Morningstar Advisor - December 2013/January 2014 - (Page 10)
On Topic
What Concerns You About Emerging Markets?
Let us know your thoughts at magazine_editor@morningstar.com
My greatest concern about
emerging markets equity investments is extreme volatility.
My clients are retired, many of them are in
their 70s and 80s. Their investment
time frame means they can't endure a multiyear
decline and recovery just to break even.
For example, look at the record for Templeton
Developing Markets TEDMX. In 2008, it lost
53.91%. Despite making 73.92% the following
year, it still hasn't recouped all the losses
from 2008. That's simply unacceptable for an
elderly person (and not very attractive at
any age).
Gregory E. Schultz
Asset Allocation Advisors, Inc.
Walnut Creek, Calif.
My number-one concern is the
"hot money." It can come out of
the emerging markets as fast as it went in.
Thomas E. Hoden
LifeStyle Wealth Management
Centennial, Colo.
We have a sizeable allocation to emerging
markets. The long-term growth fundamentals
and current valuation appear attractive.
However, we have many concerns: 1) Price
volatility is heavily impacted
by liquidity, 2) the "easy" growth for many
emerging-markets countries, particularly the
BRICs, is over, 3) the volatility caused by
the Chinese economic model transition, and
4) the narrowing differentials of EPS
growth of developed country companies versus
10 Morningstar Advisor December/January 2014
those in the emerging markets. Putting those
four factors together, the ride might continue to
be bumpy-but then again, that's why it's
called emerging markets.
Sam Sudame, CFA, CFP
Singer Xenos Wealth Management
Coral Gables, Fla.
Quick Poll (Nov. 7, 269 responses)
1 What's the best way to invest in emerging
markets, active management or passively?
Active
74.7%
Passive
25.3%
2 Emerging-markets debt or equities?
Am I trying to catch a falling
knife. The credit markets and what
Debt
the Fed's next move seems to have such an
incredible effect on emerging markets
right now that it just seems better to steer
clear, or more precisely, to just keep
my allocations low until things settle down.
Neither
Equities
Both
When investing in the emerging-markets
asset class for a client, it is important to be
diversified. It is only part of the asset allocation
in the entire portfolio. We use up to 4%
exposure as an asset class. We use mutual
funds and ETFs with great management
and track records. Just like any other asset
class, we expect it to go through cycles, and
we continue to rebalance on a regular
basis. So, I guess the short answer is to
remain diversified and choose
great management.
1.9%
57.7%
3 What percentage of your clients' assets do you
have allocated to emerging markets?
0%
Christopher Durr
Durr Wealth Planning
Chesterfield, Mo.
2.7%
37.7%
3.3%
1%-5%
34.7%
6%-10%
37.5%
>10%
24.5%
4 Have you increased, decreased, or kept
the same your clients' exposure to emergingmarkets equities over the past year?
Increased
37.3%
Decreased
16.6%
Same
46.1%
5 Where will the next big emerging-markets
growth story happen?
Asia
27.6%
14.3%
Latin America
27.6%
Africa
A. Elizabeth Lane, CFP
Lane & Associates Financial Services
Parrish, Fla.
Eastern Europe
30.5%
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - December 2013/January 2014
Morningstar Advisor - December 2013/January 2014
Contents
Contributors
Letter From the Editor
What’s Your Purpose?
Working for Gen Y
How to Allocate College Savings
Mobius Looks to a New Frontier
Investments á la Carte
Investment Briefs
How to Manage Bonds for Today and Tomorrow
Cloud Is the New Engine of Growth
Knowing Where to Look
Economic Vulnerability Varies by Country
Factor Investing in Emerging Markets
Following the Rules
Exploring Indexing’s Next Frontiers
Frequent Fliers
Family Blind Spots
Optimal Portfolios for the Long Run
Finding Value in a Pricey Sector
Our Favorite Mutual Funds
50 Most-Popular Equity ETFs
Undervalued Stocks With Wide Moats
The Emerging-Markets Roller Coaster
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