International Educator - July/August 2018 - 23

What's Next
The longer-term trends in international enrollment represent a mixed bag. Global economic pressures-including
increasing urbanization and automation driving the
need for a higher-skilled workforce, among others-will
lead to continued growth in postsecondary enrollment
worldwide. And even with current concerns about
immigration, the number of internationally mobile
higher education students is projected to rise by more
than 50 percent over the next decade and a half, according to UNESCO.
How many of those students will come to the United
States and other traditional receiving countries, however, remains open for debate, particularly in light of
efforts to create quality seats elsewhere in the world. The
StudyPortals report projects 1 percent annual increases in
international student enrollment across 15 high-income
countries through 2030, resulting in 412,000 additional
international students. A British Council report released
in January projects 1.7 percent annual growth among all
mobile international students between 2015 and 2027.
In both cases, numbers are projected to drop from
the 5.7 percent annual growth seen between 2000 and
2015. While China and India will retain the lion's share of
outbound students through 2027, new sending countries

like Nigeria and Nepal are growing in importance (see
facing page).
All told, 163 million more 25- to 34-year-olds will
have a tertiary degree in 2030 than in 2013, according to
StudyPortals-and that's a good thing for internationalization worldwide, experts say.
"The silver lining is that the world's economy will
continue to improve, and international students coming
into the middle class will continue to grow," WES's
Wright says. "You may have a competitive marketplace,
but if there are a lot more students, everyone benefits."
As a result, it is unlikely that the flow of international students to the United States will come to an end.
But these trends suggest that institutions will have to
employ highly differentiated strategies that play to their
strengths, while some ultimately may have to explore
other avenues to internationalization.
"Many highly ranked schools are going to weather
these storms more easily than other institutions,"
says Kacenga.
"We need to anticipate the trends and be adaptable,"
adds Benhaida. "We can sit around and say this is what's
happening around the world and it's out of our control,
or we can come up with strategies." n
MARK TONER is an education writer based in Washington, D.C.

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J U L + AU G . 2018 INTERNATIONAL EDUCATOR

23  


http://go.csun.edu/international

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of International Educator - July/August 2018

From the Desk of
In Brief
Global Spotlight: Brazil
Quick Questions
Feature: A Shock to the System
Feature: Something Old, Something New
Feature: Building on Strengths
Feature: Weathering the Storm
Education Abroad
International Student Affairs
International Enrollment
International Education Leadership
Forum
In Focus
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Cover1
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Cover2
International Educator - July/August 2018 - GF1
International Educator - July/August 2018 - GF2
International Educator - July/August 2018 - GF3
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 2
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 3
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 4
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 5
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 6
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 7
International Educator - July/August 2018 - From the Desk of
International Educator - July/August 2018 - In Brief
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 10
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 11
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 12
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 13
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 14
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Global Spotlight: Brazil
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Quick Questions
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 17
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Feature: A Shock to the System
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 19
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 20
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 21
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 22
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 23
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Feature: Something Old, Something New
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 25
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 26
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 27
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 28
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 29
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 30
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 31
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Feature: Building on Strengths
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 33
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 34
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 35
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 36
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 37
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Feature: Weathering the Storm
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 39
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 40
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 41
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 42
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 43
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Education Abroad
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 45
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 46
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 47
International Educator - July/August 2018 - International Student Affairs
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 49
International Educator - July/August 2018 - International Enrollment
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 51
International Educator - July/August 2018 - International Education Leadership
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 53
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Forum
International Educator - July/August 2018 - 55
International Educator - July/August 2018 - In Focus
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Cover3
International Educator - July/August 2018 - Cover4
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