AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 110

"

Personal-use two-place
aircraft will look more
like the Jetsons and
less like Lindbergh with
vertical takeoff electric
aircraft powered by tiny

antimatter drives,
landing right at home.
I personally would want
a solar-powered carbon
nanotube structured
bird suit for soaring and
augmented exercise.

"

-Tom Peghiny,

Flight Design USA

airport in 2089. "There are some things you
are not seeing," he said. "You are not seeing
leaded fuel. That's long gone.
"We have the leaded fuel challenge
that as far as I know there is no easy way
around. The issues are real. There is no
alternative to these high-compression
engines. Once we pull the trigger to the
next generation of airplanes, you can go to
diesel. We definitely will see diesels in the
future."
Agreeing with that is Rhett Ross of
Chinese-owned Continental Motors, a
company that is counting heavily on the
diesel-engine market in the future. "The
international small aircraft market is going
to go through a renaissance as places like
Africa, China, South America, Pacific Rim,
and eventually, India embrace the benefits
of small aircraft," Ross said. "This will be
facilitated by adoption of a common fuel
[Jet-A/diesel] with large aircraft. The primary reason for a single fuel is logistics
and economics more than anything else. I
believe that this market will rival the North
American and European markets in their
heyday. They may not get us back to 10,000
units plus in small aircraft production, but
they will certainly drive us north of 5,000
per annum."
He is not as optimistic about hybrid
electric aircraft. "Hybrid will occur in aircraft," Ross aid. "It will not really become
110 | AOPA PILOT May 2014

truly viable as a passenger-carrying, longhaul option until the ultracapacitor or
similar higher-power-density device can
be mated with a fuel-based engine. The
laws of physics still apply. Batteries will
not be light enough or stable enough,
based on my understanding of this industry, to meet the weight restrictions of
aircraft."
Analyst Foley offers this view of future
propulsion: "New piston aircraft will have
moved towards purpose-designed aerodiesel engines which are more efficient,
don't need leaded gasoline, and have a
friendlier carbon footprint. By the time
75 years roll around, advances in technology could make diesel-electric or hydrogen
hybrid engines a reality."
"While in the United States 100 low
lead is still widely available and has a terrific distribution chain, the rest of the
world is taking us to a place where Jet-A
is the preferred answer," said Cessna's
Hepburn. He's not expecting electric airplanes to be developed by 2089. "Electrical
propulsion is always interesting to talk
about, but as we all know, battery management for all the little devices we carry
becomes kind of onerous-and it's really
tough to stop and plug in."

"

China, India, Korea,
Brazil, Africa...all the
things you see in terms
of degradation of
aviation in the United States
are actually primed for
growth in other
countries, partly because
they don't have it.
That is where the biggest
change is going to be.

"

-John Hansman,

MIT professor of
aeronautics and
astronautics

"

Flying will still be fun,
still a unique way to look
at the world.

"

-Tyson Weihs,

CEO and cofounder,
ForeFlight

None of the above sounds good for the
future of all-electric aircraft, but futurist Petersen strongly believes a company
called Volta Volaré has the greatest chance
for success. "By the end of this next year
you'll have a four-place electric airplane
that has 1,000-mile range and flies at 170
knots and will recharge in 15 minutes.
Charging stations will be added to FBOs,"
Petersen said.
Paul Peterson (similar last name but
a different spelling) of Volta Volaré confirmed the information and said the
company-which specializes in battery and
energy management technology, and just
happens to have an aircraft factory-is test
flying such an aircraft.
Futurist Petersen didn't stop there,
having once worked with a company developing levitation using gyroscopes (the
attempt, ultimately, didn't fly). "There are
at least four companies working on levitation and antigravity. It's inevitable that it's
going to happen. Airplanes won't even look
like airplanes anymore," he said.
Tom Peghiny, a founder of the Light
Sport aircraft (LSA) industry and a dealer
for its top-selling model, Flight Design,
predicts that two-seat Light Sport aircraft-already known for technological
innovation-may one day use electric propulsion. "The current LSA fleet might
exist in a similar fashion to how we have
Pietenpol Aircampers [designed in 1932]
and OX-5-powered biplanes [1917], either
converted over to electric powerplants or
special-use waivers running on biofuel
with double carbon credits."
FLYING CARS

For years flying cars have captured the
imagination of the press and the public. By



AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014

AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014
Contents
President’s Position
Letters
Waypoints
Proficient Pilot
Safety Pilot
License to Learn
Pilot Counsel
Airport Stories
Events
Then and Now
Pilot Products
Then and Now
Famous Women Pilots
AOPA News
Aerial Taxicabs
News
Test Pilot
AOPA Fly-Ins
Fly-Outs
There at the Beginning
Pioneer Legacy
The First to Sign Up
Airports and their Stories
A Plane-Crazy America
Boom Times
General Aviation Giants
Same as it Ever Was
What If?
Advanced Technology
How Will We Fly in 2089?
Never Again
AOPA Action
State & Local Action
Member Services
AOPA Foundation
Insurance Services
Fly by Wire
Pilots
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Cover2
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Contents
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 2
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 3
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 4
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 5
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - President’s Position
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 7
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 8
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 9
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 10
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 11
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 12
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 13
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Letters
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 15
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 16
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 17
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Waypoints
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 19
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Proficient Pilot
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 21
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Safety Pilot
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 23
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - License to Learn
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 25
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Pilot Counsel
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 27
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 28
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 29
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Airport Stories
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 31
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Events
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 33
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 34
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Then and Now
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Pilot Products
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 37
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Then and Now
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 39
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 40
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Famous Women Pilots
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - AOPA News
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 43
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 44
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Aerial Taxicabs
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - News
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 47
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Test Pilot
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 49
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 50
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 51
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 52
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 53
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 54
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - AOPA Fly-Ins
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Fly-Outs
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - R-1
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - R-2
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - R-3
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - R-4
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 57
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - There at the Beginning
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 59
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 60
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 61
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Pioneer Legacy
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 63
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - The First to Sign Up
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 65
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 66
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 67
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 68
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 69
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Airports and their Stories
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 71
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 72
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 73
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 74
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 75
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - A Plane-Crazy America
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 77
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 78
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 79
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 80
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 81
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Boom Times
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 83
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - General Aviation Giants
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 85
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 86
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 87
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 88
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 89
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 90
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 91
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Same as it Ever Was
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 93
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 94
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 95
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 96
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 97
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - What If?
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 99
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 100
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 101
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 102
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 103
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Advanced Technology
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 105
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - How Will We Fly in 2089?
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 107
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 108
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 109
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 110
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 111
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 112
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 113
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Never Again
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 115
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 116
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 117
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 118
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 119
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 120
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 121
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - AOPA Action
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 123
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - State & Local Action
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 125
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Member Services
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 127
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - AOPA Foundation
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 129
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Insurance Services
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 131
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Fly by Wire
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 133
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 134
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - 135
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Pilots
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Cover3
AOPA Pilot Magazine - May 2014 - Cover4
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