America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 8

L E T T E R

F R O M

T H E

Volume 15, No. 4

E D I T O R

Mark Chesnu t

by

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I

f you were closely watching media reports around Valentine's Day weekend,
you'd think that the floor had completely fallen out of the domestic firearm
market and that gun manufacturers are facing impending doom.
And you'd be wrong.
"Cabela's Hit by Slowing Gun Sales," read the Wall Street Journal headline.
"Gun Sales are Plunging," shouted a headline on cnn's website.
The cnn story went on to proclaim, "Background checks by the Federal
Bureau of Investigation, considered to be the most accurate means of tracking
gun sales, plunged by a third in January compared to the year before."
Fact is, gun sales did drop this January. But the national media's tales of an
impending crash doesn't even
begin to tell you the rest of
the story.
Gun sales trends are
To insinuate that gun sales
largely determined by
are on the ropes from
the number of National
a one-month decline is
Instant Check System
(nics) background checks
misleading, at best.
conducted each month.
There were 1.666 million
nics checks in January 2014.
That number was, in fact, down 18.7 percent from December 2013, and
down 33 percent from January 2013.
However, to insinuate that gun sales are on the ropes from a one-month
decline is misleading, at best. Consider a number of other factors.
First, there is always a drop in nics checks between December and January.
A look back at nics statistics show that this year's drop is actually the third
smallest on record. Also note that this January's number was the second largest
number for a January in nics' history, second only to January 2013, immediately
following the Newtown murders.
Further, the January 2014 nics number looks small compared to January 2013
only because January 2013 was so large. From January 2012 to January 2013, the
number rose 81 percent. Take the initial months of the surge out of the equation,
and the trend from January 2012 to January 2014 is still 21 percent higher.
A close look shows that nics checks are rising over the long term, and
the annual number has risen every year since 2002. The drop this January
likely shows that nics numbers are settling back into their normal rate of
increase after proposed federal gun control legislation led to extremely high
sales during 2013.

6

America's

1

st

Freedom

|

April 2014

DIRECTOR
Michael J. Sanford

EDITORIAL

Is The Sky Really Falling?

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Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of America's First Freedom - April 2014

America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 1
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 2
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 3
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 4
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 5
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 6
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 7
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 8
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 9
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America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 27
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 28
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 29
America's First Freedom - April 2014 - 30
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