Morningstar Advisor - December 2013/January 2014 - (Page 71)
And
PCF
10
While competitive advantages were an
attractive starting point, we also wanted to
ensure that the market wasn't placing a
premium on those advantages. Our next step
was to focus on valuation. We looked for firms
that were trading at less than ten times
their current cash flows. That cutoff reflects a
discount to the price/cash flow levels for the
sector and the broad stock market.
And
Morningstar Rating
> 4
To expand on our valuation screen, we used
the Morningstar Rating for stocks and
searched for companies with at least a 4-star
rating. A number of components drive this
score including our estimate of the stock's
intrinsic value based on a discounted cashflow model, the margin of safety we apply to
our fair value estimates, and the current stock
price relative to fair our value estimate.
And
Stewardship
> Standard
It is also pertinent for firms to be run by
solid management teams whose interests are
aligned with shareholders. Morningstar's
Stewardship Rating represents our assessment
of management's stewardship of shareholder
capital, with particular emphasis on capital
allocation decisions. Analysts consider
companies' investment strategy and valuation,
financial leverage, dividend and share buyback
policies. Execution, compensation, related
party transactions, and accounting practices
are also factors that weigh on stewardship. We
set the screen for a Stewardship Rating of
either Standard or Exemplary.
We ran this screen in October using Morningstar Direct. Here are the results.
Western Union Company WU
Western Union is the clear leader in an industry
where size confers significant advantages.
The money transfer business is scalable
because the incremental costs of processing
additional transactions are minimal. This
gives Western Union a marked cost advantage
over its rivals, and its operating margins
are about twice that of its closest competitor.
The Western Union brand is the most
recognized in the industry and its network is
unparalleled, which allows the company
to maintain premium pricing. The company's
size allows it to invest more heavily to maintain
this advantage.
The company's network of more than 500,000
agents creates a mild network effect.
Each additional agent makes the Western
Union network more attractive to other agents,
as a wider network potentially draws more
customers into their stores. Western Union has
shown that it can maintain strong and durable
relationships with its agents, as its top
40 agents have been with the company for 16
years, on average.
PNC Financial Services Group PNC
PNC's large, low-cost deposit base allows it to
price loans competitively while still earning
an attractive net interest margin. Deposits cost
the bank about 18 basis points in the first
quarter of 2013, which is low for a company
with PNC's size and scale and half that of
the national average of 39 basis points. Overall
funding costs were 48 basis points, below
the national average of 53. We expect
this competitive advantage to prove enduring,
as low-cost deposits tend to be sticky
because of the hassle associated with
changing bank accounts.
Banco Santander Brasil SA/Brazil BSBR
Santander Brasil is the smallest member of
Brazil's lucrative six-bank oligopoly, which
controls more than 90% of the system's assets.
As with Itau Unibanco ITUB and Banco
Bradesco BBD, we think Brazil's conservatively
regulated and profitable banking system,
along with the country's attractive demographics, will provide lush grounds for Santander
Brasil to profitably grow in years to come
despite the short-term challenges it faces.
Grupo Santander STD, Spain's largest bank,
remains the majority stakeholder of Santander
Brasil, which we view as an advantage.
In our opinion, the Brazilian subsidiary benefits
from the well-run Spanish group's vast
experience in integrations and expansions.
A clear example is its massive integration
with Banco Real, which was purchased from
ABN AMRO in 2008. The integration has
come a long way, with noticeable improvements in efficiency. Further, the Spanish bank's
broad reach, particularly in Latin America,
often makes Santander Brasil the institution of
choice when Brazilian businesses need
a bank to help them develop their operations
beyond their native country.
Wells Fargo & Co WFC
We view Wells Fargo's dominant market
position as its largest structural advantage.
Following its purchase of Wachovia,
Wells Fargo is now the largest deposit gatherer
in major metropolitan markets such as
San Diego, Phoenix, Denver, and Minneapolis,
according to Thomson Reuters Bank Insight.
In fact, we estimate that more than one third of
the bank's deposits come from markets in
which Wells Fargo is the pre-eminent player,
and more than two thirds are gathered in
markets in which the company ranks among the
top three. Such positioning provides the
bank's customers with unmatched convenience
and provides the firm with a ready source of
funds. In addition to boosting the top line, the
bank's storied focus on cross-selling also
deepens its customer relationships, increasing
switching costs and adding to the bank's
pricing power. Together, these factors result in
more than $1 trillion in low-cost deposit
funding, accounting for 70% of the company's
funding and contributing to its narrow
economic moat rating.
Dan Wood is an equity research associate
at Morningstar.
MorningstarAdvisor.com 71
http://www.MorningstarAdvisor.com
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - December 2013/January 2014
Morningstar Advisor - December 2013/January 2014
Contents
Contributors
Letter From the Editor
What’s Your Purpose?
Working for Gen Y
How to Allocate College Savings
Mobius Looks to a New Frontier
Investments á la Carte
Investment Briefs
How to Manage Bonds for Today and Tomorrow
Cloud Is the New Engine of Growth
Knowing Where to Look
Economic Vulnerability Varies by Country
Factor Investing in Emerging Markets
Following the Rules
Exploring Indexing’s Next Frontiers
Frequent Fliers
Family Blind Spots
Optimal Portfolios for the Long Run
Finding Value in a Pricey Sector
Our Favorite Mutual Funds
50 Most-Popular Equity ETFs
Undervalued Stocks With Wide Moats
The Emerging-Markets Roller Coaster
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