SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 56

MATERIALS FORECAST FORUM
Washington, DC

SAMPE Materials Forecast Forum: Final Report
Steve Rodgers, Dr. Scott W. Beckwith, and Gregg Balko On February 22-24, 2011 SAMPE held the first SAMPE Materials Forecast Forum in Washington, D. C. Twenty materials science and engineering experts and two professional facilitators were invited to this ground-breaking event to discuss today’s critical material technologies and to forecast potential growth and inhibiting factors over the next two decades. In an effort to avoid potential SAMPE biases to the work content, most of the participants were either unaware or slightly aware of SAMPE as an organization despite their close association with the materials development industries. The participants are listed at the end of this article. A recurring theme throughout the Forum was the growing concern over the lack of funding, education, direction and management regarding the materials science and engineering technologies in the United States. The conclusions developed at the end of this critical materials forecast forum provide a number of follow-up recommendations that SAMPE, along with other societies and associations, pursue in order to mitigate the growing concerns in these areas. In this special feature article we have attempted to capture some of the bigger themes of the SAMPE Materials Forecast Forum 1. Trends and Uncertainties – A Startling Look into Materials Technology Today Several trends were perceived with a high degree of certainty and impact. From a global perspective, the future of material development will occur in countries or regions with strong GDP (gross domestic product). It is felt that geopolitical factors will impact the availability of commodities needed by the science and engineering community. Currently the shortage of rare earth elements is a concern. Some rare earth materials’ supplies are controlled by one country or region. For these materials, continued availability is not guaranteed and secondary supplies need to be developed. On a similar vista, supply chain considerations (political, environmental, et al) will also have a negative impact on the future of advanced materials. Thus, materials of similar qualities or properties that can substitute for these unobtainable materials will be required. It is certain that petroleum costs will continue to rise. How this will affect the materials availability and accessibility is not known but most certain to be a determent. The increasing complexity of materials using hybrid and composite approaches will challenge materials development. Will material science be able to keep up with new science as it emerges or develops? What role will information technology have on engineering and science education curriculums? Finally, three separate trends were noted with a high degree of certainty. The medical device community will see rapid growth as populations age and live longer. Material recycling, refurbishment and reuse will definitely increase. The last trend should be no surprise considering the composition of the forum – fiber reinforced structural parts will increase. 2. Critical Uncertainties and Their Impact Over the Next Twenty Years The Forum participants were charged with identifying critical uncertainties that affect materials development and anticipating the potential impact they will have on Materials Development. They then looked at the impact of Socio-political effects and pull that end users provide to the industry. Each of these areas was examined in light of the present-day realities. Those conditions were then extrapolated in order to forecast the likely condition in five years and, finally, at twenty years. 2.1 Materials Development First it was necessary to agree upon and establish the two major critical uncertainties. A number of important implications were generated by these discussions:
56 SAMPE Journal, Volume 47, No. 5, September/October 2011



SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011

SAMPE Journal - September/October 2011
Table of Contents
President’s Message
Technical Director’s Corner
Out-Time Effects on VBO (Vacuum Bag Only) Prepreg and Laminate Properties
Corporate Partners
SAMPE Tech 2011 Conference
SAMPE Tech 2011 Exhibition
Europe News & Views
SAMPE Europe’s SETEC 2011, Leiden
SAMPE Europe’s SEICO 2012, Paris
SAMPE China 2011
12th Japan International SAMPE Symposium and Exhibition – JISSE-12
SAMPE Books & CD’s Order Form
SAMPE Proceedings
Welcome SAMPE’s Newest Members
The SAMPE Foundation
Adhesive Characterization Using NIAR-Modified KGR Extensometer
Industry News
SAMPE LinkedIn Communities
SAMPE 2012 Call for Papers
SAMPE 2012 Exhibition
Materials & Products
SAMPE Asia 2012|Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
SAMPE Materials Forecast Forum: Final Report
SAMPE Tech 2012 Call for Papers
SAMPE Journal Editorial Calender
Advertiser’s Index
Resource Center
Membership Application
Industry Events Calendar
Chapter Meetings Dates and Contacts
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Journal - September/October 2011
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Cover2
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Table of Contents
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - President’s Message
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 3
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 4
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Technical Director’s Corner
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Out-Time Effects on VBO (Vacuum Bag Only) Prepreg and Laminate Properties
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 7
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 8
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 9
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 10
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 11
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 12
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 13
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 14
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Corporate Partners
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Tech 2011 Conference
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Tech 2011 Exhibition
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Europe News & Views
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 19
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Europe’s SETEC 2011, Leiden
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 21
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Europe’s SEICO 2012, Paris
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 23
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE China 2011
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 25
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 12th Japan International SAMPE Symposium and Exhibition – JISSE-12
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Books & CD’s Order Form
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Proceedings
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 29
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Welcome SAMPE’s Newest Members
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 31
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 32
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 33
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - The SAMPE Foundation
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 35
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 36
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Adhesive Characterization Using NIAR-Modified KGR Extensometer
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 38
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 39
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 40
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 41
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 42
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 43
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 44
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 45
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Industry News
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 47
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 48
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE LinkedIn Communities
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE 2012 Call for Papers
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE 2012 Exhibition
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Materials & Products
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 53
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Asia 2012|Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 55
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Materials Forecast Forum: Final Report
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 57
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 58
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 59
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 60
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 61
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 62
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Tech 2012 Call for Papers
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - SAMPE Journal Editorial Calender
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 65
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Advertiser’s Index
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 67
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Resource Center
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 69
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 70
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 71
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 72
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 73
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - 74
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Membership Application
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Chapter Meetings Dates and Contacts
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Cover3
SAMPE Journal -September/October 2011 - Cover4
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