Flight Training - July 2013 - 47

tion for up-and-coming students
who will need to budget for loan
repayment.”
Throughout the remainder of
this decade, hiring slots at major
airlines probably will be very competitive. This is a result of a large
supply of well-qualified regional
pilots in the industry and a small
but notable number of military, corporate, and cargo pilots vying for
limited slots at the major carriers.
Perhaps the study’s bottom line
is this: Demand for airline pilots
looks to pick up significantly after
2019 from an average of 2,000 Part
121 pilots per year to about 3,500 to
4,000 pilots per year in the 2020s.
That, of course, means a trickle
down to the regional jets when
those flight crews finally move
to the majors, thus opening seat
vacancies for the new professional

pilot. But, these numbers are a far
cry from the staggering annual
pilot hiring of 10,000 or more in
the heyday.
Purchasing the full 160-page
study via Harrison’s website may be
a wise investment in due diligence.
He even provides an option to
cherry-pick portions of the study
(such as the regional airlines section) at minimal cost. Harrison
does provide an overview of his
findings, plus other useful industry
and career tips, at no charge on his
website. He also updates the data to
stay in sync with a fluid industry.
Harrison’s work is thoughtful
and provocative, which seems to
contradict recent literature and
thinking. Notably absent, though,
is any discussion of the second-tier
carriers such as Kalitta, Frontier, Allegiant, Polar, Miami Air,

Hawaiian, and Sun Country—or
the impact of foreign airlines on
the hiring situation. Add to that the
corporate and air charter giants,
which also have personnel needs.
From a simplistic approach, the
pool of eligible, emerging pilot professionals is only so deep with only
so many participants, and the number of airmen who are jumping into
that pool is declining. If there is any
eyebrow to be raised at Harrison’s
notions, it is simply that many pilot
employers well beyond those dozen
or so evaluated in his work dip into
that finite pilot pool for talent. It
may be a quantum leap to conclude
that, since the major carriers have
no shortage of pilot applicants,
there is no pilot shortage.
Wayne Phillips is an airline transport pilot
with Boeing 737 and Falcon 20 type ratings.

Dreaming of becoming a professional pilot?
TransPac Aviation Academy provides first class, cost-effective flight training.
Call today to discover more, and start living your dream!

TransPacAcademy.com or 1.800.83.PILOT | Located in Phoenix, AZ | Approved for VA Benefits


http://www.TransPacAcademy.com

Flight Training - July 2013

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Flight Training - July 2013

Flight Training - July 2013
Contents
Member Benefits
Right Seat
Centerline
Letters
Spin Doctor
Success Story News
How It Works
News
After the Checkride
Asi News
Training Products
Final Exam
Flight Lesson
Checkride
Flying Carpet
Weigh In
Just Like the Real Thing
Glider Pilot for a Day
Technique
Weather
Go or No/go?
Career Advisor
Tech Talk
Two Touchdown Techniques
Keep Your Distance
Talk to Yourself
Advertiser Index
Debrief
Flight Training - July 2013 - Flight Training - July 2013
Flight Training - July 2013 - Cover2
Flight Training - July 2013 - Contents
Flight Training - July 2013 - 2
Flight Training - July 2013 - 3
Flight Training - July 2013 - Member Benefits
Flight Training - July 2013 - 5
Flight Training - July 2013 - Right Seat
Flight Training - July 2013 - 7
Flight Training - July 2013 - Centerline
Flight Training - July 2013 - 9
Flight Training - July 2013 - Letters
Flight Training - July 2013 - 11
Flight Training - July 2013 - Spin Doctor
Flight Training - July 2013 - 13
Flight Training - July 2013 - Success Story News
Flight Training - July 2013 - How It Works
Flight Training - July 2013 - News
Flight Training - July 2013 - After the Checkride
Flight Training - July 2013 - Asi News
Flight Training - July 2013 - 19
Flight Training - July 2013 - Training Products
Flight Training - July 2013 - 21
Flight Training - July 2013 - Final Exam
Flight Training - July 2013 - Flight Lesson
Flight Training - July 2013 - 24
Flight Training - July 2013 - Checkride
Flight Training - July 2013 - Flying Carpet
Flight Training - July 2013 - 27
Flight Training - July 2013 - Weigh In
Flight Training - July 2013 - 29
Flight Training - July 2013 - 30
Flight Training - July 2013 - 31
Flight Training - July 2013 - Just Like the Real Thing
Flight Training - July 2013 - 33
Flight Training - July 2013 - 34
Flight Training - July 2013 - 35
Flight Training - July 2013 - Glider Pilot for a Day
Flight Training - July 2013 - 37
Flight Training - July 2013 - 38
Flight Training - July 2013 - 39
Flight Training - July 2013 - Technique
Flight Training - July 2013 - 41
Flight Training - July 2013 - Weather
Flight Training - July 2013 - 43
Flight Training - July 2013 - 44
Flight Training - July 2013 - Go or No/go?
Flight Training - July 2013 - Career Advisor
Flight Training - July 2013 - 47
Flight Training - July 2013 - Tech Talk
Flight Training - July 2013 - Two Touchdown Techniques
Flight Training - July 2013 - Keep Your Distance
Flight Training - July 2013 - Talk to Yourself
Flight Training - July 2013 - 52
Flight Training - July 2013 - Advertiser Index
Flight Training - July 2013 - 54
Flight Training - July 2013 - 55
Flight Training - July 2013 - Debrief
Flight Training - July 2013 - Cover3
Flight Training - July 2013 - Cover4
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