The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 15

Jan Feb Mar
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
34%
Golf Playable Hours 2023 Monthly % Chng vs. Year Ago
Aug Sep
Apr
May
Jun Jul
Oct
Nov
Dec
34%
YtD Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Source: Pellucid
In the above, we track the monthly and quarterly timeseries view of weather impact (measured by Golf Playable Hours or
GPH) so our readers can see how the year is playing out at the national level. Again, if you want the 45 regional, the 61 markets
or individual facility-specific figures, you can get those by subscribing either to the Pellucid Publications Membership program,
the Geographical Weather Impact reports or Cognilogic (individual facility down to daily level).
The above shows that '23 came in with a " roar " with January's GPH up a strong 34% which is quite a whipsaw from December's
-30% reading. We've already seen the preview of the January rounds from our Golf Market Research Center (GMRC) subscribers
and it looks like our portfolio's demand figures followed favorable weather upward but whether they beat 25%+ to the upside
remains to be seen when we get the full participants' figures. If you were a GMRC subscriber you'd already know both your weather
impact and Utilization for the month and YtD. For the full year the GPH figure is the same with only 1 month of weather in the
books. If you want a look into our weather forecasting " crystal ball " for our '23 year-ahead call at the national level (it's an encouraging
number) you can get that by subscribing to our Geographic Weather Impact tracking. For individual facilities, you can get
our web-based, facility-specific weather forecast service for the next 60 days by subscribing to Cognilogic Foresight (or becoming
a GMRC subscriber).
Pellucid Publications Membership
Geographical Weather Impact
Cognilogic
Jan Feb Mar
8.0
7.0
6.0
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
Utilization Rate 2022 Monthly Point Chng vs. Prior Full Year
Apr
May
Jun Jul
I I I I I I
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
7.0
YtD
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
________________________________________________________________________________________________
4.0
3.4
3.4
3.6
2.8
1.7
0.3
-0.4
-0.2
-1.2
0.7
I I I I I I I I I I I I I
-1.1
Source: Golf Datatech & Pellucid
The above graphic represents a timeseries by month of Utilization change which we're sure that by now you all know is the resultant
of Played Rounds (demand) divided by Available Rounds (capacity). We compare each month back to the static prior Year End
figure (61%) to determine if we improved or lost utilization in the current month.
December's Utilization posted a 3rd consecutive month of gains coming in at +3 pts. The fact that the demand decline was
shallower than the weather dip suggests our organic demand is still healthy exiting '22 and for the year as a whole. Jim's call for
December was a 1-2 point gain so he gets the " W " for that call. For January he's going to conservatively call Utilization " flat " which
would mean rounds demand would be up 25-35%; we'll see. Our GMRC subscribers have already seen their January results from
Golf Revenue down to Discount Rate via the trend and scorecard views for their facility and the summary portfolio of GMRC
participants; you too could be in-the-know by inquiring here.
www.PellucidcorP.com
The Pellucid PersPecTive
15
https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Pellucid-Publications-Membership-National-p235240904 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Monthly-National-&-Regional-Key-Market-Tracking-p235240902 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Cognilogic-Facility-Level-Year-End-Report-Monthly-Updates-p235256610 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Monthly-National-&-Regional-Key-Market-Tracking-p235240902 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/60-Day-Foresight-Snapshot-single-report-p235238734 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Monthly-National-&-Regional-Key-Market-Tracking-p235240902 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Cognilogic-Facility-Level-Year-End-Report-Monthly-Updates-p235256610 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/purchase-reports/Pellucid-Publications-Membership-National-p235240904 https://www.pellucidcorp.com/reports/golf-market-research-center http://www.PellucidcorP.com

The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023

TOC
Forecasting is an art, but ‘23’s “art” for golf looks promising
Contrary to conventional wisdom, market analysis is “essential” not “optional”
9 Activities; larger companies are both investing and cashing out
Jan GPH amazes +34% (wow!); promising start or 1-month anomaly?
Dec Utilization makes modest gain (vs. -30% GPH), full year finishes positive & above 60%
Phoenix in the sports spotlight; market moving in right direction to capitalize on more tourists
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - TOC
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - Forecasting is an art, but ‘23’s “art” for golf looks promising
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 3
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 4
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 5
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 6
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 7
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - Contrary to conventional wisdom, market analysis is “essential” not “optional”
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 9
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 9 Activities; larger companies are both investing and cashing out
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 11
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - Jan GPH amazes +34% (wow!); promising start or 1-month anomaly?
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 13
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - Dec Utilization makes modest gain (vs. -30% GPH), full year finishes positive & above 60%
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 15
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - Phoenix in the sports spotlight; market moving in right direction to capitalize on more tourists
The Pellucid Perspective - February 2023 - 17
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202404
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202403
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202402
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202401
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202312
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202311
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202310
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202309
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202308
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202307
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202306
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202305
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202304
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202303
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202302
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202301
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202212
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202211
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202210
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202209
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202208
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202207
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202206
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202205
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202204
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202203
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202202
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202201
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202111
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202110
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202109
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202108
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202107
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202106
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202105
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202104
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202103
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202102
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202101
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202012
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202011
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202010
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202009
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202008
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202007
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202006
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202005
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202004
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202003
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202002
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202001
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201912
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201911
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201910
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201909
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201908
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201907
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201906
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201905
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201904
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201903
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201902
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201901
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201812
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201811
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201810
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201809
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201808
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201807
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201806
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201805
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201804
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201803
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201802
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201801
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201712
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201711
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201710
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201709
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201708
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201707
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201706
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201705
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201704
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201703
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201702
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201701
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201612
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201611
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201610
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201609
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201608
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201607
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201606
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201605
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201604
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201603
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201602
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201601
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201512
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201511
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201510
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201509
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201508
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201507
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201506
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201505
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201504
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201503
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201502
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201501
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201412
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201411
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201410
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201409
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201408
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201407
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201406
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201405
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201404
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201403
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201402
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201401
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201312
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201311
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201310
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201309
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201308
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201307
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201306
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201305
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201304
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201303
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201302
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201301
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201212
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201211
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201210
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201209
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201208
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201207
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201206
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201205
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201204
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201203
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201202
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201201
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201111
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201110
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201109
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201108
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201107
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201106
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201105
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201104
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201103
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201102
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201101
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201012
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201011
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201010
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201008
https://www.nxtbookmedia.com