Milling & Baking News - November 13, 2012 - 10

Data 

the name or number of respondents. They did note in footnotes accompanying past reports that some numbers were estimated. Therefore, data pubWASHINGTON — Flour output by U.S. Census Bureau discontinued its lished in this report may not be compaU.S. mills in January-September to- compilations due to budgetary con- rable to historical reports. In attempting to compare NAMA’s taled a record 314,152,000 cwts, up siderations. NAMA retains Veris Consulting total for the United States in July2.7% from 305,747,000 cwts in the first three quarters of 2011, according to to survey the 24 largest U.S. wheat, September reported at 103,751,000 data interpolated by Milling & Baking durum and rye milling companies as cwts with Census data, Milling & News based on statistics just released listed in the Grain & Milling Annual Baking News divided this total by by the North American Millers’ As- 2012 on their flour production on a .954 to arrive at a figure representsociation (NAMA). The previous high quarterly basis. Data published in this ing 100% of the industry. This results in production for the first nine months report are based on figures voluntarily in an interpolated total U.S. output reported to Veris for the third quarter of 108,754,000 for the third quarwas 312,065,000 cwts in 2010. Based on available numbers (inter- of 2012. Milling & Baking News seeks ter of 2012. That was up 6.7% from polated by Milling & Baking News when to compare the NAMA numbers with 101,936,000 in April-June 2012 and necessary), flour production in the past Census data where such compari- 3.2% more than 106,410,000 in JulySeptember 2011. It was the largest past four quarters, October 2011-Sep- sons are feasible. With NAMA data available only quarterly production since the alltember 2012 totaled 420,150,000 cwts, the second largest for any four suc- for the last two quarters of 2011 and time record of 109,673,000 in Octobercessive quarters. The only higher ag- the first three of 2012, comparisons December 2000. NAMA quarterly numbers withgregate was the established record of are still difficult with Census data 421,270,000 in January-December 2000. that purportedly reflected the entire out interpolation are 103,751,000 These two four consecutive quarters industry, while the NAMA-Veris fig- cwts in July-September 2012, against ures represent 95.4% of capacity. As a 97,247,000 in April-June and 98,703,000 are the only ones topping 420 million. NAMA and Veris Consulting, Inc. result, only the total U.S. flour output in January-March. NAMA output in the have been gathering data on U.S. numbers appear to produce satisfac- fourth quarter of 2011 was 101,122,000 cwts and in July-September of 2011 flour production as well as state and tory comparisons. As noted previously, the Census Bu- was 100,561,000. The latter was the first state-groupings, output of durum semolina and whole wheat flour reau, which had compiled flour pro- quarter reported by NAMA following since July-September 2011 when the duction data for years, did not disclose the halt of Census data. NAMA reported the 24-hour capacity of Quarterly ﬂour production, operating rate and milling capacity reporting mills in the quarter at 1,473,280 Third quarter 2012 Second quarter 2012 Third quarter 2011 cwts, which when diMilling Milling Milling vided by .954 generProduction Operating capacity Production Operating capacity Production Operating capacity ated 1,544,000 cwts as 1,000 cwts rate cwts 1,000 cwts rate 1,000 cwts 1,000 cwts rate cwts the interpolated inAlabama and Louisiana 3,097 109.0% 37,400 3,075 101.4% 39,400 3,057 95.9% 41,400 dustry daily capacity. California 7,211 85.2% 111,300 7,086 85.9% 107,100 6,899 84.4% 106,200 That estimated total Colorado,Oklahoma, was up 7,000 from the and Kansas 11,532 93.0% 163,200 10,535 83.8% 163,200 10,071 88.7% 147,500 second quarter and Florida, Georgia, was 25,000 more than and South Carolina 4,673 97.4% 63,100 4,572 94.1% 63,100 3,788 92.5% 53,200 Idaho and Montana 2,801 97.1% 37,950 2,835 97.0% 37,950 2,637 92.4% 37,050 a year earlier. Illinois, Indiana, Milling & Baking and Wisconsin 8,932 99.3% 118,400 8,010 89.4% 116,400 6,999 94.0% 96,700 News from the above Iowa and Nebraska 3,155 90.8% 45,720 2,923 83.0% 45,720 2,948 83.7% 45,720 data computed the sixKentucky and Tennessee 4,037 107.3% 49,500 3,864 101.4% 49,500 3,910 102.6% 49,500 day average milling Maryland and Virginia 2,807 83.3% 44,350 2,547 74.6% 44,350 1,665 84.6% 25,550 operating rate for the Michigan 2,057 91.7% 29,500 1,943 84.4% 29,900 2,045 87.1% 30,500 third-quarter at 92.7%, Minnesota 8,142 99.2% 108,000 7,624 90.6% 109,300 7,731 91.6% 109,650 up from 86.2% in the Missouri 6,280 100.9% 81,900 5,126 81.3% 81,900 6,389 100.1% 82,900 second quarter, and up New Jersey and New York 7,597 101.0% 98,950 7,508 98.5% 98,950 7,388 97.0% 98,950 North Carolina 3,132 78.6% 52,400 3,044 75.5% 52,400 2,920 72.4% 52,350 from 90.1% a year ago. North Dakota 5,450 76.7% 93,500 4,780 70.4% 88,200 5,183 88.2% 76,300 It was the highest rate Ohio 5,686 96.4% 77,650 5,313 88.9% 77,650 5,569 93.4% 77,400 since July-September Oregon, Utah, 2007, which averaged and Washington 4,265 78.9% 71,160 4,355 70.2% 80,560 4,287 81.5% 68,300 93.4%. The recent peak Pennsylvania 5,888 87.0% 89,000 5,131 83.7% 79,600 5,888 86.1% 88,800 operating rate for flour Texas 4,764 90.3% 69,400 4,675 87.1% 69,746 4,744 88.8% 69,400 mills in any quarter was All other states (Arizona, Hawaii, Maine, Massachusetts) 94.8% in 1993. 2,244 95.6% 30,900 2,302 96.8% 30,900 6,441 90.8% 92,100 Operating rate estimates are based on 76 Total 103,751 92.7% 1,473,280 97,247 86.2% 1,465,826 100,561 90.1% 1,449,470 days in the third quarSource: Veris ter against 77 in the
10 / November 13, 2012 Milling & Baking News bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com

January-September ﬂour output reaches new record high

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Milling & Baking News - November 13, 2012

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