Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 76

Screens Health Care Provides Shelter from Economic Storm By Damien Conover Use this screen to find the best of health-care stocks, which historically tend to perform independently of the economic cycle. Over the past several recessions, health-care stocks haven’t skipped a beat and have shown strong resilience to a slowing economy. As the U.S. economy approaches a recessionary period, several health-care stocks should again generate consistently strong growth. While uncertainty remains to the degree and length of the impending recession, healthcare stocks as a whole should perform well regardless of the severity of the downturn. Our analysis shows that over the past several recessions, health-care stocks showed very minor correlation to the economy’s growth. (See Sector Rap, “Is Health Care Immune to a Recession?,” in the Spring 2008 issue of Morningstar Advisor for more on this topic.) We believe that the inelastic nature of healthcare goods and services keeps demand high even when consumers face declining disposable income. Further, a large amount of health-care spending is composed of insurance payers, which shields consumers from the majority of expenses. Therefore, health-care stocks should offer a viable option in a slowing economy. Morningstar tracks more than 1,000 healthcare stocks, however, and sifting the winners from the losers is a challenge. Not all health-care stocks will perform well in recessionary periods. Further, many health-care stocks face company-specific risks that reduce the stocks’ return potential. This screen seeks health-care stocks with the highest return potential in a slowing economy. We performed this screen in May in Morningstar Principia with April month-end data. An equivalent screen can be created in Morningstar Advisor Workstation Office Edition. Initially, we want to group only the health-care companies out of the total stock universe: Sector = Healthcare Second, we want to avoid small companies, where slight missteps are magnified in a weakening economy. Lacking the diversity of several operations, small firms tend to focus on particular niche industries. In a weak economy, a small company’s sole business line faces a greater risk of reduced demand. Without the stability of multiple operating divisions, any problems arising to the core business may result in the need to raise capital to get past the rough patch. In a recessionary period, generating additional capital through equity offerings can greatly dilute the existing shareholder base. As a result, we want to 76 Morningstar Advisor Summer 2008

Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008

Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008
Contents
Letter from the Editor
Contributors
Inbox
College Planning: Solutions and Concerns
ETFs: The Next Chapter
Engineering Financial Advice
Investment Briefs
Flexible vs. Style-Pure Managers: The Evidence
Forging a New Commodity Index
Work Your Way Through College Planning
Sizing Up the Options
Best and Worst 529 College-Savings Plans
A 529 Travel Guide
10 Tax-Smart Tips for College-Savings Planning
Global Dialogue
How Sequoia Cranks Out Good Returns Year After Year
The Many Layers of David Winters
Living on the Edge
Stocks to Buy Once a Decade
With Munis Feeling the Pain, Some Opportunities Arise
Health Care Provides Shelter from Economic Storm
Help Your Clients Get More Out of Their Bond Portfolios
Mutual Fund Analyst Picks
50 Most Popular Equity ETFs
Undervalued Stocks
Most Popular Variable Annuities
New at Morningstar
New on MorningstarAdvisor.com
Closer to Fine
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Cover2
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 1
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 2
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Contents
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 4
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 5
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 6
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Letter from the Editor
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Contributors
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Inbox
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - College Planning: Solutions and Concerns
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 11
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - ETFs: The Next Chapter
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 13
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 14
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Engineering Financial Advice
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 16
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 17
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Investment Briefs
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 19
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 20
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Flexible vs. Style-Pure Managers: The Evidence
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 22
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 23
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 24
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Forging a New Commodity Index
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 26
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 27
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 28
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 29
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 30
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 31
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Work Your Way Through College Planning
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 33
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 34
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 35
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Sizing Up the Options
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 37
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Best and Worst 529 College-Savings Plans
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 39
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 40
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 41
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - A 529 Travel Guide
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 43
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 44
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 10 Tax-Smart Tips for College-Savings Planning
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 46
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 47
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 48
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 49
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Global Dialogue
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 51
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 52
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 53
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 54
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 55
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 56
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 57
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - How Sequoia Cranks Out Good Returns Year After Year
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 59
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 60
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - The Many Layers of David Winters
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 62
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 63
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Living on the Edge
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 65
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 66
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 67
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 68
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 69
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Stocks to Buy Once a Decade
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 71
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - With Munis Feeling the Pain, Some Opportunities Arise
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 73
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 74
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 75
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Health Care Provides Shelter from Economic Storm
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 77
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Help Your Clients Get More Out of Their Bond Portfolios
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 79
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 81
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 82
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 83
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 50 Most Popular Equity ETFs
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 85
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Undervalued Stocks
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 87
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 88
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 89
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Most Popular Variable Annuities
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 91
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 92
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - New at Morningstar
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - 94
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - New on MorningstarAdvisor.com
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Closer to Fine
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Cover3
Morningstar Advisor - Summer 2008 - Cover4
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