JED - March 2015 - (Page 6)
the view
f rom he re
ANTICIPATING
SURPRISE
The
Electronic
Warfare
Publication
www.crows.org
The Journal of Electronic Defense
March 2015 * Vol. 38, No. 3
EDITORIAL STAFF
Editor: John Knowles
Managing Editor: Elaine Richardson
Senior Editor: John Haystead
Technical Editor: Ollie Holt
Contributing Writers: Dave Adamy, Kernan Chaisson,
Barry Manz, Richard Scott
Marketing & Research Coordinator: Kent Agramonte
Proofreader: Shauna Keedian
Sales Administration: Candice Blair
B
The Journal of Electronic Defense | March 2015
6
ack in January, the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity
(IARPA) released a Broad Agency Announcement from its Office for
Anticipating Surprise. I had never heard of this office before, but the
more I thought about it, the more it intrigued me. Of course, can you call
something a "surprise" if you anticipate it? Still, I began thinking about
the concept of "anticipating surprise" in the context of electronic warfare. How does
the EW community anticipate surprise, and how could we do a better job of matching
threat technology when it evolves so quickly?
Historically, the DOD has been pretty poor at anticipating surprise in EW. There
are some threats that DOD can focus on very well, such as air defense radars and antiship missiles that are developed in Russian military design bureaus. However, when a
commercial technology (such as a wireless doorbell or a mobile phone used to trigger
an IED) is "weaponized," the DOD is surprised. DOD intelligence agencies focus on
conventional threat technology, and their ability to track and recognize commercial
technology as a potential source of threats is weak. The DOD's EW labs understand
the threat potential of commercial technology very well. But the labs don't get to set
many of the threat priorities for DOD. The requirements community does that, and
they focus on the validated threats instead of the potential threats.
So, how can the DOD begin to anticipate surprise in EW? The DOD could begin by
shifting from a "reactive" posture to a more aggressive "active" posture with regard
to R&D. Why wait for the threat to be fielded, if the potential threat's technology
is already being developed in the commercial sector? Empowering the DOD's EW labs
to act with more initiative and giving them a specific pot of EW funding to address
commercial technologies that are being developed today would be a good start. These
labs would, in turn, distribute this S&T funding to EW companies that would study
commercial technologies and, in some cases, develop countermeasures to defeat these
"threats." This would be different than the present system in the sense that the
objective is to anticipate threat technology rather than react to commercial technology once it is weaponized. The companies who receive these awards must put up a
matching amount of internal R&D funding focused on the same objective. And, the
companies would be given a fairly free hand to spend that S&T money on long-range,
forward-looking EW R&D that addresses commercial threat technology.
Many years ago, Maj Gen John Corder USAF (Ret.) (the EW architect of the air war
in Operation Desert Storm) told me it was ridiculous that so many in the DOD thought
EW always had to lag behind the threat. There's no reason (other than a lack of imagination) why this has to be so. What if the DOD could spend a small amount of money
getting ahead of a particular threat rather than spending a lot more money reacting
to it? Now, that would be a surprise. - J. Knowles
EDITORIAL ADVISORY BOARD
Mr. Micael Johansson
Senior Vice President and Head of Business Area,
Electronic Defence Systems, Saab
Mr. Edgar Maimon
General Manager, Elbit Systems EW and SIGINT - Elisra
Mr. Jeffrey Palombo
Senior VP and GM, Land and Self-Protection Systems Division,
Electronic Systems, Northrop Grumman Corp.
Mr. Steve Roberts
Vice President, Strategy, Selex Galileo
Mr. Travis Slocumb
VP, Electronic Warfare Systems, Raytheon Space and Airborne Systems
Mr. Rich Sorelle
President, Electronic Systems Division, Exelis
Gp Capt P.J. Wallace
Assistant Head Targeting, Military Strategic Effects, UK MOD
Dr. Richard Wittstruck
Acting Deputy Program Executive Officer, PEO Intelligence, Electronic
Warfare and Sensors, USA
PRODUCTION STAFF
Layout & Design: Barry Senyk
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The Journal of Electronic Defense
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©2015 Association of Old Crows/Naylor, LLC. All rights reserved. The
contents of this publication may not be reproduced by any means, in
whole or in part, without the prior written authorization of the publisher.
Editorial: The articles and editorials appearing in this magazine do not
represent an official AOC position, except for the official notices printed
in the "Association News" section or unless specifically identified as an
AOC position.
PUBLISHED MARCH 2015/JED-M0315/8949
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Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JED - March 2015
The View From Here
Conferences Calendar
Courses Calendar
From the President
The Monitor
World Report
Charting the Future for DIRCM
How Far Can We Take GaN Technology?
Book Reviews
EW 101
AOC News
2015 AOC Industry Member Guide
Index of Advertisers
JED Quick Look
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