Morningstar Advisor - February/March 2013 - (Page 39)
The phenomenon is not limited to a group of
small outlier funds, either. A survey of the
largest funds in the category with at least three
years of history shows that several actively
managed funds that previously bore relatively
high R-squared figures before the crisis have
since dropped markedly (Exhibit 2).
A perusal of their portfolios helps illustrate why
so many of these funds are acting differently
from the index. The most well-known
example is PIMCO Total Return PTTRX, which,
while famously short of its benchmark
and bereft of U.S. Treasury bonds at some
points during 2011, has also distinguished
itself by branching out more aggressively to
sectors such as high yield and non-U.S.
developed- and emerging-markets bonds, and
even some municipal debt. Other high-profile
funds, such as Metropolitan West Total
Return Bond MWTRX, have always been a bit
more willing to deviate from the benchmark but
have been even more intrepid since the
crisis. That portfolio, for example, has a large
exposure to nonagency mortgages and
also holds an overweighting in commercial
mortgage-backed securities.
Exhibit 1 Falling R-Squareds
R-Squared of the Average Intermediate-Term Bond Fund Relative to the Barclays Capital
U.S. Aggregate Index
%
36 month rolling R-squared
100
90
80
70
60
11/06
05/07
11/07
05/08
11/08
05/09
11/09
05/10
11/10
05/11
11/11
05/12
11/12
Exhibit 2 Falling Away From the Barclays Aggregate Index
Name
Total Net Assets ($bil)
R-Squared 3-Yr
Ending Dec. 2006 (%)
R-Squared 3-Yr
Ending Nov. 2012 (%)
PIMCO Total Return Instl
284.98
97
36
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Inv
116.42
100
99
American Funds Bond Fund of Amer A
34.10
89
82
It’s not just the traditionally adventurous
who have taken formerly less-traveled
pathways. Vanguard Intermediate-Term
Investment-Grade Fund VFIDX has historically
fashioned itself a mostly corporate-bond
portfolio but still had a high correlation to the
benchmark before the financial crisis.
It, too, holds 7% of its assets in asset-backed
securities and 3.7% in commercial mortgages,
for example, and its R-squared in relation
to the Barclays Aggregate has dropped to 64
from 98 before the financial crisis.
JPMorgan Core Bond Select
29.60
98
96
Dodge & Cox Income
26.35
91
25
Metropolitan West Total Return Bond M
23.63
74
48
T. Rowe Price New Income
20.45
99
83
Vanguard Interm-Term Invmt-Grade Inv
19.78
98
64
Spartan U.S. Bond Index Investor
16.18
100
99
Fidelity Total Bond
13.97
97
69
Loomis Sayles Investment Grade Bond A
12.30
55
6
Western Asset Core Plus Bond I
10.20
90
38
PIMCO Investment Grade Corp Bd Instl
9.57
97
26
Delaware Diversified Income A
9.56
61
22
Straying Index
TCW Total Return Bond I
8.40
95
44
Managers have described a variety of reasons
for deviating from the benchmark, and a
central theme has to do with the rock-bottom
yields being paid by Treasury bonds. There
is clearly some concern among managers about
an eventual spike in rates, but the general
consensus seems to revolve as much
Russell Strategic Bond I
8.07
98
54
Harbor Bond Instl
7.95
96
35
Federated Total Return Bond Instl
7.56
96
71
American Century Diversified Bond Instl
6.24
99
92
Data as of Nov. 30, 2012
MorningstarAdvisor.com 39
http://www.MorningstarAdvisor.com
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - February/March 2013
Morningstar Advisor - February/March 2013
Contents
Contributors
Letter From the Editor
Social Media, the Old- Fashioned Way
Do You Use Active Strategies?
Youth Appeal
How to Buy the Unloved 2013
Morningstar Managers of the Year
Investments á la Carte
Investment Briefs
Approaches to Absolute-Return Investing
In Agriculture, It’s Good to Be Strong
Yes, There Are Good Active Funds
The Decoupling
Where It Could Pay to Be Active
The Active Fund That Defies Obsolescence
The Epitome of an Active Manager
Lines of Communication
The Existence of Market Timing ‘Intelligence’
A Route to Commodities that Bypasses the Futures Market
Best Positioned for Health-Care Reform
Diversified Stock Funds That Earn Their Stars
Our Favorite Mutual Funds
50 Most-Popular Equity ETFs
Undervalued Stocks With Wide Moats
A Twisted Debate
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