Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 15

appraisal Bombardier DHC-8-Q4000 John Keitz President, BK Associates, Inc. Tel: 516-365-6272 john.keitz@bkassociates.com Background The DHC-8-Q400 is the latest model in a family of turboprop commuter aircraft from Bombardier, Inc. deHavilland Aircraft of Canada, Ltd. was established in 1928. Although it was purchased by Bombardier in 1992, the early models in the family were introduced under the deHavilland name; thus, the “DHC” designation. It was certified in June 1999 and entered service in February 2000. It has two PW150 series engines and an extended fuselage allowing seating for 70-78 passengers. The “Q” designation— Q100, Q200, etc.—for “quiet” denotes a cabin sound suppression system. Current Fleet and Backlog by Region as of March 2009 Region Africa/Middle East Asia/Pacific Europe Latin America/Caribbean North America Undisclosed Total No. of Operators InFirm Total Percentage Service Orders 4 5 13 1 6 0 29 6 46 107 0 72 2 233 12 11 43 4 38 6 114 18 57 150 4 110 8 347 5 17 43 1 32 2 100 Current and Future Market Outlook Considering the current state of the global economy and its impact on the aircraft market, the Q400 is doing remarkably well. None are listed as being available for sale. The order backlog of 114 aircraft extends to 2013, some 80 of these orders were only placed in the past year and some 60 were delivered in the past year. The first available delivery slot is several years out. There are 10 ex-SAS aircraft in storage but we understand they have already been dealt and are awaiting delivery. About one year ago three landing gear collapse accidents led SAS to cease operating the Q400 and returned the aircraft to lessors. Although the final accident reports are not out, there is evidence that the gear collapse was not the result of aircraft design; in fact, SAS has ordered 14 more for its affiliate airline. Increased fuel costs and the volatility of is price plus the improved cabin noise and vibration suppression system have rejuvenated the market for turboprops, in general, and the Q400 in particular. According to USDOT data (from U.S. airlines only), direct operating cost, which is largely infl uenced by fuel cost, is $22.80 per block hour per seat. Basic Specs Wing Span: 93.25 ft. Length: 107.75 ft. Maximum Takeoff Weight: 64,500 lbs Maximum Landing Weight: 61,750 lbs Maximum Zero Fuel Weight: 57,000 lbs Operating Weight Empty: 37,887 lbs Fuel Capacity: 11,500 U.S. lbs Passenger Configuration: Up to 78 All Economy Seats Range With 70 Passengers: 1,360 n.mi. Yr. Of Mfgr. CMV 2009 Base Value in $ Millions (2.5% infl ation) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2009 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 10.65 12.90 15.15 17.40 19.60 10.65 12.90 15.15 17.40 19.60 9.95 12.00 14.10 16.20 18.25 9.15 11.00 12.90 14.70 16.55 8.65 10.25 11.80 13.35 14.95 8.20 9.55 10.85 12.20 13.50 7.95 9.20 10.40 11.65 12.90 7.55 8.80 10.00 11.20 12.45 7.30 8.55 9.80 11.05 12.30 7.05 8.25 9.40 10.65 11.80 6.70 7.95 9.20 10.45 11.65 5.80 7.05 8.30 9.50 10.80 The aircraft values stated herein are the product and property of independent third-party sources, and ISTAT neither approves nor endorses the information contained herein or the use thereof for any purpose whatsoever. Information current as of 3/16/09. Jetrader 15

Jetrader - May/June 2009

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Jetrader - May/June 2009

Jetrader - May/June 2009
A Message from the President
Contents
Calendar/News
So Long, Scottsdale
Tough talk
A Forward View
Aircraft Appraisals
From the ISTAT Foundation
Aviation History
Advertising Indices
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Jetrader - May/June 2009
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Cover2
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - A Message from the President
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 4
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Contents
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 6
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Calendar/News
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - So Long, Scottsdale
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 9
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 10
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 11
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Tough talk
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - A Forward View
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 14
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Aircraft Appraisals
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 16
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - From the ISTAT Foundation
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 18
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Aviation History
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 20
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - 21
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Advertising Indices
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Cover3
Jetrader - May/June 2009 - Cover4
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