Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 22

appraisal

Airbus A330-200
Tom Burke mba | morten beyer & agnew Tel: 703-276-3200 tburke@mba.aero

Background
The A330-200 is one of the five variants of the Airbus A330/A340 family. Launched in June 1987, the family is essentially the same aircraft adapted for seating capacity and stage length. They have extensive cockpit commonality, as well as the same cabin and cargo compartments, and a significant proportion of their spare parts are common. The twin engine A330-300 was designed with flexibility for a wide variety of route structures, typically seating 295 passengers in three-class configuration for flights of up to 5,500 nm (10,200 km). It first entered service in 1994. The A330-200, launched in November 1995 and entered service in 1998, has a longer

range of up to 6,450 nm (12,000 km) and typically seats 253 passengers.

Current Market

The A330 has been very competitive in the medium-to-long range market since entering service in 1993. Initially the larger -300 was very popular, however the longer range -200 has definitely taken the spotlight as carriers developed more longrange, point-to-point routes. As shown in the table to the left, the A330-200 enjoys a solid worldwide customer base with 339 aircraft active for 61 operators. The aircraft is offered with three different engine types, with the Trent 700 series being the most prevalent. For the appraisal of a particular aircraft, engine type is a point of A330-200 Aircraft by Region significance. The A330 competes directly with the Boeing 767 and Region No. Operators No. Aircraft 777 in the current market. There North America 3 17 are no other significant appraisal 4 21 South America points for maximum take-off, landing, or payload weight for the Europe 24 104 A330-200. Africa 4 15 Middle East C.I.S. Asia Pacific Rim Year Mfr 7 1 4 14 Current Market Price 2010 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 42.30 47.40 53.10 59.50 66.87 76.07 93.00 2010 47.00 52.66 59.01 66.11 74.08 83.00 93.00 2012 40.84 46.20 52.27 59.12 66.88 75.66 85.59 2014 35.15 40.15 45.85 52.37 59.81 68.13 78.02 78 5 23 76

which will tend to keep both aircraft and engine values strong. Also, the A330-200F made its first flight November 2009 with first deliveries set for summer 2010. It will be capable of carrying a 141,000 lb (64 tonne) payload over a range of 4,250 nm, which makes it a formidable competitor to the 767-300F. The A330-200 is also the basis for the Multi-Role Tanker Transport (MRTT) that is competing to replace up to 159 KC-135 tankers of the United States Air Force. The future for the A330 series is very bright, and future values should hold very well in the marketplace.

Values
The Current Market Price and Base Value for years out to 2020 are shown in the table below. These values assume an aircraft in mid-time/mid-life status, in good overall condition, in standard airline configuration, and specifications most common for this type aircraft. Forecast values are shown in (then) current year millions of dollars at an assumed inflation rate of 2.0 percent compounded annually. Our value opinions are derived from extensive interaction with the industry, knowledge of actual market transactions, comparisons and contrasts among similar aircraft models, and various analytical and forecasting techniques.

Future Market Outlook
There is currently an order backlog of more than 150 A330 type aircraft. This will keep the production line open for several years, Base Values

2016 29.97 34.56 39.85 45.95 52.98 61.09 70.44

2018 25.31 29.46 34.30 39.93 46.48 54.11 63.00

2020 21.17 24.88 29.24 34.37 40.39 47.48 55.80

Source: mba Future Aircraft Values 2010-2030. The aircraft values stated herein are the product and property of independent third-party sources, and ISTAT neither approves nor endorses the information contained herein or the use thereof for any purpose whatsoever. Information current as of June 2010. 22 The official publication of the International Society of Transport Aircraft Trading

November 2007 photo by H.Gousse © Airbus S.A.S. 2007



Jetrader - July/August 2010

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Jetrader - July/August 2010

Jetrader - July/August 2010
A Message from the President
Contents
Calendar/News
Q&A: James Rigney
Funding Fundamentals
Appraisal Methodology 101
Icelandair faces Eyjafjallajökull
Legal Issues Clouded by Ash
Aircraft Appraisals
The Changing Landscape of Aircraft Financing
Aviation History
From the ISTAT Foundation
Advertiser.com/Advertiser Index
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Jetrader - July/August 2010
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Cover2
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 3
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 4
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - A Message from the President
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 6
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Contents
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 8
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Calendar/News
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 10
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Q&A: James Rigney
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 12
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Funding Fundamentals
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 14
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Appraisal Methodology 101
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 16
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 17
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Icelandair faces Eyjafjallajökull
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 19
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Legal Issues Clouded by Ash
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Aircraft Appraisals
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 22
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - The Changing Landscape of Aircraft Financing
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Aviation History
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - 25
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Advertiser.com/Advertiser Index
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Cover3
Jetrader - July/August 2010 - Cover4
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