Milling & Baking News - May 10, 2016 - 39

Ingredient Market Trends
Weekly Spotlight

Kansas wheat tour forecasts
higher yields, larger crop

T

he annual Wheat Quality Council's
Kansas wheat tour was conducted
last week, and participants
forecast the hard winter wheat yield in
the state to average 48.6 bus per acre
compared with 37 bus per acre in 2015. If
the forecast is realized, the 2016 Kansas
winter wheat yield would be the highest
since the record 49 bus per acre in 1998.
The average of tour participants' crop
production forecasts was 382.4 million
bus, which would compare with 321.9
Indexes
million bus in 2015 and the recent ﬁveyear average outturn of 310 million bus.
White Pan Bread Ingredients
It would be the largest Kansas crop since
480 million bus in 2003 and would be
nearly the same size as the 2012 crop at
382.2 million bus.
Earlier in the week, Plains Grains,
Inc. forecast the average wheat yield in
Oklahoma at 33.6 bus per acre compared
with 26 bus per acre in 2015. It would be
the highest yield since 36 bus per acre
in 2012. The Plains Grains' tour forecast
the 2016 Oklahoma crop at 128.5 million
bus, which would be the largest crop
Devil's Food Snack Cake Ingredients
since 154.8 million bus in 2012. Colorado
crop scouts forecast that state's average
wheat yield at 39 bus per acre and the
state's production at 78 million bus. The
yield forecast was the highest since 43.5
bus per acre in 2010, but because of an
expected smaller harvested area, the
production forecast fell short of the 2015
outturn at 79.6 million bus.
Observations of the participants in
the Kansas, Colorado and Oklahoma
wheat tours were in accord with U.S.
Department of Agriculture assessments
Price Indicators
as contained in its weekly Crop Progress
2
3
report, i.e. the hard winter wheat crop,
THIS LAST WEEKS WEEKS
indeed, the entire winter wheat crop,
WEEK WEEK AGO AGO
was in much better condition this early
Pan-bread flour
May than was the case a year ago. The
Wheat futures,
U.S.D.A. in its most recent weekly report
K.C., May
indicated 61% of the nation's winter
Hard winter
wheat crop was in good to excellent
premiums,
condition on May 1, up two percentage
12.2% protein
points from the previous week and
Millfeed, K.C.,
compared with 43% around the same
30-day
date in 2015.
Soybean oil
In the latest week, the U.S.D.A.
Cane sugar
indicated hard red winter wheat
Cocoa
condition improved in the key states
bakingbusiness.com
/ world-grain.com
39 / July 3, 2007 X
Milling & Baking News

with the exception of Kansas, which saw
a one percentage point decline from a
week earlier. Hard winter wheat rated
good to excellent on May 1 was 52% in
Kansas, 64% in Oklahoma, 49% in Texas,
61% in Nebraska, 65% in Colorado, 73%
in South Dakota and 65% in Montana.
In comparison, hard winter wheat

rated good to excellent on May 3, 2015,
was 27% in Kansas, 38% in Oklahoma,
52% in Texas, 35% in Nebraska, 54% in
Colorado, 20% in South Dakota and 63%
in Montana.
In the Central states, the key region for
soft red winter wheat, wheat condition
was steady or improved in each state
during the week ended May 1, and each
state's crop was rated more highly than
its 2015 crop around the same date a
year ago. Wheat rated good to excellent
on May 1 was 68% in Missouri, 68% in
Illinois, 78% in Indiana, 82% in Ohio and
72% in Michigan. In comparison, soft
red winter wheat rated good to excellent
on May 3, 2015, was 56% in Missouri,
56% in Illinois, 62% in Indiana, 60% in
Ohio and 58% in Michigan.
Certainly much can happen in the
weeks before harvest, and as soft wheat
ﬂour millers and users know from hard
experience, condition in the ﬁeld may
not translate directly to a crop with good
milling and baking quality. But as of this
date, prospects seem promising for a
good winter wheat harvest. MBN
Milling
& Baking News X
May 10, 2016 / 39
bakingbusiness.com
/ world-grain.com
http://www.bakingbusiness.com http://www.world-grain.com
Milling & Baking News - May 10, 2016

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Milling & Baking News - May 10, 2016
