JED - January 2012 - (Page 24)

On the Bounce? By Dr. David L. Rockwell In August 2011, insurgents shot down a U.S. Army CH-47 Chinook heavy-lift transport helicopter during fighting in eastern Afghanistan, killing 30 Americans and eight Afghans aboard. Though this event caught the public eye, and it was the deadliest single loss for American forces in the decadeold war, it was only one of more then seventy U.S. “Combat Hostile Action” rotorcraft losses suffered during Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) and Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF). A rarelyquoted study written by Mark Crouch of the Institute for Defense Analyses and Dennis Lindell of the Joint Aircraft Survivability Program Office for the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) in 2009 analyzes in great detail the cause of these 70 shootdowns from October 2001 through September 2009, along with 305 other Combat Non-Hostile and Non-Combat losses. The data are revealing. There is now no question that all classes of helicopter need better protection. A primary goal of the study was to determine if protection has improved since the Vietnam War. The conclusion is that yes, combat loss rates (CLR) are substantially lower today; the 2001-2009 rotary-wing CLR was 7 times lower than during the Vietnam War. However, hostile action losses have spread more equally to all types of helicopters – in OEF/OIF, 35 attack and observation helicopters were lost, as were 35 cargo and utility helicopters, with similar CLRs; in Vietnam, the CLR was twice as high for attack/ observation helicopters. The Vietnam legacy has perhaps driven efforts to equip attack helicopters with protection first, but in OEF/OIF, there were nearly four times as many fatalities in cargo/utility losses. Regarding the threat, the majority of these helicopter losses were caused by infrared (IR) guided man-portable air defense systems (MANPADS). In OEF/ OIF, the report states, only 31 percent of losses and 14 percent of fatalities were caused by small arms and automatic weapons. (However, small arms and automatic weapons were the prevalent threats attacking helicopters.) No reported rotary-wing losses have been caused by radar-guided weapons in OEF/ OIF. Given the ongoing development and proliferation of IR-guided threats, the need for IRCM systems is only likely to increase in the future. This article will present Teal Group Corp.’s ten-year forecast of the US IRCM market primarily for missile warning system (MWS) and directed IRCM (DIRCM) systems. BEGINNINGS: LAIRCM & ATIRCM The DIRCM market has risen with – and will decline with – Northrop Grumman’s AN/AAQ-24(V) Large Aircraft IR Countermeasures (LAIRCM) system, which evolved from the USUK Nemesis DIRCM program in the 1990s. Optimized for large transport aircraft such as C-5s, C-17s, and C130s, LAIRCM is the past decade’s most DIRCM MARKET IR Jammer Market Forecast RDT&E+Procurement Available to the U.S. 1400.0 1200.0 1000.0 800.0 600.0 400.0 200.0 0.0 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 LAIRCM+AAQ-24 Other IRCM CAGR: -8.9% (FY11-16); -6.4% (FY11-20) (FY11 $ Millions) ATIRCM Commercial CIRCM

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JED - January 2012

The View From Here
Conferences Calendar
Courses Calendar
From the President
The Monitor
Washington Report
World Report
US IRCM Market Forecast
USMC Moves Out on Air-Land EW
Book Review
EW 101
AOC News
Views from the AOC Convention
Index of Advertisers
JED Quick Look

JED - January 2012