Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 48
Ingredient Markets
Market commentary for one-week period ended August 10, 2012
Sweeteners
Sweetener markets were in a “waitand-see” mode last week as the sugar side awaited the start of early harvesting of sugar beets this week and the corn sweetener segment got its first glimpse at this year’s drought-reduced corn crop. Sugar beet and cane growers gathered for the 29th International Sweetener Symposium in Coeur d’Alene, Idaho, early last week where they heard forecasts for the first sugar surplus in four years and potentially still lower prices for next year. Sugar trading was slow, and nearby prices were steady. Bulk refined sugar for 2012 held mostly in the range of 42@45c a lb f.o.b. Midwest, and around 43@45c on the West coast. Trading for next year also was slow as users still were in no rush to buy with the possibility of lower prices. Prices eased slightly to 38@41c a lb f.o.b. Midwest, with West coast prices said to be in the “low 40s.” Speakers at the Symposium forecast 2012-13 prices may fall to around 35c a lb f.o.b. Midwest. Some clarity was added Friday, when the U.S. Department of Agriculture released 2012 U.S. corn, sugar beet and sugar cane crop forecasts and its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates. In its Aug. 10 WASDE, the U.S.D.A. projected the carryover of sugar on Oct. 1, 2013, at 1,497,000 tons, raw value, down 251,000 tons, or 14%, from July and down 233,000 tons, or 13%, from a downwardly revised 1,730,000 tons estimated for 2012.
The 2013 stocks-to-use ratio was 12.6%, down from 14.7% projected in July and compared with 14.7% in 2012. The 2012 stocks-to-use ratio was lowered from 15.4% in July. The numbers confirmed the abundant supply of sugar available in the current year but trimmed the projected 2012-13 supply due to a 79,000-ton cut in beginning stocks and a 172,000-ton cut in imports from Mexico. For Mexico, the U.S.D.A. increased its projection of 2012-13 domestic sugar use by 123,000 tonnes, actual weight, and reduced exports by 147,000 tonnes, which supports the trade’s forecast that Mexico will import less U.S. high-fructose corn syrup and export less sugar next year. U.S. 2012 sugar beet production was forecast at 35,336,000 tons, up 23% from 2011, while sugar cane production was seen at 31,359,000 tons, up 7%. Concern about effects of the drought on the beet crop diminished as the harvest in the Red River Valley and in Michigan was expected to begin by mid-August, about two weeks earlier than usual. The U.S.D.A. forecast 2012 U.S. corn production at 10,779 million bus, down 13% from 2011. The smaller crop was expected to boost 2013 corn sweetener values by 5c a lb or more from 2012. There was limited activity in corn sweeteners ahead of Friday’s reports. FBN
Edible Oils
Bookings of edible oils were limited last
week. Price changes were mixed. Soybean oil prices advanced. Soybean oil futures prices traded lower through midweek but bounced to finish higher for the week. The cash basis on soybean oil showed little change. The U.S.D.A. on Aug. 10 tightened its forecast for 2011-12 soybean ending stocks to 145 million bus from 170 million as the July forecast, primarily because of increased exports. Soybean 2010-11 ending stocks were 215 million bus. The U.S.D.A. also lowered its forecast for the carryover of soybeans on Sept. 1, 2013, to 115 million bus from 130 million bus as the previous projection. The U.S.D.A. lowered its production estimate for soybeans to 2,692 million bus from 3,050 million bus as the July forecast and compared with 3,056 million bus in 2011. Soy complex futures prices advanced strongly in response to the forecasts. The U.S.D.A. forecast the carryover of soybean oil on Oct. 1, 2013, at 1,295 million lbs, down 35% from the July projection and down 50% from 2,585 million lbs as the estimate for 2012. Most soybean oil users on market dips in the previous few weeks completely covered their needs through September with some extending coverage into the fourth quarter. Palm oil prices eased, but most of the U.S. buying for the baking season was completed earlier. The premium asked for refined canola oil compared with soybean oil futures widened to 4.75c a lb. FBN
Beet and cane sugar
f.o.b. plant, cents per lb
Sweeteners
Delivered basis, cents per lb HFCS spot price1
HFCS list price2 Regular — Change from — Year corn Aug. 10 Aug. 3 July 27 ago syrup3 Dextrose 42% HFCS wet 55% HFCS wet Aug. 10 Year ago Midwest beet 42.00 @ 45.00 — — 57.00 23.375 27.875 net 173/8@ 213/8 153/8@ 193/8 33.85@37.85 26.625 East Pacific beet 43.00 @ 45.00 — +1.00 57.00 Midwest 24.925 29.425 net 32.85@36.85 28.175 Midwest Cane* 42.00 @ 45.00 — — 59.00 Northeast 18¾@ 22¾ 16¾@ 20¾ 25.125 29.625 net *Spot raw plus 7% plus 9.6c with 2% cash discount. Southeast 187/8@ 227/8 167/8@ 207/8 35.85@39.85 28.375 West 24.625 29.125 net Southwest 18½@ 22½ 16½@ 20½ 27.875 Raw cane 25.325 26.825 net West 193/8@ 233/8 173/8@ 213/8 28.575 Delivered refiner, cents per lb 1-Variations in prices often tied to tank car versus truck deliveries. 2-Prices are the lowest available to the publication. 3-Regular 42 DE/43 Baume, f.o.b. tank cars, trucks Contract Nearby August-September October-December January-March April-June July-September — Change from — Aug. 10 Aug. 3 July 27 29.50 +.75 +.60 29.50 +.75 +.60 29.50 +.25 +.15 29.10 -.55 +.10 29.20 -.50 +.15 29.25 -.50 +.30 Year ago 39.25 39.25 39.25 39.25 40.00 39.75
Chicago soybean oil futures
Bulk in tank cars, cents per lb Aug. 10 — Change from — Delivery close Aug. 3 July 27 August 53.60 +1.56 +1.56 September 53.78 +1.50 +1.55 October 53.99 +1.52 +1.57 December 54.41 +1.53 +1.60 January 54.65 +1.51 +1.58 March 54.83 +1.46 +1.57 Year ago 54.60 54.16 54.33 54.65 54.92 55.16
Edible oils
Bulk, cents per lb — Change from — Year Aug. 10 Aug. 3 July 27 ago Soybean oil, Decatur 52.25 Loose lard, Chicago 51.75 Edible tallow, Chicago 48.50 Cottonseed oil, Miss. PBSY 53.75 Palm oil, ports 46.75 Palm kernel oil, ports 49.50 Coconut oil 51.00 Peanut oil, Southeast 110.00 Corn oil, Decatur 59.00 Sunflowerseed oil, Midwest 75.00 Canola oil, Midwest 58.25 +1.50 -1.00 -1.75 +1.25 -.25 — -2.00 — +.50 — +2.25 +1.50 53.50 +.50 63.25 -3.50 60.75
Spot soybean oil
Decatur, Ill., bulk cents per lb
61.00 55.00 49.00 43.00 37.00 31.00 A N F
Previous Year
Crude soybean oil
Bulk in tank cars, cents per lb Delivery Decatur, Ill. August 52.10 @52.35 September 52.28 @52.53 October 52.49 @52.74 November 52.70 @52.95 December 52.91 @53.16 January 53.15 @53.40 February 53.24 @53.49 Western points 51.60 @51.85 51.78 @52.03 51.99 @52.24 52.20 @52.45 52.41 @52.66 52.65 @52.90 52.74 @52.99
+1.25 53.50 -2.75 54.25 -2.25 -2.00 61.75 84.00
— 93.50 +2.00 64.25 — 95.00 +2.25 59.00
M
Current Year
48
FOODBUSINESS NEWS
®
August 14, 2012
Food Business News - August 14, 2012
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Food Business News - August 14, 2012
Food Business News - August 14, 2012
Ralcorp consolidating segments in St. Louis
F.D.A. study on added sugars opposed
2012: A pivotal year for sweeteners
Table of Contents
Web Contents
Editorial - Even with drought, corn’s centrality accelerates
Dean Foods earnings rise; WhiteWave i.p.o. planned
Calavo expands avocado packing operations in Mexico
Tyson income down 61% in quarter on charge
Campbell completes Bolthouse Farms acquisition
General Mills finalizes purchase of Yoki
Tracey Belcourt to executive v.p. of strategy at Kraft
ConAgra to acquire Unilever frozen meals business unit
Coca-Cola unveils new operating structure
Paul Grimwood to lead Nestle USA
Welch’s hires v.p. of international
Restaurant performance strong, but outlook weakens
Fresh Del Monte Produce earnings rise
TreeHouse earnings rise 36% in quarter
Maple Leaf exec sees ‘confusion’ around gluten-free products
Weak European market stifles Kellogg’s second-quarter results
Washington - Transparency focus of F.D.A. recall procedures
Food processing: Telling the other side of the story
Omega-3s enter the beverage aisle
Ingredient Innovations - Weathering the guar gum market
Investigation of xanthan gum imports moves forward
Ingredient Trends - Condiments with a dash of innovation
New Food Products
Supplier Innovations and News
Ingredient Market Trends
Ingredient Markets
Classifieds
Marketplace
Ad Index
Food Business in the News
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 2012: A pivotal year for sweeteners
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 2
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 3
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Table of Contents
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 5
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Web Contents
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 7
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 8
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Editorial - Even with drought, corn’s centrality accelerates
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Calavo expands avocado packing operations in Mexico
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Tracey Belcourt to executive v.p. of strategy at Kraft
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Welch’s hires v.p. of international
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 13
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Restaurant performance strong, but outlook weakens
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 15
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Fresh Del Monte Produce earnings rise
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 17
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 18
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 19
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 20
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - TreeHouse earnings rise 36% in quarter
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 22
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Maple Leaf exec sees ‘confusion’ around gluten-free products
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 24
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Weak European market stifles Kellogg’s second-quarter results
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 26
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 27
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Washington - Transparency focus of F.D.A. recall procedures
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 29
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Food processing: Telling the other side of the story
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 31
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Omega-3s enter the beverage aisle
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 33
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 34
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Ingredient Innovations - Weathering the guar gum market
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Investigation of xanthan gum imports moves forward
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 37
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Ingredient Trends - Condiments with a dash of innovation
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 39
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - New Food Products
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 41
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 42
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 43
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Supplier Innovations and News
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 45
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 46
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Ingredient Market Trends
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Ingredient Markets
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 49
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 50
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 51
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 52
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 53
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 54
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 55
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 56
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Classifieds
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 58
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Marketplace
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 60
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Ad Index
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - Food Business in the News
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 63
Food Business News - August 14, 2012 - 64
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