Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - (Page 18) Advisor Profile Jeff Cavender and Lyle Watts, Principals, Cavender & Watts Wealth Management Group cash flow, sensible business models, transparent accounting, and companies that don’t use a lot of leverage.” Whether it’s in the balance sheets of companies or investors, debt is a red flag. Watts and Cavender believe that it magnifies weaknesses in difficult periods and leads to irrational decisions. “You have to be prepared for 100-year floods every 10 years.” Watts says. “You want to be able to sell when you ‘want to,’ not when you ‘have to.’ ” In addition, the partners require their managers to have equity ownership in their own firm, invest the majority of their net worth in their portfolios, and have at least 10 years of experience managing money. How they caught our eye: Share our awe of Warren Buffett. Career path: Cavender: Graduated from the University of North Alabama in 1989. Had wanted to be a basketball coach before switching major to finance. Worked at a wirehouse until 1996, when he started his own firm. Watts: Graduated from the University of Alabama in 1983 with a degree in investments. Worked at a few banks and a wirehouse before forming firm with Cavender in 1996. Personal: Cavender, 41, married, two children, ages 13 and 11. Watts, 46, married, two children, ages 17 and 14. Managers They Most Enjoy Talking With: Chuck Akre, Bob Auer, Bruce Berkowitz, Dan Fuss, John Keeley, and David Winters. “nine figures,” Watts says. Their clients are Huntsville’s small-business owners and doctors in the prime of their working lives and longtime corporate workers heading into retirement. A typical new client meets both advisors together to discuss goals and risk tolerance. Watts and Cavender then separately create a portfolio for the client. Although it’s largely a subjective process, Cavender says that he and Watts usually pick the same managers for the client and that their allocations are always within 3% to 5% of each other. The advisors resolve any discrepancies and then analyze how the portfolio would have performed during two bear markets and one bull market. They also demonstrate the effect that withdrawals during down markets can have. “We really want to magnify to clients what will be the effect on their portfolio if they make ill-timed withdrawals in a declining market,” Watts says. “Clients should know how that looks.” Pleased to Meet You Finally, they won’t invest with people they don’t like. They want to meet managers face to face at least once a year and talk with them at least once a quarter. “It gives us a chance to view the culture of the firm and to see what they’re all about,” Cavender says. “If they say they’re not willing to meet with us, even for just a few minutes, we’ll sell their fund. It’s happened before.” They also go to investing conferences, including Morningstar’s, to meet managers. The year’s highlight is the Berkshire Hathaway meeting. “It’s our holy grail,” Cavender says. Rocky Times Watts and Cavender aren’t big on pinpoint allocations and diversification. They don’t pay attention to style-box breakdowns. Instead, they leave the investing to a handful of mutual fund managers who have the proven ability of unearthing great values—managers such as the Keeleys in Chicago, the Auers in Indianapolis, Berkowitz in Miami, and Fuss in Boston. “We want our managers to purchase our businesses at a fair discount to intrinsic value,” Watts says. “We want companies that compound their business value at a far greater rate than their share prices. We want good free Watts says that the partners’ goal is to avoid a permanent loss of capital--which he defines as capital that cannot be returned to the client within a reasonable time period. That goal, it seems, will be tested by the current market. But where others see pessimism, they see opportunities in the market’s volatility. “It’s amazing to see how many companies see their share prices fluctuate annually 50% from peak to trough,” Watts says. “But markets aren’t perfectly efficient. Intrinsic values of companies don’t swing that quickly. They’re not like yo-yos. If you can understand this and use the market to your advantage, that’s when you can make a lot of money.” K 18 Morningstar Advisor Fall 2008
Table of Contents Feed for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 Contents New on MorningstarAdvisor.com Letter from the Editor Contributors Inbox Are You Preparing for Higher Taxes? State of Financials Oracles of Alabama Investment Briefs Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American Gimme Shelter Location, Location, Location Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth Keeping Little Company Away from the Numbers Consumer Confidence What about Natural Gas? TIPS to Beat Back Inflation Investing in Hidden Assets Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time Mutual Fund Analyst Picks 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs Undervalued Stocks Most Popular Variable Annuities New at Morningstar One for You, 19 for Me Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page Cover1) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page Cover2) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page 1) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page 2) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contents (Page 3) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contents (Page 4) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contents (Page 5) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com (Page 6) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com (Page 7) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com (Page 8) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Letter from the Editor (Page 9) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contributors (Page 10) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Inbox (Page 11) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Are You Preparing for Higher Taxes? (Page 12) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Are You Preparing for Higher Taxes? (Page 13) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - State of Financials (Page 14) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - State of Financials (Page 15) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - State of Financials (Page 16) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 17) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 18) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 19) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 20) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 21) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 22) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 23) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 24) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 25) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 26) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 27) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 28) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 29) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 30) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 31) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 32) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 33) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 34) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 35) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 36) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 37) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 38) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 39) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 40) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 41) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 42) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 43) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 44) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 45) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 46) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 47) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 48) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 49) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 50) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 51) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 52) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 53) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 54) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 55) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 56) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 57) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 58) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 59) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 60) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 61) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 62) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 63) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 64) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 65) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 66) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 67) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 68) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 69) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 70) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 71) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 72) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - TIPS to Beat Back Inflation (Page 73) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - TIPS to Beat Back Inflation (Page 74) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - TIPS to Beat Back Inflation (Page 75) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investing in Hidden Assets (Page 76) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investing in Hidden Assets (Page 77) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 78) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 79) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 80) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 81) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 82) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 83) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 84) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 85) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs (Page 86) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs (Page 87) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 88) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 89) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 90) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 91) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities (Page 92) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities (Page 93) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities (Page 94) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New at Morningstar (Page 95) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - One for You, 19 for Me (Page 96) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - One for You, 19 for Me (Page Cover3) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - One for You, 19 for Me (Page Cover4)
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