ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - (Page 48) FUTURE OF BANKING: THE NEXT FIVE YEARS What the future holds, post crisis Once the smoke clears, some familiar patterns should re-emerge—some favorable, some not—as the industry takes its first steps into the future. Five bankers offer their views W hen the bankers gathered in a windowless meeting room early one summer morning to talk over the future of banking as they saw it, it’s fair to say none of them, nor this writer, foresaw the financial market free-fall that was to occur beginning after Labor Day. They did, of course, recognize that the times were perilous. But the focus of their comments was on the fundamental business of banking and where it was heading—a challenging enough scenario at any time. And when the smoke clears from the conflagration in the money markets business will go on for the vast majority of banks and savings institutions—not exactly “as usual,” perhaps, but not totally changed either. At the macro level, the financial infrastructure may have been turned on its head, but in banking markets around the country many of the long-range, underlying trends continue. It is to these trends that the five bankers spoke. The participants are identified to the right. They represent a good cross-section of the industry. Only the very largest bank segment was not represented. Taken together, the comments present a composite of the industry’s strengths, challenges, and opportunities. Richard Anthony, chairman and CEO, Synovus Corp., $34 billion assets, Columbus, Ga. Stephen J. Gurgovits, chairman, FNB Corp., $8.5 billion assets, Hermitage, Pa. Warren K. K. Luke, chairman, president, and CEO, Hawaii National Bank, $500 million assets, Honolulu Kathleen Marinangel, chairman, president, CEO, McHenry Savings Bank, $275 million assets, McHenry, Ill. Guy Williams, president, Gulf Coast Bank & Trust Co., $850 million assets, New Orleans By Bill Streeter, editor-in-chief Small business at the core Under the heading of strengths that banks individually and collectively possess, the first to be mentioned was the small business market, where, all agreed, banks should continue to do well. Said Richard Anthony (Synovus Corp.): “The small business middle market is where relationships really mean a lot, and banks have an opportunity to become trusted advisors to privately held, locally owned businesses. We see that as our top competitive advantage. But in order to play that role, you have to have a high level of responsiveness, and have granted a certain amount of empowerment at the local level.” Adding to that, Stephen Gurgovits (FNB Corp.) said, “We offer—and will keep offering—a full array of retail prod- ucts, but most of them are commoditized. What we really focus on as a core competency is small business lending—simply because it is not commoditized. Every deal is different, every business has differ- 48 NOVEMBER 2008/ABA BANKING JOURNAL Subscribe at www.ababj.com http://www.hawaiinational.com http://www.synovus.com/index.cfm http://www.mchenrysavings.com http://www.gulfbank.com http://www.fnbcorporation.com http://www.ababj.com
Table of Contents Feed for the Digital Edition of ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 Contents Editor's Column Banking 2.0: Credit, Banking's Essence, Set for Rethinking Snapshot: The Few, the Proud, the Banks that Can Raise Capital Will Strong and Simple Banks Inherit the Business? Back to the Future ABA Resources ABA Chairman's Position Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country Pass the Aspirin Into the Breach Adventures Across A Century What the Future Holds, Post Crisis Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong Ed Yingling: Weathering the Storm Dick Kovacevich: "Boring" Banking to Dynamic Financial Services Jim Culberson: Community Banking: What has Changed and What Shouldn't Walter Shipley: How a Chemical Reaction Helped to Mold Today's JPMorgan Chase William Isaac: Challenges and Opportunities Ahead for Banks A Hundred Years from Our Pages Eight Tech Innovations that Brought Banks into 21st Century Bank Cherokee: Third Generaton Marks 100th Year The First National Bank of Altavista: Railroad Gave Birth to a Town, a Hope Chest, and a Bank Rosedales Federal Savings and Loan Association: How a Friendly Game of Cards Turned into a 100-Year Mutual New Washington State Bank: Cooking Up the Next 100 Years Mailbox Banker's Mart To Advertise/Index of Advertisers The Economy ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 (Page Cover1) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 (Page Cover2) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 (Page 1) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 (Page 2) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Contents (Page 3) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Editor's Column (Page 4) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Editor's Column (Page 5) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Editor's Column (Page 6) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Banking 2.0: Credit, Banking's Essence, Set for Rethinking (Page 7) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Snapshot: The Few, the Proud, the Banks that Can Raise Capital (Page 8) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Snapshot: The Few, the Proud, the Banks that Can Raise Capital (Page 9) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Snapshot: The Few, the Proud, the Banks that Can Raise Capital (Page 10) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Snapshot: The Few, the Proud, the Banks that Can Raise Capital (Page 11) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Will Strong and Simple Banks Inherit the Business? (Page 12) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Will Strong and Simple Banks Inherit the Business? (Page 13) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Will Strong and Simple Banks Inherit the Business? (Page 14) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Will Strong and Simple Banks Inherit the Business? (Page 15) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Back to the Future (Page 16) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Back to the Future (Page 17) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Back to the Future (Page 18) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Back to the Future (Page 19) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Back to the Future (Page 20) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Resources (Page 21) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Chairman's Position (Page 22) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - ABA Chairman's Position (Page 23) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24A) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24B) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24C) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24D) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24E) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24F) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24G) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Farm Lenders Must Take Care When Lending in Indian Country (Page 24H) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 25) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 26) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 27) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 28) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 29) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 30) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 31) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 32) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Pass the Aspirin (Page 33) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 34) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 35) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 36) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 37) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 38) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 39) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 40) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 41) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 42) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 43) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 44) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 45) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Into the Breach (Page 46) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Adventures Across A Century (Page 47) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 48) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 49) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 50) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 51) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 52) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 53) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 54) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 55) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 56) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 57) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 58) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - What the Future Holds, Post Crisis (Page 59) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong (Page 60) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong (Page 61) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong (Page 62) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong (Page 63) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong (Page 64) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Paul Volcker: A Financial Legend Still Speaks Strong (Page 65) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Ed Yingling: Weathering the Storm (Page 66) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Ed Yingling: Weathering the Storm (Page 67) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Dick Kovacevich: "Boring" Banking to Dynamic Financial Services (Page 68) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Dick Kovacevich: "Boring" Banking to Dynamic Financial Services (Page 69) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Dick Kovacevich: "Boring" Banking to Dynamic Financial Services (Page 70) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Dick Kovacevich: "Boring" Banking to Dynamic Financial Services (Page 71) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Jim Culberson: Community Banking: What has Changed and What Shouldn't (Page 72) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Jim Culberson: Community Banking: What has Changed and What Shouldn't (Page 73) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Walter Shipley: How a Chemical Reaction Helped to Mold Today's JPMorgan Chase (Page 74) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Walter Shipley: How a Chemical Reaction Helped to Mold Today's JPMorgan Chase (Page 75) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Walter Shipley: How a Chemical Reaction Helped to Mold Today's JPMorgan Chase (Page 76) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Walter Shipley: How a Chemical Reaction Helped to Mold Today's JPMorgan Chase (Page 77) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - William Isaac: Challenges and Opportunities Ahead for Banks (Page 78) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - William Isaac: Challenges and Opportunities Ahead for Banks (Page 79) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - A Hundred Years from Our Pages (Page 80) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - A Hundred Years from Our Pages (Page 81) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - A Hundred Years from Our Pages (Page 82) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - A Hundred Years from Our Pages (Page 83) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - A Hundred Years from Our Pages (Page 84) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - A Hundred Years from Our Pages (Page 85) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Eight Tech Innovations that Brought Banks into 21st Century (Page 86) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Eight Tech Innovations that Brought Banks into 21st Century (Page 87) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Eight Tech Innovations that Brought Banks into 21st Century (Page 88) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Eight Tech Innovations that Brought Banks into 21st Century (Page 89) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Bank Cherokee: Third Generaton Marks 100th Year (Page 90) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Bank Cherokee: Third Generaton Marks 100th Year (Page 91) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Rosedales Federal Savings and Loan Association: How a Friendly Game of Cards Turned into a 100-Year Mutual (Page 92) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - New Washington State Bank: Cooking Up the Next 100 Years (Page 93) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Mailbox (Page 94) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Mailbox (Page 95) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Mailbox (Page 96) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - Banker's Mart (Page 97) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - To Advertise/Index of Advertisers (Page 98) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - To Advertise/Index of Advertisers (Page 99) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - The Economy (Page 100) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - The Economy (Page Cover3) ABA Banking Journal - November 2008 - The Economy (Page Cover4)
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