i3 - May/June 2018 - 25

ING

The same automakers promising
to deliver self-driving vehicles in
the next few years are now also pursuing
electrification, and pledge to eventually
stop selling internal combustion engines
(ICE) altogether. Yet consumers are not
clamoring for the move to electrification.
Instead, it is being spurred by government
initiatives in the U.S. and abroad.

T

CHARGING FORWARD

Fossil
fuel-driven
automobiles are
on a path to
extinction,
along with the
driver's seat,
if current
trends persist

According to a report issued in September
by Navigant Research, sales of plug-in
electric vehicles (PEVs) have grown tenfold in North America since 2011, and
2017 was anticipated to be a recordbreaker, with sales growing 50 percent
year-over-year. Most were sold in urban
markets. California, which mandates
sales of zero emission vehicles (ZEVs) by
automakers, has had the greatest market
penetration, Navigant says.
Worldwide, the PEV sales leader in
2016 was Norway, according to the
International Energy Outlook 2017, published in September by the U.S. Energy
Information Administration (EIA).
Slightly more than 19 percent of new
vehicles sold there last year were PEVs,
versus less than two percent in the U.S.,
the EIA report says. EIA adds that plugin hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)
accounted for 41 percent of those sales,
and experienced faster sales growth than
battery electric vehicles (BEVs), because
the Norwegian government offered
greater purchase incentives for PHEVs in
2016 than in prior years.
Overall, Norway's PEV monetary
incentives are the largest in the world,
and China offers the second highest, the
EIA says. In September the Chinese

WARD
FUTURE
BY ROBERT E. CALEM

C TA . t e c h / i 3



i3 - May/June 2018

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