The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 10
COMINGS
& GOINGS
15 activities, another month of no closures
S
eptember activity picked up from the August doldrums
of last month's column with Transactions increasing their
pace vs. the '23 monthly trend. We also saw a slight swell
in the Openings (brand new supply or " new dirt " ) and Re-openings.
Colleague Stuart Lindsay comments on the latter type of
new supply in his article this issue outlining the case for why
his crystal ball thinks that's going to be a continuing (and likely
growing) trend. Here's the month's scorecard:
* Opens/Re-opens - 4
* Closeds - 0
* Transactions (continuing golf operations including
For Sales) - 10
* Redevelopments (transactions not continuing as golf
operations) - 0
* Reconfigurations ( Priv-Pub switch, downsize holes,
Priv->Muni ownership etc.) - 1
* Other - 0
The table provides details and commentary for each activity.
For those not into detail (or our entertaining commentary), the
general storyline is that we appear to be in a period of light and
diverse activity (still more transactions than anything) with no
strong trend or pattern to report which drives analysts like us nuts
because we like clear trends, patterns and categorizing things.
Two types of activities that we are observing in this month
and year's activity is the return of golf development as an anchor
to resorts (most of them more remote, destination locations like
Black Desert in the table) as well as transactions of existing facilities
to smaller, regional, niche owner/operators who are building
5-10 course portfolios and appear to be willing to stop there
(Metropolitan Golf Group, Bay Club in CA in this month's roster).
Along with that is a smattering of the public-private transactions
where developers are agreeing to build a golf course or
buy a course with other land concessions by the municipality in
exchange.
It's kind of curious, for example 2020 Acquisitions
can't pay the township for favorable consideration in developing
a property within the township confines but they are allowed to
build an $8M golf course and hand it over to the city in exchange
for " consideration. " It ends up benefitting us in the golf industry
so I guess I'll quit while I'm ahead and we'll see what next
month's crop of activities brings us to explore and scrutinize.
The Shell Bay Club is to be re-introduced in the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, FL DMA
Golf's landscape changes
Course
Event
The Shell Bay
Club
DMA
Type/Holes Summary
Miami-Ft. Lauderdale
FL
PRIV/27 Witkoff Group & PPG Development team w/Greg
Norman to re-introduce the high-end Private
course w/resort & real estate " wrapper " , on intracoastal
waterway, Auberge Resorts Collection
developing resort and " bespoke residences "
Open/Reopen
Stoneybrook
West GC
Orlando-Daytona
Beach-Melbourne
FL
PUB/18
Complicated deal to re-open course which was
shuttered in '18. City bought fm Legends Golf
Orlando for $2.9M in bankruptcy then turned
around and sold to HOA for $2M installment
debt with HOA leasing it out to Rocky Hodge to
operationalize and produce the revenue/rent to pay
all or some of the HOA obligation. Got all that?
10 The Pellucid PersPecTive
OctOber 2023
HTTPS://WWW.SHELLBAYRESIDENCES.COM/SHELLBAYCLUB/
https://www.shellbayresidences.com/SHELLBAYCLUB/
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023
TOC
Better Tools and Data Mean Fewer Answers Left “Blowin’ in the Wind”
Potential 520M Rounds record year is possible
15 Activities, Transactions continue healthy pace with 10
Favorable September keeps Year-to-Date in positive territory
Utilization Surges as Rounds Refuse to Yield to Wilted Weather
For Tampa, at #22, leveraging healthy golfer base is key to breaking Top 20 barrier
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - TOC
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - Better Tools and Data Mean Fewer Answers Left “Blowin’ in the Wind”
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 3
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 4
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 5
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 6
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - Potential 520M Rounds record year is possible
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 8
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 9
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 15 Activities, Transactions continue healthy pace with 10
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 11
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 12
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 13
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - Favorable September keeps Year-to-Date in positive territory
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 15
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - Utilization Surges as Rounds Refuse to Yield to Wilted Weather
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 17
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - For Tampa, at #22, leveraging healthy golfer base is key to breaking Top 20 barrier
The Pellucid Perspective - October 2023 - 19
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202501
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202412
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202411
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202410
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202409
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202408
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202407
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202406
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202405
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202404
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202403
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202402
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202401
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202312
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202311
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202310
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202309
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202308
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202307
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202306
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202305
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202304
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202303
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202302
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202301
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202212
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202211
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202210
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202209
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202208
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202207
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202206
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202205
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202204
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202203
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202202
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202201
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202111
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202110
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202109
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202108
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202107
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202106
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202105
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202104
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202103
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202102
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202101
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202012
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202011
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202010
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202009
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202008
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202007
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202006
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202005
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202004
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202003
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202002
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_202001
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201912
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201911
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201910
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201909
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201908
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201907
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201906
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201905
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201904
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201903
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201902
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201901
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201812
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201811
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201810
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201809
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201808
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201807
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201806
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201805
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201804
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201803
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201802
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201801
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201712
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201711
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201710
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201709
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201708
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201707
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201706
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201705
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201704
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201703
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201702
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201701
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201612
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201611
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201610
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201609
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201608
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201607
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201606
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201605
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201604
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201603
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201602
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201601
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201512
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201511
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201510
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201509
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201508
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201507
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201506
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201505
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201504
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201503
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201502
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201501
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201412
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201411
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201410
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201409
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201408
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201407
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201406
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201405
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201404
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201403
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201402
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201401
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201312
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201311
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201310
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201309
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201308
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201307
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201306
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201305
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201304
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201303
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201302
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201301
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201212
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201211
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201210
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201209
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201208
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201207
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201206
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201205
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201204
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201203
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201202
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201201
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201111
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201110
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201109
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201108
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201107
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201106
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201105
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201104
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201103
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201102
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201101
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201012
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201011
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201010
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pellucid/perspective_201008
https://www.nxtbookmedia.com