Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 40

2011

country’s most populous states. That same month, Bradesco spent 2 billion reais to buy back 4.1% of itself from Banco Espírito Santo. However, Trabuco Cappi sees the period of major consolidations in Brazil as having passed. Instead, the bank prefers to strengthen the balance of products in retail banking, corporate finance and insurance, setting it apart from the country’s other banks. Bradesco does not need to look for international acquisitions at this point, Trabuco Cappi says. He points to the internationalization of operations, including wholesale, private and corporate banking, as well as asset management. Still, as credit growth slows from levels above 20%, analysts and policy makers are worried about the quality of the newfound wave of borrowers who have entered the middle class in the last few years. And with the central bank struggling to contain inflation at around 6% — the top of its band — many are focusing on the seasoning of loan portfolios even at the largest banks, especially those lines extended to individuals and small businesses. “The social mobility has brought new clients,” says Ceres Lisboa, a financial institutions analyst at Moody’s. “The issue now is how new borrowers will season in a high-inflation environment. There is a challenge here to manage these new clients in this scenario, and the big banks will be able to manage these challenges.” Still, Bradesco looks particularly well positioned to weather any downturn. Shaw explains that as retail exposure slows, Bradesco will especially benefit from a diversified business model , with the region’s largest insurance company contributing roughly one-third of profits. “For a growing society with low unemployment and intense growth in formal employment, it has low risk,” Trabuco Cappi says. “Of course the country could suffer a bit with another international crisis, but we are prepared.” So far, Bradesco and its peers have not seen non-performing loan (NPL) levels rise significantly. It had an NPL

of 4.5% in the first half of 2011, down from 4.9% in the same period in 2010, matching Itaú’s number. Banco do Brasil recorded 2.0%, though the state-owned bank benefits from government-directed lending that makes its portfolio safer than purely private-sector banks like Bradesco and Itaú. Brazil’s three largest banks, fortunately, remain in strong positions to address the challenges facing the sector. They are well-capitalized, and benefit from broad retail networks and product diversity. Their size and protective cushions make them the envy of Latin America as well, as the size of the

The big banks are in a strong position due to a solid capital cushion, cheap funding, high reserves, with Bradesco and Itaú probably best suited to weather the current environment. “They have become more conservative with lending this year after noticing a high inflation scenario in the first quarter,” Lisboa says. Meanwhile, all of Brazil’s larger banks have seen payroll lending as an important source of longevity, and a platform for cross-selling other banking products. More importantly, this is a low risk product that reduces vulnerabilities in a less benign macro environment. Banks must also grapple with the macro-prudential measures the government has been touting in 2011. Though a recent retreat of the real amid a worsening global economic backdrop has cooled tough policy talk somewhat, there are still Basel III requirements to fulfill. Bradesco and its other large peers seem in a good position to face this.

IB growth

Prioritizing organic growth: Trabuco Cappi Brazilian economy affords them a scale that others in the region still have yet to match. Indeed credit growth has been a boon for banking powerhouses like Bradesco. “The growth of credit has given the big banks an opportunity to reach high profitability levels,” says Trabuco Cappi. Still, for all the gains that Brazil’s banks have registered from recent growth, a global slowdown sparked by an unraveling of the debt crisis in Europe could seriously impact lenders’ balance sheets, but probably not enough to cause serious damage at the large institutions, all of which have taken precautionary measures.

Critics will continue to question Bradesco’s investment banking operations, often seen as getting less focus than the retail operation and considered an upstart by some of the more established banks in this sector. That said, the investment banking operation has certainly moved up in the regional league tables. It brought in $3.75 billion in cross-border DCM volume through the first nine months of 2011. This was good enough for eighth place, an improvement from the tenth place position it held for the corresponding period in 2010. In M&A it moved into the top ten, and in ECM it jumped to sixth from eighth, still trailing Brazilian peers BTG Pactual and Itaú in both cases. While expanding, the bank’s international capital markets staff has not been built up to the extent that those two competitors have. That may be a sensible way to proceed given the market backdrop at the moment, and it wouldn’t be out of character for a bank that has taken a cautious approach to its growth strategy. “The option that interests us most right now is organic growth,” Trabuco Cappi says. LF

40 LatinFinance

November/December 2011



Latin Finance - November/December 2011

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Latin Finance - November/December 2011

Latin Finance - November/December 2011
Contents
Contagion Risk
Mexican Credit
China Investment
Loan Markets
Mexico Banks
Sub-Sovereign Debt
Banks of the Year 2011
Argentina Investor Report
Reversal of Fortunes
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Latin Finance - November/December 2011
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Cover2
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Contents
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 2
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 3
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 4
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 5
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 6
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 7
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 8
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 9
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 10
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 11
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Contagion Risk
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 13
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 14
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 15
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 16
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 17
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 18
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 19
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 20
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 21
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Mexican Credit
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 23
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 24
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 25
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - China Investment
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 27
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 28
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 29
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Loan Markets
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 31
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 32
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 33
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Mexico Banks
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 35
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Sub-Sovereign Debt
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 37
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Banks of the Year 2011
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 39
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 40
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 41
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 42
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 43
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 44
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 45
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 46
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 47
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 48
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 49
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 50
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 51
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 52
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 53
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 54
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 55
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 56
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 57
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 58
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 59
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 60
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Argentina Investor Report
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 62
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - 63
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Reversal of Fortunes
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Cover3
Latin Finance - November/December 2011 - Cover4
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/0319QMR
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1218JYM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/paraguay_2018
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8320YTM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8465TBM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1476YBW
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7835THM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8655TGL
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/0614IJP
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/ecuador_20170910
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/2713KNP
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4982CFT
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7803HWE
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/3829THA
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7891MDD
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7714JCR
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/5619CMK
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/6939ASL
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1364ASF
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/0453DAS
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/0453DAS_supp
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1304APV
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7234GSD
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1643XGS
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9511JKM_supp
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9511JKM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8745TNV
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/3629PBC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7466TBC_HSBC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7466TBC_supp
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7466TBC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9463RVB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7345GPY
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/6398TVB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4899EXM_supp
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4899EXM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/3885CWS
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/45923GBC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/67449NBD
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/46733NLP
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/78456HCL
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/89456RBM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/22278HBL
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/2895YBM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9033TBM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8934TNP
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/costarica20130304
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4672PNB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9377BKL
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/drmtest
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/drmtest2
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/5532LMC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9044TBM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4877RBC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/3008JHV
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/3728YBC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9337KLM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/5674GNJ
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8330KMC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7663HCM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/2319ZMB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7110MKL
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8599FHG
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4517HJK
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7813GHB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1564FBM
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8884HGV
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7863SVB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/5233SFB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/5899SML
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/4311PMN
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1366FBB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/9355AXC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8559EBN
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8244QXC
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/1779BBN
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/7144XVB
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/8971QGH
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/200805
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/200804
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/latinfinance/200803
https://www.nxtbookmedia.com