Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 16

AUTOMOTIVE NEWS EUROPE

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AUTOMAKERS

Static to ecstatic
Compact SUV sales expected to stall this year before big gains return in 2021
NICK GIBBS

ngibbs@crain.com

T

he compact SUV market in Europe is
forecast to be flat this year at more
than 2 million sales after years of growth
as automakers replace key models and
the segment pivots away from diesels
toward electrified models.
After this year, however, LMC Automotive believes the segment will expand to
2.4 million units in 2021 and continue to
rise annually to reach 2.8 million by the
middle of the decade.
Compact SUVs have been an economic
lifeline for volume brands such as Nissan, Ford and Peugeot because of demand for models such as the Qashqai,
Kuga and 3008, respectively.
Booming sales pushed the segment to
become Europe's fourth largest with a
13 percent share of the entire market

last year with a full-year volume of more
than 2 million, figures from JATO Dynamics show. The segment's share has almost doubled since 2014. The Volkswagen Tiguan, helped by a 4 percent sales
gain, passed Nissan's Qashqai to take
the segment lead. The Peugeot 3008
was third (see table, Page 17).
The sales disruption forecast by LMC for
2020 is expected partly because the Qashqai will be replaced later this year and
the Kuga is currently being succeeded by
a new version.
Therefore, LMC believes the 2020 sales of
compact SUVs will be close to its estimate
for the segment for 2019, which is 2.2
million (LMC's full-year results for Europe
were still being compiled at press time).
LMC also points out that 2020 sales might
continue to dip for the Hyundai Tucson and
Kia Sportage ahead of the arrival of their
successors in 2021.

Tough task
The biggest task facing automakers selling compact SUVs is the transition away
from a heavy reliance on diesel vehicles
to electrified models to better align with
tougher European emissions regulations
and the wishes of consumers.
Although the diesel share for compact
SUVs has fallen from 73 percent in 2015
to 44 percent in 2018, the sheer number
of compact SUVs bought meant that between January and October of last year
no other segment registered more diesel
models, according to JATO. The Tiguan
was the No. 2-selling diesel overall in
Europe through 10 months of last year,
trailing only the VW Golf. The 3008 was
fourth in diesel sales.
Japanese automakers are leading the
charge away from diesels by embracing
hybrids. The Toyota CH-R was No. 6 in
the segment with sales of 121,418 while

The VW Tiguan (shown) took over the top spot in the compact SUV segment from the Nissan Qashqai.

16

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FEBRUARY 2020


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Automotive News Europe - February 2020

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Automotive News Europe - February 2020

Contents
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - Intro
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - Cover1
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - Cover2
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 3
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - Contents
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 5
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 6
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 7
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 8
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 9
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 10
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 11
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 12
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 13
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 14
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 15
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 16
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 17
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 18
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 19
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 20
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 21
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 22
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 23
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 24
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 25
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 26
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 27
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 28
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 29
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 30
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 31
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 32
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 33
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - 34
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - Cover3
Automotive News Europe - February 2020 - Cover4
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