Hydrocarbon Processing - December 2021 - GP-3

EDITORIAL COMMENT
CONTENTS
With Henry Hub (HH) natural gas
A� BLUME,
Editor-in-Chief
prices almost twice as high year over
year, as of the time of writing in late October,
and similarly record-high prices
in Europe and Asia driving competition
for LNG, the gas market is rife with tension.
Below-average storage levels heading
into the heating season have boosted
demand for U.S. LNG and exacerbated
tensions among EU governments.
With electricity prices expected to soar over the 2021-
2022 winter, the European Commission is floating the idea
of joint purchases of natural gas by EU countries and an overhaul
of power markets. Wealthy, climate-driven countries in
northern Europe insist that the present crisis is not tied to EU
green ambitions, while southern and eastern nations are more
skeptical. The EU's plan to ban new fossil fuel cars by 2035
and slap a carbon tax on home heating could prove tough to
sell to consumers if double-digit power price increases materialize
over the winter.
Meanwhile, the U.S. EIA expects HH prices to calm after Q1
2022 as LNG production capacity increases, outpacing demand
for LNG export supply. HH prices are anticipated to average
$4.01/MMBtu in 2022, although the unreliability of weather
forecasts make the price outlook for this winter uncertain.
Just as disruption in gas markets is sure to bring new direction,
this Editorial Comment marks the end of my leadership
of Gas Processing & LNG after 8.5 years. Be on the lookout for
a change in the editorial roster in 2022, and thanks for your
many years of insightful feedback and readership! GP
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Hydrocarbon Processing - December 2021

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