Morningstar Magazine - October/November 2016 - 58
Strategies
Diversifying across complementary factors
makes sense. Doing so will mitigate the
aforementioned cyclicality associated with owning
any one factor in isolation. This could result
in lower long-term returns relative to owning the
single most potent factor in isolation, but
that assumes, first, you know what that factor
will be on an ex-ante basis and, second, you have
the stomach to stick with it for decades. In
my mind, perhaps the single most compelling
reason to opt for a multifactor strategy is
that it will minimize the biggest risk of all-that
investors will bail on a factor, manager, or strategy
when it experiences an inevitable period of
relative underperformance.
What to Look For
Generally speaking, I believe that owning
a multifactor ETF is preferable to trying
to build a do-it-yourself multifactor model,
combining single factors on one's own, for most
investors. The do-it-for-me approach is
far more efficient from a cost, tax, and general
portfolio management perspective.
Combining stand-alone factors in a multifactor
format is a sensible strategy to the extent
that the factors in consideration are credible,
well-constructed, and combined in such
a way as to improve the overall risk/reward profile
of the resulting portfolio relative to owning
any of the factors in a stand-alone format, a
traditional cap-weighted index fund, or an actively
managed peer.
Most of the multifactor ETFs on offer today pass
the first test above. There are few-if any-
suspect factors featured in these funds, most of
which select from the members of my factor
A-Team. Things get trickier when assessing factor
construction and the manner in which these
factors are combined. My preference, as always,
is to keep it simple and cheap.
As I often emphasize, index construction matters!
It is vital that investors parse the details of the
methodologies for these funds' underlying
benchmarks to understand what drives them.
I have a strong preference for simplicity over
complexity. The more opaque and overwrought the
methodology, the more likely it is that the index is
a product of back-testing alchemy and that
its methodology may ultimately be revised should
its live performance not live up to its back-tested
track record-a record that never looks bad.
And, of course, costs matter. Many of these funds,
while competitively priced versus actively
managed peers, have fees that are many multiples
of those levied by ETFs tracking broad,
cap-weighted benchmarks. Be sure you are not
paying active management fees for a passively
managed fund.
Last, be sure to manage your expectations. These
funds are no magic elixir. Many are very new
and track indexes with limited live track records.
No matter how sensible their underlying indexes
may seem and how low their fees, there's no
guarantee they will deliver better risk-adjusted
returns than a plain old cap-weighted index
fund over a full market cycle. Much like single
factors or good active managers, these funds will
experience their own performance cycles
(albeit potentially more muted ones). Investors'
ability to reap the prospective rewards these
funds might offer is positively correlated to their
ability to stick with them through their inescapable
ups and downs.
What's in the Mix?
Now that we've made the case for multisector
ETFs, let's take a look at what the market is
offering investors. By my count, there are eight
dyed-in-the wool multifactor ETFs in the U.S.
large-cap space (E X H I B I T 4 ) . These funds are all
very new. The elder statesman of the bunch, ETFS
Diversified-Factor U.S. Large Cap SBUS, was
launched in January 2015. These eight funds had
collective assets under management of $1.4 billion
as of the end of July, and just three of them held
more than $100 million of investors' capital. Thus,
all of the standard disclaimers about new
and untested (though in this case thoroughly
back-tested) strategies apply here.
EXHIBIT 4
New Kids on the Block There are
eight true-blue multifactor ETFs that
invest in U.S. large-cap stocks,
and each was launched in 2015.
All have a value component, and seven
of the eight add momentum.
Name
Inception Expense
Date Ratio (%)
Total
Avg.
Assets
# of Mkt. Cap
($Mil) Holdings
($Bil)
Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta US LgCp Eq ETF GSLC 09/17/15
0.09
923
429
50.7
0.95
JHancock Multifactor Large Cap ETF JHML
09/29/15
0.35
235
770
40.5
1.06
iShares Edge MSCI Multifactor USA LRGF
04/28/15
0.35
110
135
23.0
1.06
JPMorgan Diversified Return US Eq ETF JPUS
09/29/15
0.29
71
540
23.1
0.86
Global X Scientific Beta US ETF SCIU
05/12/15
0.19
65
451
21.2
0.94
Deutsche X-trackers Russell 1000 CmpsFtr DEUS
11/24/15
0.25
21
824
12.7
0.90
ETFS Diversified-Factor US Large Cap SBUS
01/26/15
0.52
8
461
-
0.93
SPDR MSCI USA StrategicFactors ETF QUS
04/15/15
0.15
6
613
60.2
0.86
Source: Morningstar. Asset and volume data as of Aug. 8, 2016. Portfolio data as of July 31, 2016. Beta measured from December 2015 to July 2016.
58
Morningstar October/November 2016
Beta
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Magazine - October/November 2016
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Morningstar Magazine - October/November 2016 - Cover1
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