ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 48

APPRAISAL

Sukhoi SuperJet
SSJ100
Bob Cowgill
ISTAT Certified Senior Appraiser
Managing Director
ACI Aviation Consulting/Airliner Price Guide

bcowgill@aciaviation.com
www.aciaviation.com

Photo courtesy of Sukhoi Civil Aircraft Company

W

hen I last
addressed
the
SuperJet
SSJ100
(Jetrader
Spring
2014), the program was arguably
still maturing. There were numerous
positive signs, including a successful
launch at Mexican LCC InterJet and a
large order book indicating a potential
successful and international effort
by Russia's Sukhoi Civil Aircraft
Company. The most significant thing
the program appeared to lack was an
FAA certification program to put the
aircraft on the radar of U.S. regionals
and lessors and in direct competition
with the E-190 and CRJ-1000.

Today, prospects are unclear. While
the aircraft seems to have solidified
its position with Russian carriers, the
same cannot be said of its entry into
the West where the largest customers
have either removed the type from the
fleet (CityJet) or have cast doubt on its
future deployment (InterJet).
The SSJ100-95 is a twin-engine
regional jet fitted with up to 108 seats
in a single-class configuration. Offered
in two variants, the SSJ100-95B
boasts range of 1,452 NM and MTOW
of 101,150, while the heavier -95LR
version weighs in at 109,000 pounds
MTOW with a range of 2,333 NM.
The aircraft is equipped with
substantial content from Western
manufacturers, including landing gear
from Safran, avionics from Thales, APU

from Honeywell and flight controls from
the Liebherr Aerospace, among others.
Propulsion is provided by two PowerJet
SaM146 engines produced by a 50/50
joint venture of Safran Aircraft Engines
and UEC Saturn. Engine support is
provided under the PowerLife™ banner.
Based on data supplied by Sukhoi
and other public sources, 160 aircraft
have been produced, with only 138 in
operation. Most of the in-service aircraft,
over 100, are with Russian operators,
with the largest fleets being held by
Aeroflot, Yamal Airlines, Azimuth and
Gazpromavia.
According to Sukhoi, 22 aircraft
were delivered in 2018, with 20 planned
in 2019. Recently, Sukhoi announced a
contract with startup Thai Kom Airlines
for six aircraft that will begin delivery

SSJ 100-95B Passenger Current and Future Values with 2% Compound Annual Inflation
YOM

Current
Market Value

2019
Base Value

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2010

13.43

13.57

12.44

11.40

10.42

9.51

8.66

7.85

7.10

6.38

5.71

5.08

2011

14.12

14.26

13.09

12.02

11.01

10.08

9.21

8.39

7.62

6.89

6.21

5.57

2012

14.83

14.98

13.77

12.65

11.62

10.66

9.76

8.92

8.14

7.40

6.71

6.05

2013

15.57

15.72

14.46

13.30

12.22

11.23

10.31

9.45

8.65

7.90

7.20

6.53

2014

16.42

16.59

15.25

14.03

12.91

11.88

10.92

10.03

9.21

8.43

7.71

7.03

2015

17.32

17.49

16.07

14.78

13.60

12.53

11.53

10.61

9.76

8.96

8.22

7.52

2016

18.25

18.43

16.91

15.55

14.31

13.18

12.14

11.18

10.30

9.48

8.71

8.00

2017

19.32

19.51

17.87

16.41

15.09

13.89

12.80

11.80

10.88

10.03

9.23

8.50

2018

20.45

20.65

18.88

17.30

15.89

14.62

13.47

12.42

11.45

10.57

9.75

8.98

Values in Millions of US Dollars
48

* T H E O F F I C I A L P U B L I C AT I O N O F I S TAT


http://www.aciaviation.com

ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019

ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019
From the President
Contents
News & Event Calendar
Perspectives: Q&A With ISTAT President Gerry Butler
‘The City Beautiful’
Shanghai: The Magic City
‘Getting Things Done’
Aviation History: The North American F-82
Appraisal: Boeing 737-800BCF and Sukhoi SuperJet SSJ100
ISTAT Foundation: Experiences from Scholarship Recipients
At a Glance: Jay Hancock
What’s Next: ISTAT Flies to Berlin
Advertiser Index
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Intro
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Cover2
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 1
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - From the President
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 3
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 4
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Contents
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 6
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 7
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - News & Event Calendar
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 9
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Perspectives: Q&A With ISTAT President Gerry Butler
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 11
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 12
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 13
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - ‘The City Beautiful’
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 15
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 16
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 17
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 18
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 19
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 20
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 21
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 22
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 23
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 24
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 25
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 26
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 27
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Shanghai: The Magic City
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 29
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 30
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 31
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 32
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 33
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 34
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 35
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - ‘Getting Things Done’
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 37
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 38
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 39
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 40
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 41
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Aviation History: The North American F-82
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 43
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 44
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 45
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Appraisal: Boeing 737-800BCF and Sukhoi SuperJet SSJ100
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 47
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 48
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 49
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - ISTAT Foundation: Experiences from Scholarship Recipients
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 51
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - At a Glance: Jay Hancock
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 53
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - What’s Next: ISTAT Flies to Berlin
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - 55
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Advertiser Index
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Cover3
ISTAT Jetrader - Summer 2019 - Cover4
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