AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 102

shoulders with many great names in meteorology, but so much else is dubious about his work that the American Meteorological Society (AMS) censured him in the 1950s, citing the improbability of accurate forecasting for months ahead. AOPAPILOT There were other claims that aroused suspicion. Krick claimed to have made the critical forecast that dictated the timing of the D-Day invasion of Europe in June 1944. Wrong, according to Group Captain James M. Stagg of the British meteorological team that headed up the forecasting effort. Krick, he said, was just one American on the Allied forecasting team. Krick also claimed to have made a 1969 forecast of the drought that hit 50 years manifestation of real-time weather, nothing beats today’s datalink weather and on-board weather sensors. Airborne weather radar was in its infancy in Krick’s day, but is now standard on larger aircraft, continually painting the location of precipitation—and even turbulence. Lightning detectors, available since the 1970s, also provide real-time weather information in the cockpit. Most recently pilots have clamored in droves to datalink weather, which provides in-cockpit, near-real time views of high-resolution Nexrad radar imagery, fronts, satellite imagery, surface observations, TAFs, winds aloft, airmets, sigmets, TFRs, and lots more, giving pilots of even the smallest piston singles the ability to monitor a huge amount of weather information. It’s equipment that many instrument pilots consider essential for instrument flying, and that most manufacturers provide as standard equipment in new airplanes. Datalink has revolutionized the way we obtain in-flight weather and make in-flight weather decisions, and has almost certainly helped reduce weather-related accidents. Apart from a few science fiction writers, this too was way, way outside the scope of conventional thinking in the Weathercast days. Now we have a way of identifying and avoiding the kinds of small-scale, intense weather phenomena that Krick could never hope to predict. He painted in broad strokes with limited data, using vague techniques to make vague assumptions far into the future. With models, online, onboard, and datalink weather, we use scads of data to pinpoint adverse weather in great detail, and in time frames relevant to our flights. That’s weather information of true value, because it’s the small-scale weather events that pose the most danger. Sweeping forecasts like Krick’s are nice to know, but have little value once your wheels leave the ground. —TAH Weather: That was then, this is now Compared to forecasting methods used near real time. Ditto airliner broadcasts of winds and temperatures aloft. All of in the days of Irving Krick’s Weatherthis information—and more—is fed into casts, today’s weather forecasts, supercomputers, which then crunch observations, and means of disseminathe numbers and come up with graphic tion are infinitely more accurate, and representations of anticipated atmosquick as lightning. The biggest differpheric conditions. Most of the models ence between forecasting then and depict four aspects of the atmosphere. now is computer power. Krick relied on One is vorticity and pressure levels a single artificial construct of the in the upper levels, at 18,000 or atmosphere—or model—generated 30,000 feet msl. This with limited informatells forecasters tion and updated at where atmospheric what must have been “spin” is located. an extremely slow Counterclockwise rorate. Now there are tational movement dozens of much more can give rise to surhighly advanced comface low pressure, puter models, conand so predict fronts stantly running on and severe storms. high-speed supercomAnother depiction is puters, with most of the atmosphere’s them updated twice thickness between daily. Some, such as the surface and the RUC (rapid up18,000 feet; this date cycle) are updatToday’s datalink weather services helps locate where ed every three hours, show clouds, precipitation, fronts, fronts, lows and highs and thus give rolling and storm movements in near real will be, and the nature forecast updates for of any precipitation the following 12 hours. time. Krick would be impressed! they may contain. AnOther models forecast out to five days or more. Still others are other representation shows moisture concentrations in the mid-levels of the tailor-made for studying hurricanes and atmosphere. And the final image shows tropical storms. anticipated rainfall amounts and temModern models use complex algoperatures. But while all this information rithms to come up with forecast condiis computer-derived, the job of intertions. Most of the information plugged preting still falls to a meteorologist sitinto these algorithms wasn’t available ting at his display console. in Krick’s time (with the exception of And let’s not forget the revolutionweather balloons, which are still timeary impact the Internet has had on tested reporters of temperatures and weather dissemination. Anyone with a pressures aloft). Among the information not available to Krick is multi-chan- personal computer—something that no one envisioned in the late 1950s—can nel satellite imagery, which lets us see access huge amounts of forecast inforstorms form well in advance, follow mation. This ranges from the raw infortheir motion, and determine their charmation from the models themselves, to acteristics. A vast network of weather the very specific observations and forebuoys also transmits vital information on pressure, winds, waves, and temper- casts provided by such means as AOPA Online, DUATS providers, and several atures. Automated weather observaprivate weather services. tions from ASOS and AWOS installaIt doesn’t end there. In the ultimate tions help us keep track of weather in AOPA PILOT • 102 • MARCH 2008

AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008

AOPA Pilot - March 2008
Contents
President’s Position
Hangar Talk
AOPA Action
Catch-A-Cardinal Sweepstakes
Pilot Briefing
Letters
Waypoints
Proficient Pilot
Pilotage
License to Learn
Safety Pilot
Pilot Counsel
AOPA Pilot’s 50th Anniversary: First 50
AOPA’s Big Idea
Magazine Milestones
Designs Through the Years
Location, Location
Cessna 182: Then and Now
Irving Krick’s ‘Weathercasts’
The Ladies Fly
The 36-Pound Radio
Whatever Happened To...?
The GA Fleet—Through the Decades
The Lucky Ones
America’s Airports: Tale of a Gem
Endurance Test, Circa 1958
Test Pilot
Never Again
Fly by Wire
Pilots
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - AOPA Pilot - March 2008
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Cover2
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 1
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 2
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Contents
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - President’s Position
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 5
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 6
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 7
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Hangar Talk
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 9
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 10
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 11
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 12
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 13
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - AOPA Action
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 15
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 16
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 16a
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 16b
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 16c
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 16d
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 19
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 20
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 21
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 22
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 23
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 24
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 25
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Catch-A-Cardinal Sweepstakes
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 27
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 28
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Pilot Briefing
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 30
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 31
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 32
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 33
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 34
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 35
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 36
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 37
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 38
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 39
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 40
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 41
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Letters
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 43
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 44
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 45
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 46
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 49
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 50
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 51
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Waypoints
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 53
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 54
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 55
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Proficient Pilot
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 57
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Pilotage
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 59
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - License to Learn
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 61
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Safety Pilot
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 63
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 64
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 65
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Pilot Counsel
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 67
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 68
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 69
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - AOPA Pilot’s 50th Anniversary: First 50
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 71
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - AOPA’s Big Idea
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 73
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 74
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 75
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 76
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 77
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 78
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Magazine Milestones
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 80
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 81
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 82
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 83
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 84
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Designs Through the Years
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Location, Location
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 87
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 88
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 89
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Cessna 182: Then and Now
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 91
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 92
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 93
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 94
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 95
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 96
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 97
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Irving Krick’s ‘Weathercasts’
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 99
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 100
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 101
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 102
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 103
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 104
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 105
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - The Ladies Fly
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 107
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 108
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 109
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 110
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 111
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 112
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - The 36-Pound Radio
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 114
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 115
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 116
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 117
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 118
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 119
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 120
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Whatever Happened To...?
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 122
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 123
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 124
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - The GA Fleet—Through the Decades
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 126
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 127
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 128
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 129
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 130
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - The Lucky Ones
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 132
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 133
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 134
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - America’s Airports: Tale of a Gem
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 136
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 137
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 138
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 139
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 140
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Endurance Test, Circa 1958
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 142
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 143
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 144
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 145
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 146
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 147
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Test Pilot
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 149
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 150
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 151
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Never Again
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 153
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 154
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 155
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 156
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Fly by Wire
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 158
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 159
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 160
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 161
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - Pilots
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 165
AOPA Pilot Magazine - March 2008 - 166
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