Morningstar - Q1 2021 - 49
EXHIBIT 1
4 Two-Step As the name indicates, this method
consists of two steps. In the first step, I maximize
the utility of the overall portfolio without
imposing taxes. In the second step, I perform a
second optimization in which I maximize the
expected return of the overall portfolio (applying
the effective tax rates to the taxable account).
For each asset class, I also constrain the allocation
in the taxable account plus the allocation in
the qualified to equal the optimal allocation from
the first step. At the same time, I constrain
the allocation to each account to equal to its initial
allocation. Note that although in the Separate
method, two optimizations are done in parallel,
each on one account, in the Two-Step method, two
optimizations are performed sequentially, both
for the overall portfolio. Furthermore, in the
second optimization, the objective is to maximize
expected return rather than utility.
To illustrate these four methods, I use the pretax
expected returns that I obtained using reverse
optimization. For example, on U.S. large-cap stocks,
the pretax expected return is 7.2%; on U.S.
bonds, it is 2.3%; and on cash, it is 2%. I also use
the effective tax rates that I obtained from
the model of aftertax returns. For example, on U.S.
large-cap stocks, the effective tax rate is
22.79%; on all taxable fixed income, it is 40%.
The Results
E X H I B I T 1 shows asset allocation and location
for the 10 asset classes that I worked with in the
two previous issues of Quant U. It shows that
there can be substantial differences between the
methods in both asset allocation and location.
For example, the Joint method allocates 14.3% of
the overall portfolio to U.S. bonds, placing the
entire allocation in the tax-advantaged account. In
contrast, the Two-Step method allocates 21.8%
of the overall allocation of the portfolio to U.S.
bonds but places all of it in the taxable account.
Also, only the Separate method makes any
allocation to municipal bonds: 11% of the overall
portfolio of the taxable account.
Asset Allocation and Locations Using Four Methods
U.S. Large-Cap Stocks
Method
Joint
3.84
shows how much difference the
choice of asset allocation and location has on the
portfolio's expected return, standard deviation,
and utility. In this exhibit, I show a section
of the efficient frontier of the Joint approach,
Method
Joint
8.49
Separate
8.44
Duplicate
7.62
7.62
2-Step
7.62
4.39
9
Duplicate
1.08
0%
Allocation
Duplicate
2.17
2
2-Step
4
Joint
Separate
2-Step
0%
Allocation
14.12
5.97
Separate
5.97
Duplicate
11.93
2-Step
8
16
10.90
Separate
10.90
10.90
Duplicate
21.80
2-Step
2-Step
15
30
Global Bonds ex-U.S.
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Method
Joint
Duplicate
11.86
11.86
2-Step
0%
Allocation
20
40
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
2.17
2.37
0.71
0.71 0.71
1.41
0%
Allocation
2
4
6
10.96
0%
Allocation
6
12
Cash
21.29
1.06
9.64
19.27
Joint
14.31
0%
Allocation
9.64
9.64
Municipal Bonds
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Method
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Duplicate
5.0
32.04
19.13
0%
Allocation
Method
Joint
U.S. Bonds
Separate
4.37
2.5
Global REITs
8.04
5.97
2.18
0%
Allocation
1.08
Emerging-Markets Stocks
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Method
Method
Joint
2.18
Separate
2-Step
Duplicate
Duplicate
Joint
3.68
1.08
2.18
Global Developed-Market ex-U.S. Stocks
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Method
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Separate
0.05
Separate
18
U.S. Small-Cap Stocks
Method
Joint
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
2-Step
10.85
0%
Allocation
Separate
EXHIBIT 2
U.S. Mid-Cap Stocks
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Method
Joint
Taxable Account
Tax-Advantaged Account
Separate
0.05
11.86
Duplicate
0.05
23.71
12
2-Step
7.62
0.05
0.09
0%
Allocation
0.05
0.10
Source: Morningstar.
morningstar.com/lp/magazine
49
http://www.morningstar.com/lp/magazine
Morningstar - Q1 2021
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