Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - (Page 96) Phillips Curve One for You, 19 for Me By Don Phillips U.S. income-tax rates may not be as steep as the 95% U.K. rate that George Harrison lamented in the Beatles’ Taxman, but most indications are that they’re headed up, especially for the wealthy, which means that advisors will be even more focused on providing intelligent tax advice. Tax issues, of course, never go completely off the radar screen, but their relative importance does ebb and flow with the level of rates. In the high-tax 1970s, taxes were center stage, and financial advisors were forced to explore limited partnerships and other means of tax avoidance to serve their clients. Many of these solutions were costly and of dubious merit—it was not the industry’s proudest moment. Now, however, the financial-services industry offers advisors a much better set of tools for navigating a higher-tax environment. For one, municipal bonds are currently priced quite cheaply relative to taxable alternatives. Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt VWITX yields more than the firm’s Intermediate-Term Treasury VFITX. The same is true for Vanguard’s Long-Term Tax-Exempt VWLTX relative to its Long-Term U.S. Treasury VUSTX. These yield advantages are on an absolute basis. When the added tax savings are factored in, municipal bonds are significantly cheaper than Treasuries. For investors concerned about rising tax rates, here’s a great, simple, low-cost way to lower taxes without sacrificing returns. Advisors who move client monies that have been sheltered in Treasuries into munis could create great value without complex tax-sheltering strategies. This alone makes this market far better for advisors than the high-tax 1970s. Second, index funds and ETFs have proliferated in recent years, giving advisors a robust set of options for building tax-efficient portfolios. There are 1,650 indexed funds in Morningstar’s databases, when you count all share classes. Nearly 800 of these are ETFs. While some of these options are silly or ill-conceived, there are still ample numbers of solid, well-diversified, low-cost index funds with which to build tax-efficient portfolios. Such tools simply weren’t available to advisors in the 1970s but are readily so today. The opportunities to be tax savvy without forking over fat fees to lawyers and slick salesmen who design complex tax shelters is a huge boon. Finally, there’s been a sea change in how active managers deal with taxable distributions. Perhaps because index funds have raised the bar or perhaps because of the growing pressure for managers to invest in their own funds, active fund managers today seem much more sensitive to the tax impact of their trades than did their peers of the past few decades. Earlier fund managers often operated from an institutional mind-set and were used to serving pensions and other tax-exempt entities. These managers were compensated on pretax returns and generally had little incentive to consider the tax impact of their trades. All of that has changed. Taxes are on the radar screen for active managers today, and actively managed funds are apt to be managed with greater attention to taxes for the foreseeable future. Aiding this cause, most mutual funds aren’t sitting on big imbedded gains today, meaning that taxable fund distributions are likely to be relatively small over the next few years. In the late 1990s, the average U.S. equity fund had a potential capital gains exposure of 37%, which would imply that if the manager were to sell all of a fund’s holdings, 37% of the assets would be distributed to shareholders as a taxable event, even for shareholders who had just bought the fund. This was common in the late 1990s and plagued investors jumping on the tech bandwagon and getting saddled with the tax bill for gains in the early 1990s that they didn’t participate in. Today, the likelihood of these unexpected tax hits is far lower. The average U.S. equity fund has a negative 17% potential capital gains exposure, meaning that tax-loss carryforwards outweigh imbedded gains at many funds and that future gains can be offset by tax losses already on the books. Funds like Longleaf Partners LLPFX, Selected American Shares SLASX, and Oakmark Select OAKLX, which are run by long-term, buy-andhold investors, have their lowest capital gains exposure in years. Buying in today might mean not only buying quality funds when they are out of favor, but it may also mean buying them at a point of great tax efficiency. For the more venturesome, Legg Mason Opportunity LMOPX has a negative 54% potential capital gains exposure, meaning that it will likely be extremely tax-efficient for years to come. It takes courage to make such an investment today, but a skilled manager with an out-ofvogue strategy in a tax-efficient vehicle can be a great recipe for long-term wealth creation. One can debate whether markets are efficient. We know for a fact that the tax code isn’t. Lessening taxes’ bite is a low-cost, low-risk means of enhancing the client experience. Guiding investors safely through these complex choices is a way that advisors can earn their fee many times over without exposing their clients to additional risk. The markets can deal out some tough hands. Fortunately, advisors today have reasonably good cards to play. K Don Phillips is Morningstar’s managing director, corporate strategy, research, and communications. 96 Morningstar Advisor Fall 2008
Table of Contents Feed for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 Contents New on MorningstarAdvisor.com Letter from the Editor Contributors Inbox Are You Preparing for Higher Taxes? State of Financials Oracles of Alabama Investment Briefs Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American Gimme Shelter Location, Location, Location Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth Keeping Little Company Away from the Numbers Consumer Confidence What about Natural Gas? TIPS to Beat Back Inflation Investing in Hidden Assets Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time Mutual Fund Analyst Picks 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs Undervalued Stocks Most Popular Variable Annuities New at Morningstar One for You, 19 for Me Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page Cover1) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page Cover2) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page 1) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 (Page 2) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contents (Page 3) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contents (Page 4) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contents (Page 5) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com (Page 6) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com (Page 7) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com (Page 8) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Letter from the Editor (Page 9) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Contributors (Page 10) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Inbox (Page 11) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Are You Preparing for Higher Taxes? (Page 12) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Are You Preparing for Higher Taxes? (Page 13) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - State of Financials (Page 14) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - State of Financials (Page 15) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - State of Financials (Page 16) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 17) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 18) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 19) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Oracles of Alabama (Page 20) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 21) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 22) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 23) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 24) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investment Briefs (Page 25) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 26) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 27) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 28) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Managers’ Investment Secrets Revealed (Page 29) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 30) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 31) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 32) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 33) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 34) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Conformity Becomes a Growing Concern at American (Page 35) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 36) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 37) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 38) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Gimme Shelter (Page 39) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 40) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 41) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 42) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 43) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Location, Location, Location (Page 44) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 45) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 46) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 47) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 48) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 49) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 50) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 51) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 52) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Rooted in Buffett, Going for Growth (Page 53) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 54) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 55) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 56) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Keeping Little Company (Page 57) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 58) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 59) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 60) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Away from the Numbers (Page 61) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 62) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 63) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 64) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 65) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 66) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 67) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Consumer Confidence (Page 68) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 69) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 70) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 71) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - What about Natural Gas? (Page 72) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - TIPS to Beat Back Inflation (Page 73) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - TIPS to Beat Back Inflation (Page 74) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - TIPS to Beat Back Inflation (Page 75) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investing in Hidden Assets (Page 76) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Investing in Hidden Assets (Page 77) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 78) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 79) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 80) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Funds That Have an Edge Come Tax Time (Page 81) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 82) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 83) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 84) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks (Page 85) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs (Page 86) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs (Page 87) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 88) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 89) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 90) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Undervalued Stocks (Page 91) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities (Page 92) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities (Page 93) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities (Page 94) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - New at Morningstar (Page 95) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - One for You, 19 for Me (Page 96) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - One for You, 19 for Me (Page Cover3) Morningstar Advisor - Fall 2008 - One for You, 19 for Me (Page Cover4)
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