JED - June 2017 - 32

The US Army plans to begin fielding the CIRCM system (test unit shown above) on its helicopters
beginning in 2019. (Northrop Grumman)

procurement. Now, we guess they could
begin their own ADIRCM procurement
somewhat earlier, at least for a limited
number of helicopters, and then choose
between ADIRCM and CIRCM (or split
production between both, for different
platforms) in a few years.
We have moved our ADIRCM funding
forecasts forward somewhat, considering we now know much more RDT&E
spending has been ongoing than has
been in public budgets, but we still do
not see major production ramping up as
soon as is likely for the Army CIRCM. We
also consider future ADIRCM funding
beyond the initial 12 systems to still be
"available," as DRS is not guaranteed future production yet (which could still go
to CIRCM or another low-cost system).

Available
Northrop Grumman
BAE Systems

CONCLUSIONS: A MARKET WORTH BILLIONS IS "AVAILABLE"
DIRCM Market Shares
1,200

900
($ Millions)

The Journal of Electronic Defense | June 2017

32

to offer an alternative to today's additive, federated systems by combining
multi-function capabilities like missile
detection, missile defeat, hostile fire
detection, and situational awareness
in a single system. The benefits to the
warfighters are amplified through the
reduced life cycle sustainment cost associated with maintaining a single system
rather than three or four separate, federated systems."
Considering that the US Navy has
been funding a CIRCM-alternative all
along, despite the DOD's "sole acquisition" directive for CIRCM...well, our
forecasts are highly speculative. We
thought the Navy would wait for CIRCM to prove itself somewhat with the
Army before initiating its own major

Following billions of dollars already
spent for ATIRCM, CIRCM, and ADIRCM
development, and LAIRCM procurement
- peaking during America's Asian wars
in FY2011 - the future of the DIRCM
market is still undecided. Yes, it will be
worth even more billions than already
spent, but to whom and for what?
Teal Group Corp. forecasts funding for
new systems and new technology will
increase consistently from today, with
a 3.7% CAGR from FY2016 to FY2021, increasing to a 5.7% CAGR from FY2016 to
FY2026. DIRCM market funding in our
chart is composed of cumulative forecasts
for all systems and programs, analyzed
individually based on Pentagon and other
data, and represents all funding available
to US manufacturers, whether from US
DOD funding or from international buys.
These forecasts do not include associated
missile warning system (MWS) funding,
which is typically a small component of
DIRCM suite funding, and which is forecast separately by Teal Group.
DIRCM funding in FY2017 shows a
spike due to US Army CIRCM procurement funding in the OCO budget for
76 initial (test) systems, with funding
dropping back again in FY2018. The
Navy also has extra OCO funding in
FY2017, for 12 initial (test) ADIRCM systems. So, aside from this spike, today we
are at the low-point lull in DIRCM spending (FY2016-FY2017).

Available

600

300

FY190 FY20
FY21 FY22
FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

FY23
FY12

FY11

FY24
FY25 FY26
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19

FY13

(Fiscal Year)

FY20

FY21

FY22

FY23

FY24

FY25

FY26



JED - June 2017

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JED - June 2017

The View From Here
Conferences Calendar
Courses Calendar
From the President
The Monitor
World Report
DIRCM Past & Present
Technology Survey: GaN Transistors
EW 101
Report from the 42nd Annual Collaborative EW Symposium
AOC News
2017 AOC International Election Guide
JED Quick Look
Index of Advertisers
JED - June 2017 - intro
JED - June 2017 - cover1
JED - June 2017 - cover2
JED - June 2017 - 3
JED - June 2017 - 4
JED - June 2017 - 5
JED - June 2017 - The View From Here
JED - June 2017 - 7
JED - June 2017 - Conferences Calendar
JED - June 2017 - 9
JED - June 2017 - Courses Calendar
JED - June 2017 - 11
JED - June 2017 - From the President
JED - June 2017 - 13
JED - June 2017 - 14
JED - June 2017 - insert1
JED - June 2017 - insert2
JED - June 2017 - The Monitor
JED - June 2017 - 16
JED - June 2017 - 17
JED - June 2017 - 18
JED - June 2017 - 19
JED - June 2017 - 20
JED - June 2017 - 21
JED - June 2017 - World Report
JED - June 2017 - 23
JED - June 2017 - DIRCM Past & Present
JED - June 2017 - 25
JED - June 2017 - 26
JED - June 2017 - 27
JED - June 2017 - 28
JED - June 2017 - 29
JED - June 2017 - 30
JED - June 2017 - 31
JED - June 2017 - 32
JED - June 2017 - 33
JED - June 2017 - 34
JED - June 2017 - Technology Survey: GaN Transistors
JED - June 2017 - 36
JED - June 2017 - 37
JED - June 2017 - 38
JED - June 2017 - 39
JED - June 2017 - 40
JED - June 2017 - 41
JED - June 2017 - 42
JED - June 2017 - EW 101
JED - June 2017 - 44
JED - June 2017 - Report from the 42nd Annual Collaborative EW Symposium
JED - June 2017 - AOC News
JED - June 2017 - 47
JED - June 2017 - 2017 AOC International Election Guide
JED - June 2017 - 49
JED - June 2017 - 50
JED - June 2017 - 51
JED - June 2017 - 52
JED - June 2017 - 53
JED - June 2017 - 54
JED - June 2017 - 55
JED - June 2017 - JED Quick Look
JED - June 2017 - Index of Advertisers
JED - June 2017 - 58
JED - June 2017 - cover3
JED - June 2017 - cover4
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