i3 - May/June 2019 - 44

Business

By Jack Cutts

BY T H E N U M B E RS

Adopting Mobile and Fixed 5G

 N  

among other cities. In many cases, these are limited trial
o doubt you have heard lots of hype on
runs designed to help mobile service providers learn how
5G - how fast it is, how it's going to
customers use 5G service, how signals propagate around
change your life, et cetera. Right around major metropolitan areas and some of the real-world capathe time that most U.S. consumer smartphones bilities and limitations of the first generation of 5G broadare 4G capable, the telecom industry comes
band equipment like base stations and picocells. However,
carriers like Verizon are also starting to sell "live" 5G service
back with the latest tech. Fortunately, unless
in select markets.
you live in one of the U.S. cities offering live 5G
The initial sales of 5G capable smartphones will be small
service, you have time before you decide on
in number and only available to those who absolutely need to
upgrading to a 5G compatible mobile device. As
be on the bleeding edge of tech. CTA sees a
we wait for the coast-to-coast rollmodest first year for 5G capable sets, moving
out to begin in earnest, let's look at
around 2.1 million compatible units in 2019.
what the path to 5G will look like for The popularity of As phone manufacturers ramp up production
of handsets with ever-more-powerful and feaboth mobile-use cases (smartphones
smartphones
CPUs and baseband radios, we will
and laptops) and fixed-use cases
ensures that most ture-rich
see the sales of 5G capable handsets rise.
(namely, home broadband).
attention is fixed 2020 will see a 865 percent increase over

on mobile 5G.

5G Mobile Data

2019 with more than 20 million 5G sets sold.
By 2022, CTA expects roughly 76 percent of
handsets sold in the U.S. to be packing 5G
speeds. As with any new feature, expect to see
5G baked into high-end handsets initially, then moving to
mid-range and lower-end units as time marches on and
coverage blankets the country.

The large-scale rollout of 5G is underway in
Los Angeles, Chicago, Dallas and Atlanta,

nit
U.S. U

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2018

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2019

MAY/JUNE 2019

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131,94

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72,50

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20,25
2020

5G Fixed Data

2021

2022

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The popularity of smartphones ensures that most attention
is fixed on mobile 5G. However, it is entirely conceivable
that fixed 5G has more transformative power for most of
the population. There is a broad swath of the U.S. for whom
truly speedy internet is something to dream about. 5G
promises to change all of that and it's important to understand that 5G does not have to deliver multi-gigabit per
second speeds to unlock a world of services for parts of the
population that currently live with dial-up or satellitebased internet service.
A slow 5G connection, or even a reasonably solid 4G connection, can stream an over-the-top video service with
fairly good results to the home. The economics that keep
wired broadband from being deployed in areas with low
population density can be overcome with smartly deployed
4G and 5G services. In light of this transformative potential, CTA sees roughly 1.5 million 5G home gateways moving in 2019 and as many as nine million by 2022.
There are still many details to be sorted out in the 5G
marketplace including speeds, prices and data caps. But
there is no doubt that the 5G revolution is coming and will
change lives for the better. ■
I T I S I N N O VAT I O N

Alejandro Duran/Alamy

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i3 - May/June 2019

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