Signs of the Times - June 2014 - (Page 14)
Te c h no lo gy U p date
By Darek Johnson
Should You Raise Your Prices?
Darek Johnson
is ST's Senior
Technology Editor/
Analyst. Email him
at darek.johnson@
stmediagroup.com
Rising fuel costs affect operating costs and the price
of plastics; also, will steel prices rise?
As gas-pump prices continue to
increase, and IBISWorld forecasts
steel price hikes, should signmakers
consider raising their prices?
"L
ower gas prices predicted for
2014" read the January 9 Hamilton
Journal-News headline, where writer
Brian Kollars' lead paragraph said
"The cost of filling up at the pump
is expected to drop this year, experts
say, while Ohio drivers can expect
more of the dramatic gasoline price
spikes and dips that have been
commonplace in recent years."
Most of us measure oil costs at
the gas pump. We think in unleaded
gallons, not barrels of tight or sweet
oil. We also easily forget that oil
prices affect plastic prices, and fuel's
price effect on delivered goods and
commodities.
Coffee, beer and enchilada sauce,
for example.
Ohio gasoline-price fluctuations
have been so extreme that, in 2010
and 2011, the Federal Trade Commission investigated the phenomena.
Its report said price cycling was a
phenomenon of the upper Midwest
and up-and-down prices were harmless to consumers.
Isn't that an observation, and not
an answer?
And, which consumers did they
ask?
Such extreme fluctuation is
described as an Edgeworth price
cycle. It's an economics term that
describes asymmetric price cutting.
The cycle is uneven because the
undercutting is generally slow,
but price restorations happen
concurrently.
In March, and within two days,
southern Ohio gasoline prices
escalated by 30¢ per gallon. The
morning news said factory repairs
and the process of converting to
14 SIGNS OF THE TIMES June 2014
summer fuel blends were the reasons.
"Summer blend" is the refiners'
process to conform to established
EPA standards for fuel that's blended
for the hotter seasons. The commonly accepted reason is pollution,
but, in truth, the blending - summer
or winter - allows gasoline to meet
the proper Reid vapor pressure (RVP).
RVP is a measure of gasoline's
volatility. It's the liquid's absolute
vapor pressure exerted at 100° F.
High-vapor pressure aids winter
starting (less fuel buildup in the
firing chamber), but detrimentally
adds vapor-lock problems in summer
heat, so oil refiners remix the fuel
when the seasons change.
If you've ever owned an old V-8
truck, you know about vapor locks.
Essentially, ambient heat causes fuel
to vaporize in the gas lines, which
stops the fuel flow, and the truck.
That American oil refineries
seasonally engineer - blend - their
fuel to aid drivers and meet the
EPA standards is cool. But, stop the
plant? By now, you'd think they'd
have streamlined the process.
If you're in California, your low
gasoline prices are due to the Alaskan
pipeline that tubes oil directly to
your state refineries.
Originally, exporting Trans-Alaska
Pipeline-transported crude oil was
illegal. This ban, written in the
original deal, justified the pipeline's
passing through unspoiled wilderness
regions. That Alaskan oil was to only
benefit U.S. consumers justified
any environmental harm.
Between 1996 and 2004, U.S.
refineries exported nearly 95.49
million barrels of Alaskan crude oil
to foreign countries. The offshore
flow stopped in 2004, although the
rules don't exclude the export of
refined, petroleum-based products.
In November 2012, a Los Angeles
Times headline said U.S. fuel exports
have grown to historic levels and
then added "Energy experts say
increased fuel exporting by U.S.
refiners is one of the reasons that
gasoline and diesel prices have
been so high."
Hydraulic fracturing - fracking
- in oil fields is the excess source
and, of course, there's Canada's oilsand deposits.
"We should look to Mexico,
Canada and Venezuela, to see where
our cheap U.S. fuel is going," wrote
LA Times writer Ronald D. White.
He quoted the U.S. Energy Dept.,
which said refiners are selling diesel
and gasoline to those and other
countries at historically high levels.
U.S. exports of finished, refinedpetroleum products, including
gasoline and diesel, have risen
more than 123% since 2006, to an
average of more than 107 million
gallons a day.
California, according to U.S.
Customs districts in Los Angeles,
San Francisco and San Diego,
exported 37.9 million gallons of
gasoline and 117.9 million gallons
of distillates, including diesel, in
2012, White said.
Texas and Louisiana accounted
for more than 60% of U.S. energy
exports in 2012, with a combined
value of over $87 billion.
Will gasoline prices continue to
increase and, therefore, cause plastic
and commodities prices to increase?
Economics 101: expanded supplies/higher demand + increased
markets = higher prices.
Steel
IBISWorld Inc., a publisher of business intelligence (ibisworld.com),
distributes various research reports,
and one recently said "Bolstered by
demand growth from recovering
construction and industrial sectors,
the rising price of steel is weighing
http://www.ibisworld.com
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Signs of the Times - June 2014
Signs of the Times - June 2014
Columns & Departments
Features
ST Update
Technology Update
What Shops Need to Know about Windows XP
Vinyl Apps
Strictly Electric
LED Update
Software Update
Technology Review: X-Rite’s ColorTRUE app
Technology Review: Color-Logic’s process metallic color system
New Products
Advertising index
Editorially speaking
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