The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 10

INDUSTRY
SCORECARD

November golf weather impact: Double-digit drop, year sags slightly

N

ovember weather results piled on to the poor October showing (-8%) as Available Rounds change for
the month was -21% at the national level vs. Year Ago
(YA). The increasing magnitude of the drop materially depressed the Year-to-Date (YtD) figure which now approaches
the "red zone" of >-2% (but still currently registering in our
Neutral range though of +/-2%). Regional breadth for the YtD
period remained negative, as more primarily Great Lakes and
North Central regions were pushed into negative territory by
the November weather. This reading now registers 1:3 with 8
weather-favorable regions countered by 23 weather-unfavorable
regions. (The remaining 14 regions are in the neutral zone of

November YtD 2017
Month Capacity Rds, % Change vs. YA .................... -21%
YtD Capacity Rds, % Chng vs. YA .............................. -2%
YtD Up/Down Breadth Ratio ....................................... 1:3
# of Regions Up........................................................ 8
# of Regions Down.................................................. 23
YtD % Utilization Rate (Oct '17) ............................... 51%
YtD % Utilization Rate Pt. Chng vs. YA (Oct '17) .....-1 pts

10 The Pellucid PersPecTive

+/- 2%). Looking at YtD weather impact performance by dayof-week, poor weather countenance is once again concentrated
in weekdays vs. weekends, which should provide some shelter
from the storm. This continues to fulfill the prophecy (oops,
wrong book, it is Advent though), I mean bears out our summer
forecast that the back half of the year was going to be challenging weather-wise and likely depress the full year performance.
For those interested in knowing the extent of the weather damage in Q4, Pellucid subscribers have access each month to our
forecast for '17 year-end GPH for Total US, the comparison to
the 10-year average, the regional breadth details and the day-ofweek breakdowns via the Geographic Weather Impact Tracking
report or Pellucid Publications suite through the Client Login
section at the Pellucid website. Cognilogic facility weather impact subscribers also know these figures for their individual facility (go to www.pellucidcorp.com to subscribe or register for
more information and in exchange we'll send you a sample of
the '17 1st half actual results to review).
Played Rounds data for October published by Golf Datatech
were down as expected but held a consolation prize in that the
deficit was shallower than the previously-published Golf Playable Hours (GPH) results, producing a Utilization Rate gain
for the month. For the YtD period, the October gain continued
to chip away at the Utilization deficit as the long-term pattern
continues of demand basically following weather trends. (For
the optimists, that means barring natural disasters, the sky won't
December 2017


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Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017

TOC
USGA slips bonds of reality with latest thinking on ball regulations
Course closures can be mythbusting
Storied desert club charts new course
November golf weather impact: Double-digit drop, year sags slightly
Atlanta golf market conditions far from peachy
Shark Experience unlikely to break golf ’s chains
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - TOC
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - USGA slips bonds of reality with latest thinking on ball regulations
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 3
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 4
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - Course closures can be mythbusting
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 6
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - Storied desert club charts new course
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 8
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 9
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - November golf weather impact: Double-digit drop, year sags slightly
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 11
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 12
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - Atlanta golf market conditions far from peachy
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 14
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - 15
The Pellucid Perspective - December 2017 - Shark Experience unlikely to break golf ’s chains
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