Milling & Baking News - February 24, 2009 - 26

Data

Durum semolina output in 2008 decreases 5.7%
WASHINGTON - Production of
straight semolina and durum flour by
U.S. mills in 2008 decreased to a threeyear low of 30,921,000 cwts, down
1,882,000 cwts, or 5.7%, from the near
record 32,804,000 in 2007, according
to the Census Bureau of the U.S. Department of Commerce. This was the
smallest durum semolina production

Production of durum wheat
products, grind by quarter
Quarter

Semolina
Durum wheat
output
grind
(1,000 cwts) (1,000 bus)

2008
Oct-Dec-08
Jul-Sep-08
Apr-Jun-08
Jan-Mar-08
2007
Oct-Dec-07
Jul-Sep-07
Apr-Jun-07
Jan-Mar-07
2006
Oct-Dec-06
Jul-Sep-06
Apr-Jun-06
Jan-Mar-06

Per cent
extraction
rate

7,867
7,549
7,636
7,869

17,316
16,593
16,771
17,621

75.7%
75.8%
75.9%
74.4%

8,202
8,418
7,885
8,299

19,079
18,937
18,178
18,921

71.6%
74.1%
72.3%
73.1%

8,234
7,929
7,713
8,072

18,915
18,590
17,850
18,250

72.6%
71.1%
72.0%
73.7%

since 30,838,000 cwts in 2005. Output
in 2008 still was up 3,962,000, or 14.7%,
from the recent low of 26,959,000 in
2004. It was 6.1% below record output
of 32,930,000 cwts in 2001.
Statistics on durum semolina issued
since 2000 are not strictly comparable
with earlier years because of a change
in the data. Beginning in 2000, the
Census Bureau said: "Prior to the first
quarter 2000, these data included only
establishments classified in Flour Milling, NAICS 311211. These data now include pasta manufacturers if they have

and operate a flour mill on site and are
producing straight semolina flour or
blended semolina durum flour from
flour they have milled."
The North American Millers' Association provides funding to the Census Bureau in support of the compilation of these statistics.
At 30,921,000 cwts, semolina and
durum flour output in 2008 was only
the 11th largest in a series dating back
to 1966. The record semolina output
occurred in 2001, at 32,930,000 cwts.
Data are not available to determine
how much of the semolina output
and durum grind fluctuations experienced in the 1990s reflected structural
changes in the industry as durum
milling capacity expanded at semolina plants. Many in the industry believe the true peak in production was
in the late 1990s.
In the first year of the semolina series, 1966, production was 12,441,000
cwts, which is the low.
The decrease of 1,883,000 cwts in
2008 followed three years of increases
that started with a gain of 3,879,000
cwts in 2005 following a five-year
low in 2004 and continuing with increases of 1,110,000 in 2006 and then a
gain of only 856,000 in 2007. Prior to
this, there were three successive annual reductions starting with 519,000
in 2002 followed by 2,720,000 in 2003
and 2,732,000 in 2004 resulting in the
recent low. Output in 2001 was up
1,181,000 cwts. Comparing old and
new numbers for 2000 shows a gain of
5,663,000. Prior to the change in 2000
and the resulting upward adjustment,
semolina output had decreased three
straight years.
The 1999 decrease of 970,000 cwts
had been greatly overshadowed by a
reduction of 2,420,000 cwts in 1998 and

by the cut of 3,147,000 in 1997. Output
in 1996 rose 1,659,000 cwts and in 1995
it fell 1,667,000. Industry observers attribute these decreases to the impact of
increased production by captive mills
at pasta plants.
Since durum semolina output was
first reported separately in 1966, the
total has increased in 27 years and decreased in 15. The average annual increase for this period was 440,098 cwts.
By quarters in 2008, output ranged
between a high of 7,869,000 cwts in
January-March and a low of 7,549,000
in July-September, while the variation in 2007 was between a high of
8,418,000 in the third quarter and a
low of 7,885,000 in the second.
Durum grind in 2008 totaled
68,301,000 bus, down 9.1% from the
record 75,115,000 in 2007.
By quarters, 2008 grind ranged from
17,621,000 bus in January-March to
16,593,000 in July-September, while the
2007 variation was between 19,079,000 in
the fourth and 18,178,000 in the second.
Based on these statistics, the weighted average extraction rate for semolina in 2008 was 75.5%, compared with
72.8% in 2007, 72.3% in 2006 and 75.8%
in 2005.
Output of straight semolina and durum flour in October-December 2008
totaled 7,867,000 cwts, down 4.1%
from 8,202,000 in the fourth quarter of
2007. It was up 4.2% from 7,549,000 in
July-September.
October-December durum grind totaled 17,316,000 bus, down 9.2% from
19,079,000 in the same quarter of 2007.
The fourth quarter was up 4.4% from
16,593,000 in July-September.
Based on these statistics, the extraction rate for October-December was
75.7%, against 75.8% in July-September and 71.6% in October-December
2006. MBN

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Milling & Baking News

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Milling & Baking News - February 24, 2009

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