HRO Today Research the job security index. Worker perceptions about the likelihood of a raise increased by 14.3 points from the second quarter of 2019 to 121.8 in the third quarter-only the third time the index has risen over 10 points from the prior quarter. Both males and females felt more confi dent about getting a raise, with 37.3 percent of males and 29.2 percent of females anticipating a raise of at least 3 percent at their next review. In terms of age, study fi ndings show that as employees get older, they are more likely to believe that their wages have stagnated. Just over one-third (35.1 percent) of individuals between the ages of 45 and 54 believe they will receive a raise of 3 percent or more after their next review, marking the fi rst time that over 35 percent of this age segment has felt that way. The belief in the likelihood of a promotion rose in the third quarter to 133.9. The likelihood of promotion [74] HRO TODAY MAGAZINE | DECEMBER 2019 index rose 23.9 points from last quarter, the largest increase since the inception of the study. This was driven by more females feeling that a promotion was likely, up 6.2 percentage points from the second quarter to 22.1 percent. Respondents with annual incomes over $100K felt the most optimistic about the likelihood of promotion, with 36.1 percent believing a promotion was likely. This income group has the most disposable income, and consumer spending directly impacts the GDP. The Worker Confi dence Index has correctly predicted the direction of consumer confi dence for the next quarter's end in 14 of the last 18 quarters. The third quarter of 2019 WCI suggests that the average quarterly Consumer Confi dence Index will increase at the conclusion of the fourth quarter. To view the entire report, visit www.hrotoday.com.http://www.hrotoday.com