JED - January 2012 - (Page 6)

the view f ro m h e re COMMERCIAL? GOING JANUARY 2012 • Vol. 35, No. 1 EDITORIAL STAFF Editor: John Knowles Managing Editor: Elaine Richardson Senior Editors: Glenn Goodman, John Haystead Technical Editor: Ollie Holt Contributing Writers: Dave Adamy, Barry Manz, David Rockwell Marketing & Research Coordinator: Heather McMillen Sales Administration: Esther Biggs T 6 The Journal of Electronic Defense | January 2012 his month’s JED features an IR countermeasures (IRCM) forecast written by Dr. David Rockwell. It has been a while since JED last published an IRCM forecast, and this one is interesting because it projects significant growth in the commercial aircraft market. Although there is a long history of commercial aircraft being shot down by IR MANPADS (at least 24 confirmed incidents in the past 35 years), this threat has not impacted the industry enough to drive very much spending on IRCM systems. Serious interest developed after the 9/11 attacks, as some governments began to recognize the vulnerability of commercial aircraft and the critical role that air travel plays in their national economies. This concern became more acute in the wake of two incidents in which an Israeli commercial aircraft was attacked in Kenya in 2002 and an air freight carrier was attacked in Baghdad in 2003. After these events, even most skeptics grudgingly acknowledged that the IR threat to commercial aircraft was indeed very real. The Israeli government responded by equipping many of its larger commercial aircraft with flare-based IR countermeasures systems, and these have recently been upgraded with directed IR countermeasures (DIRCM) systems. In the US, the Department of Homeland Security funded a pair of DIRCM evaluations and a couple of ground-based directed energy demonstrations. Not much came of these efforts after they were completed, although the Air National Guard is showing interest in at least one of the DIRCM systems. Also, a European EW company has sold a small number of flare-based IRCM systems for commercial transport aircraft. If you look beyond the small number of IRCM systems sold to the commercial market, the commercial user has, in fact, made an impact on IRCM technology development. There has been a greater concentration on system cost and installation, and the DHS demonstration program certainly helped to improve the reliability of DIRCM systems. These advances have made efforts such as the US Army’s CIRCM program more affordable and more effective. But even advanced solutions like CIRCM still fall short of what the commercial airlines really want. That is the big question that reaches well beyond the commercial airlines: “What types of EW solutions do commercial users really want?” Is there a commercial market for ESM systems that can detect and geolocate GPS jammers? Will communications jammers ever become widely used in the US as they are in other countries where movie theaters, restaurants, museums and other businesses want to restrict annoying mobile phone use? How about the non-military government market for systems such as IED jammers? These questions intrigue me because I often wonder if the EW market, as we know it, will someday flip, with the commercial EW market becoming larger and more important than the military EW market. Will the commercial market attract new companies that develop EW solutions only for commercial users? If that does eventually happen, few of us will probably see it in our lifetime. But it’s never too early to start thinking about it. – John Knowles EDITORIAL ADVISORY BOARD Mr. Tom Arseneault President, Electronic Systems, BAE Systems Mr. Chris Bernhardt President, ITT Exelis Electronic Systems Mr. Gabriele Gambarara Elettronica S.p.A. Mr. Itzchak Gat CEO, Elisra CAPT John Green Commander, EA-6B Program Office (PMA-234), NAVAIR, USN Mr. Micael Johansson Senior Vice President and Head of Business Area, Electronic Defence Systems, Saab Mr. Mark Kula Vice President, Tactical Airborne Systems, Raytheon Space and Airborne Systems LTC James Looney Chief, Electronic Warfare Division, Directorate of Training and Doctrine, Fires Center of Excellence, US Army CAPT Paul Overstreet Commander, ATAPS Program Office (PMA-272), NAVAIR, USN Mr. Jeffrey Palombo Senior VP and GM, Land and Self-Protection Systems Division, Electronic Systems, Northrop Grumman Corp. Col Jim Pryor Chief, Electronic Warfare, Operational Capability Requirements Headquarters, USAF Mr. Kerry Rowe Vice President, ISR and Force Protection Systems, Electronic and Mission Systems,The Boeing Company Wg Cdr P.J. Wallace Chief of Staff, Joint Air Land Organisation, UK MOD Dr. Richard Wittstruck Director, System of Systems Engineering, PEO Intelligence, Electronic Warfare and Sensors, USA PRODUCTION STAFF Layout & Design: Barry Senyk Advertising Art: Christina O’Connor Contact the Editor: (978) 509-1450, Contact the Sales Manager: (800) 369-6220 or Subscription Information: Please contact Glorianne O’Neilin at (703) 549-1600 or e-mail The Journal of Electronic Defense is published for the AOC by Naylor, LLC 5950 NW 1st Place Gainesville, FL 32607 Phone: (800) 369-6220 • Fax: (352) 331-3525 ©2011 Association of Old Crows/Naylor, LLC. All rights reserved. The contents of this publication may not be reproduced by any means, in whole or in part, without the prior written authorization of the publisher. Editorial: The articles and editorials appearing in this magazine do not represent an official AOC position, except for the official notices printed in the “Association News” section or unless specifically identified as an AOC position. PUBLISHED JANUARY 2012/JED-M0112/6760

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of JED - January 2012

The View From Here
Conferences Calendar
Courses Calendar
From the President
The Monitor
Washington Report
World Report
US IRCM Market Forecast
USMC Moves Out on Air-Land EW
Book Review
EW 101
AOC News
Views from the AOC Convention
Index of Advertisers
JED Quick Look

JED - January 2012