The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 66

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66 MHEDA
832956_MSE.indd
1 | themhedajournal.org

14/09/16 4:40 pm

Upside and downside risks for the industrial part of the
material handling industry will be intrinsically linked in
2018 to the health of the economy and U.S. tax policy.
U.S. fiscal policy. If markets and businesses believe enough groundwork
has been laid by fiscal policy to ensure
strong growth, then the economy could
see additional upside surprises in 2018.
Upside and downside risks for the
industrial part of the material handling
industry will be intrinsically linked in
2018 to the health of the economy and
U.S. tax policy. On the upside, the
global economic outlook for 2018 is
looking very strong with solid manufacturing purchasing manager indices
(PMIs) out of the United States, the
Eurozone, and China.
The automation side of material handling is likely to continue to experience growth at an accelerated pace.
Technology and innovation have
become core parts of most business
strategies, and the percent of retail
sales attributable to e-commerce has
been steadily rising. Through the second quarter of 2017, 8.9 percent of all
retail sales could be attributed to e-commerce. We see the potential for businesses tied to e-commerce to remain
relatively evergreen, as the absolute
level of sales and the percent of retail
sales are likely to be significantly higher
in just a few years.

MHEM Forecast
New Orders are expected to rise for
2017 (by $2.5 billion) to a record level
of $34.8 billion.
New Orders are predicted to rise to
$36.2 billion in 2018 and to $37.4 billion in 2018.
Shipments are expected to rise in
2017 (by +$2.6 billion) to a record
$34.2 billion, and they are also expected
to rise in 2018 to $35.6 billion and continue to rise to $36.8 billion in 2019.
Domestic Demand is expected to rise
in 2017 (by $3.1 billion) to a new record
of $36.8 billion and continue to rise to
$37.7 billion in 2018 and $38.7 billion
in 2019.

Imports are expected to rise in 2017
to $7.5 billion, while exports rise to $4.9
billion. Imports are expected to rise to
$7.6 billion while exports will rise to
$5.5 billion in 2018.

Overall economic growth
forecasted to continue
in 2018
U.S. and global economic growth are
likely to continue in 2018. But the U.S.
economy is exposed to downside risks
associated with fiscal policy disappointment. Parts of material handling may
prove economically agnostic, as e-commerce continues to experience unabated
growth. The dollar faces some downside
risks, while interest rates globally face
upside risks, and commodity prices could
rise further with continued global growth.
The most important leading indicators
of economy growth will remain critical
PMIs. For material handling, the most
important indicator to watch remains
the MHI Business Activity Index (BAI).
Readings above 50 support the outlook
for growth, while multiple readings
below 50 would be a cause for concern.
My advice to all in our industry is
to keep a sharp eye on the disruptors
to the economy, for example artificial
intelligence (AI) which is going to be
significant in the next couple of years.

Trade Events are
Positive Indicators
MODEX 2018 will be presented in
Atlanta from April 9-12 at the Georgia
World Congress Center. MODEX has seen
positive growth and will showcase for the
first time on two show floors (Georgia
World Congress B and C Halls) with over
850 exhibitors.
We are also seeing record interest in
our exhibit space selection for ProMat in
2019. Such activity signals confidence in
the economy and our industry.
You can learn more about MHI and our
programming at MHI.org.


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Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018

Chairman’s Perspective
From the Desk of Liz Richards
Editor’s Note
MEET MHEDA’S 2018 BOARD OF DIRECTORS AND MBOA
MHEDA’S 2018 MATERIAL HANDLING BUSINESS TRENDS
Ask A MHEDA-NET Group
MHEDA Calendar
MHEDA MEMBER PROFILE
@WORK
WOMEN IN INDUSTRY
DISTRIBUTOR FORECAST
SUPPLIER FORECAST
MHI FORECAST
ITA FORECAST
CEMA FORECAST
ITR ECONOMICS FORECAST
2018 MHEDA CONVENTION SCHEDULE
THE RULE OF 72
New Members
Spotlight on Association News
MHEDA Milestones
Index to Advertisers by Product Category
Index of Advertisers by Alphabetical
The Last Word
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Intro
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - cover1
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - cover2
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 3
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 4
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 5
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 6
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 7
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 8
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 9
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 10
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Chairman’s Perspective
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 12
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - From the Desk of Liz Richards
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 14
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Editor’s Note
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 16
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - MEET MHEDA’S 2018 BOARD OF DIRECTORS AND MBOA
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 18
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 19
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 20
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 21
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 22
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 23
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 24
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 25
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - MHEDA’S 2018 MATERIAL HANDLING BUSINESS TRENDS
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 27
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 28
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Ask A MHEDA-NET Group
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 30
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 31
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 32
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 33
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - MHEDA Calendar
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 35
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - MHEDA MEMBER PROFILE
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 37
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 38
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 39
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 40
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - @WORK
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 42
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - WOMEN IN INDUSTRY
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - DISTRIBUTOR FORECAST
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 45
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 46
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 47
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 48
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 49
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 50
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 51
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 52
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 53
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - SUPPLIER FORECAST
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 55
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 56
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 57
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 58
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 59
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 60
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 61
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 62
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 63
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 64
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - MHI FORECAST
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 66
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 67
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - ITA FORECAST
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 69
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 70
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 71
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 72
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - CEMA FORECAST
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - ITR ECONOMICS FORECAST
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 75
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 76
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 77
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 2018 MHEDA CONVENTION SCHEDULE
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 79
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - THE RULE OF 72
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 81
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 82
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - New Members
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Spotlight on Association News
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 85
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - MHEDA Milestones
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - 87
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Index to Advertisers by Product Category
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - Index of Advertisers by Alphabetical
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - The Last Word
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - cover3
The MHEDA Journal - First Quarter, 2018 - cover4
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