
Mexican Auto Care Industry Report
Chinese Auto Care Industry
Glossary and Reference (section)
Glossary and Terms
NAICS Definitions
Auto Care Data Resources
Auto Care Association Market Intelligence (section)
Auto Care Association Market Intelligence
Auto Care Association – Lang Market Comparison (section)
Harmonization of Auto Care Industry Data
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Introductory Page
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - I
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Letter from Bill Hanvey, President/CEO
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - III
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Market Intelligence Committee
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Economic Indicators (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Key Economic Indicators
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - National Debt
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Industry Employment
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Technician Employment and Wages
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - What Do Our Members Think? / Key Issues
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 8
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Introduction to the Channel Forecast Model
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 2016 to 2021 Forecast Assumptions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Motor Vehicle Auto Care Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Industry Sales History and Forecast
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Sales by Distribution Channel
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Segmentation
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Service and Retail Outlets
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Service and Retail Outlet Analysis
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Program Distribution Overview
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Retail Distribution Overview
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 20
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Financial Benchmarks (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Financial Profiles of Select Auto Care Companies
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 23
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 24
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 25
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 26
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 27
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 28
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 29
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Select Auto Care Transactions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 31
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 32
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 33
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 34
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 35
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 36
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 37
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 38
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 39
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 40
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Industry (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Consumer Profile
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 43
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 44
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 45
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 46
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 47
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Replacement Rates for Motor Vehicle Parts and Jobs
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Top 10 Replacement Rate Categories By Vehicle Age
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 50
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Industry Segments (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Medium And Heavy Duty Truck Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Sales of Replacement Tires
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Tool and Equipment
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Paint, Body and Equipment
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 56
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 57
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 58
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Vehicle Registrations and Usage (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. New Motor Vehicle Registrations
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Top 10 Light Vehicle Registrations
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Total Motor Vehicle Population
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 63
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 64
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Hybrid Vehicles
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 66
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 67
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Vehicle Operating Costs
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Miles Driven and Vehicle Service Contracts
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Crude Oil and Diesel Fuel Costs
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - State Summary Statistics (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - State Summary Statistics tables
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 75
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 76
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - BCI/ECI Summary
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 78
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Global Auto Care Industry (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Aftermarket Dynamics
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 81
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Trade Data By Country
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Global Vehicle Registrations By Country
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Global Economic and Automotive Data
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 85
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 86
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 87
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - U.S. Trade Data for Selected Motor Vehicle Products
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 89
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 90
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 91
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 92
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Canadian Auto Care Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 94
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 95
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Mexican Auto Care Industry Report
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 97
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Chinese Auto Care Industry
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 99
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 100
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Glossary and Reference (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Glossary and Terms
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 103
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 104
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 105
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - NAICS Definitions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Data Resources
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 108
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 109
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 110
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association Market Intelligence (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association Market Intelligence
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 113
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 114
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 115
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - 116
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association – Lang Market Comparison (section)
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Harmonization of Auto Care Industry Data
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Auto Care Association Legal Terms and Conditions
Digital Auto Care Factbook 2019 - Cover4
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