World Grain - October 2013 - 105

WORLD GRAIN ARCHIVE

1983

1993

2003

World grain consumption may increase by more than 50% over the
next 20 years, Jean-Henri Parotte,
executive secretary, International
Wheat Council, told an International Milling Association meeting
in Edinburgh, Scotland.
Looking at the long-term outlook for the grain industry, Parotte
said, “The first element to consider is population growth. It is estimated that the world’s population
will rise by about 40% from 4.6
billion in 1983 to 6.1 billion by
the year 2000.
“These projections alone show
that there will be a substantial
increase in the demand for grain
in the future. Moreover, incomes
in many countries are bound to
rise, leading to further expansion in direct consumption and
livestock feeding.”
Parotte estimated that world grain
trade in the year 2000 could amount
to some 360 million tonnes, compared with an average of 210 million tonnes in 1979 to1981. World
wheat trade might rise from 95 million tonnes on average to 150 million tonnes.

P.T. Bogasari Flour Mills is adding a new milling facility to its complex at Jakarta, already the world’s
largest flour milling operation on
a single site. The company is also
discussing the construction of a
1,000-tonne-capacity mill at Belawan, North Sumatra, as a joint venture with the Rodamas Group and
ABC Group, both of Indonesia, and
Gold Coin of Malaysia.
The new Jakarta mill, to be
completed in November, will have
a daily grinding capacity of 1,600
tonnes of wheat. Currently, Bogasari’s Jakarta complex consists
of five plants with a total daily
grinding capacity of 5,400 tonnes
of wheat.

Despite a better cereal harvest
and the lifting of economic sanctions, nearly half of the 26.3 million
Iraqi population is estimated to be
poor and in need of food assistance.
Cereal production in Iraq is forecast at 4.12 million tonnes, 22%
higher than estimated in 2002. Cereal imports for 2003-04 (June/
July) are estimated at 3.44 million
tonnes, of which 3.2 million tonnes
are likely to be purchased commercially and 244,000 tonnes are foodaid pledges.

Rank Hovis McDougall, a leading British milling and baking company, is offering for sale 25% of
Cerebos Pacific, which will raise
£10 million ($16 million), before
expenses, which will be used for
further expansion and to strengthen
the group’s financial resources.
Cerebos Pacific is the holding
company for RHM’s trading subsidiaries and associated companies
in the Far East and Australasia. The
Far East business process and market range of convenience foods,
including the well-known Brands
of Essence of Chicken, while the
Australasian side makes and markets a wide range of branded grocery products.

World wheat consumption by
the year 2000 should increase
by at least 10% from current
levels, according to Daniel Amstutz, executive director of the
International Wheat Council,
London, England.
Speaking at the Grain and Feed
Trade Association’s 1993 annual
dinner in London, Amstutz also
said world wheat trade should
grow by 20%, to 120 million
tonnes, in the next seven years.
Amstutz predicted that China
would become the single largest wheat importer and that Asia
would constitute 50% of the
world market. The African market also is likely to grow, he said,
and would be more than twice as
large as the market in the Former
Soviet Union.
The expected growth makes
it important for political leaders
to conclude the GATT talks, he
said. “The hope is…that they will
remember that the objective of
GATT is to expand markets, to liberalize trade, to create great trade
flows and to generate more wealth
in developing countries.”

www.World-Grain.com / World Grain / October 2013

Russia’s first grain exchange
opened in Lipetsk on Sept. 18,
2003. The inauguration was put
back from Aug. 18, because unfavorable weather conditions had prevented grain producers from being
ready.
Moscow Stock Exchange VicePresident Alexey Ryzhikov told local press agencies that nine participants had been registered already
and another six had submitted their
applications. Approximately 20 to
30 participants were expected to
join by the beginning of trade.
Flour mills in India’s southern
states have been running at less than
50% capacity, as more than 200
mills have not received wheat from
the Food Corporation of India (FCI)
in eight months. Several small flour
mills have been forced to close.
Some mills have been procuring
wheat from the open market, but rising wheat prices prompted the Confederation of Flour Mills of Southern
States to request the 50% duty on
wheat imports be dropped, as millers
fear wheat stocks are insufficient and
imports will be needed.
Considering the supply-demand
position, India’s government said
it would stop exports, although a
30,000-tonne wheat shipment was
announced in early September.

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
105

http://www.World-Grain.com

World Grain - October 2013

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - October 2013