American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 142

ConventionCoverage: Independent Oil & Gas Association of New York
slowly toward ‘impracticability,’ a concept based on economics. “It is a made-up word,” Schetroma conceded. “Moving from physical impossibility to economic impossibility makes sense. I think that is where the law is going, but the motion toward it is glacial because there are not a lot of cases and the courts are reluctant to give up the safe harbor of telling you that you should have thought about (every foreseeable contingency). “I hear landowner lawyers all over the country say I cannot seriously argue that clients operating in a business requiring governmental oversight should not be held to anticipate governmental insanity,” he added. “In today’s world, they may be right, but dare we let that become the law?” Schetroma maintained that operators would be wise to draft extensive force majeure clauses that explicitly defined impracticability as the applicable standard. He also advised them that contractual force majeure clauses should tackle the possibility of extended commodity price swings. “To do less is irrational,” he asserted. Down The Rabbit Hole Halloran’s remarks drew on parallels between Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland and the oil and gas markets, which he said seemingly had disappeared into a confusing, nonsense world. Lackluster natural gas prices ordinarily prompt a corresponding rig count drop, he observed, but the number of U.S. horizontal gas wells actually was climbing. “As Alice would say, it just gets curiouser and curiouser,” Halloran compared. He mentioned a legion of contributing factors, but suggested the most important reason was that producers drilled wells and would continue to do so as long as they had the needed capital. Unfortunately, he forecast, companies’ strategies for enduring low prices could prolong the market slump. He noted that producers’ drilling efficiency improvements were trimming costs, but they also were quickly bringing on line more wells. Meanwhile, operators’ emphasis on improving profitability by targeting liquids-rich plays had the side effect of boosting gas supplies. “Liquids-rich plays are very rich in gas, as well,” Halloran pointed out. “The Granite Wash and the Eagle Ford produce almost as much gas as the top (dry gas) plays.” he suggested, includes similarly counterintuitive implications. Halloran said some evidence signaled a coming slide in leasing rates that could end the type of expensive land grabs that accompanied other states’ resource plays. He also observed that the state’s high-volume fracturing moratorium had prevented operators from producing still more natural gas in a market already flush with it. By the time Marcellus activity hits its stride in New York, he suggested, land prices could be lower and gas prices higher. “While you may not like to think of it that way, given the scenario of the last couple years, the state moratorium may have been a blessing,” he remarked. Borderline Differences EID’s Shepstone described how Marcellus activity could help revive western New York’s economy. Trends regarding population, median age, real estate, manufacturing, construction and unemployment suggest regional decline, he said. Nevertheless, he emphasized that such a slide need not continue, pointing across the state’s southern border to Bradford County, Pa. “The unemployment rate there during the last two years basically has been 5-6 percent,” he detailed. “Compare this with its neighbor, Sullivan County, N.Y., where unemployment was above 9 percent in September and would be even higher if not for many New York State workers going to Pennsylvania to get jobs.” Shepstone also showed that Marcellus activity had increased property values in a number of counties. Even after he accounted for property taxes’ role in the disparity, he said Keystone State properties along the border could fetch as much as $5,000 an acre more than the ones sold by their Empire State neighbors. “That is the difference of crossing the border, and it largely is attributable to natural gas,” he said. But such prosperity is not limited to those working in the industry, Shepstone continued. He cited a Pennsylvania State University analysis that showed a third of Bradford County businesses–including the retail, restaurant, wholesale and lodging sectors–saw their sales increase because of drilling activity. “It has helped business across the board–every type of business, including tourism,” Shepstone reported. “We keep hearing this will destroy tourism. It is

The market into which New York’s future Marcellus production will be sold could yield a stronger price than producers receive in the current climate, suggests PNC Wealth Management analyst James Halloran.

He suggested shale gas wells’ steep decline curves eventually should help alleviate the gas surplus. Halloran also noted that previous public policies that singled-out oil and gas companies historically had corresponded with higher price eras. Should the industry find itself saddled with significant new regulations and higher taxes, he said it also would have reason to hope for better commodity prices. With the Powerplant and Industrial Fuel Use Act of 1978, industry regulation caused prices to go up, even as industrial production went down, Halloran observed. “With deregulation, demand went up but the wellhead price slipped considerably,” he recalled. “Now, we are in a situation in which the regulatory environment is taking off again.” Similarly, he said regulatory pressure on coal-fired electrical generation also should help gas prices. He cited projections that estimated gas-fired generation’s market share could grow from 24 to 32 percent by 2015. On the other hand, he questioned the viability of U.S. liquefied natural gas exports. “I am a 100 percent doubter that it ever will be economically feasible,” he declared. “It may happen for a short time, but in my opinion it will be a destruction of capital.” The outlook for New York producers,

142 THE AMERICAN OIL & GAS REPORTER



Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011

American Oil and Gas Reporter 12/11
Contents
Reports
Calendar
Oil & Gas Counts
State Legislative
Industry Digest
Tech Connections
Washington Watch
Keystone XL
Liaison Committee
Shale Gas Subcommittee
Endangered Species
Midstream Startups Emerging to Meet Booming Demand
Liquids Resource Plays Have Oil Production Rising Again
Organizers Anticipating Big Things for 2012 PBIOS
Cover Story
R&D Areas Key to Improving Fracturing
Natural Gas Offers Solutions as Transportation Fuel
Completion Design, Frac Modeling Optimize Eagle Ford Wells
Novel Drill-In Fluid Excels in Horizontal ERD Wells
Technologies Optimize Sand Control
Operators Must Manage Risk Before, During and After Drilling
OCS Access: BOEM Offers Business-as-Usual OCS Leasing Plan
Court Finds for Insurers in Gulf Spill Ruling
OIPA
Clean Air Act
IOGA NY
COGA
IPAA Annual
Louisiana
West Virginia
Pennsylvania
Texas
The American Well Servicing Directory, Winter 2011
Industry Focus
Classified Advertising
Advertisers Index
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - American Oil and Gas Reporter 12/11
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Cover2
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Contents
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Reports
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 5
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 6
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 7
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Calendar
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 9
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 10
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 11
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Oil & Gas Counts
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 13
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Industry Digest
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 15
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 16
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 17
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 18
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 19
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 20
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 21
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 22
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 23
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 24
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 25
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 26
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 27
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 28
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Tech Connections
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 30
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Washington Watch
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Keystone XL
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 33
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Liaison Committee
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 35
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 36
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 37
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Shale Gas Subcommittee
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 39
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Endangered Species
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 41
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Midstream Startups Emerging to Meet Booming Demand
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 43
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 44
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 45
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 46
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 47
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 48
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 49
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 50
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 51
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 52
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 53
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 54
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 55
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 56
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 57
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Liquids Resource Plays Have Oil Production Rising Again
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 59
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 60
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 61
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 62
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 63
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 64
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 65
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 66
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 67
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 68
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 69
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 70
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 71
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 72
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Organizers Anticipating Big Things for 2012 PBIOS
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Cover Story
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 75
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 76
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 77
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 78
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 79
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 80
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 81
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 82
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - R&D Areas Key to Improving Fracturing
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 84
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 85
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 86
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 87
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 88
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 89
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 90
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Natural Gas Offers Solutions as Transportation Fuel
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 92
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 93
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 94
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 95
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Completion Design, Frac Modeling Optimize Eagle Ford Wells
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 97
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 98
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 99
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 100
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 101
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 102
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 103
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 104
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 105
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 106
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 107
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 108
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 109
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 110
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Novel Drill-In Fluid Excels in Horizontal ERD Wells
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 112
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 113
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 114
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 115
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 116
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Technologies Optimize Sand Control
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 118
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 119
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 120
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 121
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Operators Must Manage Risk Before, During and After Drilling
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 123
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 124
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 125
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 126
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 127
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 128
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - OCS Access: BOEM Offers Business-as-Usual OCS Leasing Plan
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Court Finds for Insurers in Gulf Spill Ruling
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 131
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 132
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - OIPA
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 134
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 135
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Clean Air Act
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 137
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - IOGA NY
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 139
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 140
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 141
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 142
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 143
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - COGA
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 145
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 146
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - IPAA Annual
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 148
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 149
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 150
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 151
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Louisiana
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 153
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 154
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 155
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - West Virginia
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 157
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Pennsylvania
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Texas
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 160
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - The American Well Servicing Directory, Winter 2011
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 162
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 163
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 164
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 165
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 166
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 167
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 168
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 169
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 170
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 171
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 172
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 173
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 174
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 175
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 176
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 177
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 178
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 179
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 180
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 181
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 182
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 183
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 184
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 185
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Industry Focus
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 187
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 188
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 189
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 190
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 191
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Classified Advertising
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - 193
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Advertisers Index
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Cover3
American Oil & Gas Reporter - December 2011 - Cover4
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