Milling & Baking News - June 23, 2015 - 43

Data

X

U.S.D.A. raises all-wheat forecast on
stronger winter wheat prospects

The U.S.D.A. forecast the 2015 hard red
winter wheat crop at 887,461,000 bus, up
34,105,000 bus, or 4%, from the May projection of 853,356,000 bu and up 149,524,000
The U.S.D.A. forecast the 2015 win- bus, or 20%, from 737,937,000 bus in 2014.
WASHINGTON - The U.S. Department
of Agriculture on June 10 forecast wheat ter wheat crop at 1,505,072,000 bus, up The recent ﬁve-year average hard red winproduction in the United States in 2015 33,270,000 bus, or 2%, from the May pro- ter wheat outturn was 854.4 million bus.
The widest increase in hard red winat 2,121 million bus, up 34 million bus jection and up 127,546,000 bus, or 9%,
from the May projection and up 95 mil- from 1,377,526,000 bus in 2014. The fore- ter wheat production compared with the
lion bus, or 5%, from 2,026 million bus. cast for 2015 compared favorably with the May outlook was forecast for Kansas.
The increase in the forecast from the May recent ﬁve-year average (2010-14) winter The crop in that key state was forecast at
314,500,000 bus, up 42,550,000 bus from
outlook was tied to a stronger forecast for wheat production at 1,499 million bus.
The U.S.D.A. left its forecast for winter the May projection and up 68,100,000
winter wheat production.
The all-wheat production forecast was wheat harvested area at 33,838,000 acres, bus, or 28%, from the 2014 Kansas outbased on a revised survey-based forecast which was 5% larger than the 2014 harvest- turn of 246,400,000 bus. The average
for winter wheat production and a spring ed area at 32,304,000 acres. The U.S.D.A. yield in Kansas was forecast at 37 bus
wheat production forecast based on pro- forecast the average winter wheat yield in per acre compared with 32 bus per acre
jected planted area, normal abandonment 2015 at 44.5 bus per acre, up 1 bu per acre as the May projection and 28 bus per
and trend line yields. The ﬁrst survey- from the May projection and up 1.9 bus acre in 2014. The recent ﬁve-year averbased spring wheat production forecast per acre from 42.6 bus per acre as the 2014 age Kansas winter wheat crop was 317.6
will be presented in the July Crop Produc- average yield. The recent ﬁve-year average million bus.
The U.S.D.A. forecast soft red winter
winter wheat yield was 45.9 bus per acre.
tion report, which will be issued July 10.
wheat production in
Winter wheat production by states with comparisons
2015 at 413,750,000 bus,
down 1,859,000 bus
from the May outlook
Change Change
Per cent
from
from
Area harvested
change
and down 41,547,000
May
2014
Per cent
(1,000 acres)
from
bus, or 9%, from
1,000 bus
2015
Bus
Bus
change
2014
2013
2012
2015
2014
2014
455,297,000 bus in 2014.
The recent ﬁve-year avArkansas
19,040
-1,700
(5,845)
-23%
24,885
37,820
24,475
340
395
-14%
erage soft red winter
California
13,000
-1,000
(1,400)
-10%
14,400
27,600
25,925
200
180
11%
wheat production was
Colorado
85,500
2,250
(3,800)
-4%
89,300
40,750
68,200
2,250
2,350
-4%
421.7 million bus.
The U.S.D.A. forecast
Georgia
10,780
-880
(490)
-4%
11,270
21,600
11,500
220
230
-4%
2015 soft white winIdaho
59,220
2,115
820
1%
58,400
63,640
59,200
705
730
-3%
Illinois
37,620
-570
(7,270)
-16%
44,890
56,280
40,960
570
670
-15%
ter wheat production
Indiana
22,570
0
(2,890)
-11%
25,460
31,755
19,095
305
335
-9%
at 191,444,000 bus, up
102,000 bus from the
Kansas
314,500
42,500
68,100
28%
246,400
321,000
382,200
8,500
8,800
-3%
May projection and up
Kentucky
34,310
1,410
(1,900)
-5%
36,210
45,750
27,720
470
510
-8%
18,642,000 bus, or 11%,
Maryland
16,560
1,200
(940)
-5%
17,500
17,420
14,280
240
250
-4%
from 172,802,000 bus in
Michigan
38,760
0
2,870
8%
35,890
44,250
40,660
510
485
5%
2014. The recent ﬁveyear average soft white
Mississippi
8,215
-620
(4,255)
-34%
12,470
22,330
18,240
155
215
-28%
winter wheat production
Missouri
43,200
0
280
1%
42,920
56,145
39,440
720
740
-3%
Montana
101,200
6,900
9,360
10%
91,840
81,700
84,630
2,300
2,240
3%
was 210.8 million bus.
Nebraska
61,320
2,920
(9,730)
-14%
71,050
39,900
53,300
1,460
1,450
1%
The U.S.D.A. forecast hard white winter
New York
6,900
-460
915
15%
5,985
7,820
5,355
115
95
21%
wheat production in
North Carolina 34,560
-1,280 (10,100)
-23%
44,660
52,725
42,180
640
770
-17%
2015 at 12,417,000 bus,
North Dakota
10,780
-440 (16,415)
-60%
27,195
8,600
40,880
220
555
-60%
up 922,000 bus from the
Ohio
38,690
1,590
(1,640)
-4%
40,330
44,800
30,600
530
545
-3%
May projection and up
Oklahoma
114,800
-4,100
67,200
141%
47,600
105,400
154,800
4,100
2,800
46%
927,000 bus, or 8%, from
11,490,000 bus in 2014.
Oregon
41,720
0
1,020
3%
40,700
48,360
51,810
745
740
1%
Pennsylvania
9,920
-480
170
2%
9,750
10,540
8,775
160
150
7%
The recent ﬁve-year avSouth Carolina 8,840
0
(2,600)
-23%
11,440
14,310
11,660
170
220
-23%
erage hard white winter
South Dakota 45,100
-3,300 (14,300)
-24%
59,400
26,130
60,500
1,100
1,080
2%
wheat outturn was 12.3
million bus.
Tennessee
29,110
820
(2,240)
-7%
31,350
40,825
20,790
410
475
-14%
The U.S.D.A. forecast
Texas
120,000 -11,250
52,500
78%
67,500
68,150
95,700
3,750
2,250
67%
the desert durum crop
Virginia
15,300
-675
(2,380)
-13%
17,680
17,980
15,360
225
260
-13%
of Arizona and CaliforWashington
104,160
-1,680
18,880
22%
85,280
115,230
116,900
1,680
1,640
2%
nia at 16,880,000 bus,
Wisconsin
16,330
0
80
0%
16,250
15,370
18,375
230
250
-8%
down 26,000 bus from
Other States
43,067
0
(6,454)
-13%
49,521
58,722
46,877
818
894
-9%
the May projection but
up 6,263,000 bus, or
United States 1,505,072
33,270
127,546
9% 1,377,526 1,542,902 1,630,387 33,838
32,304
5%
59%, from 10,617,000
bus in 2014. MBN
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com

Milling & Baking News XJune 23, 2015 / 43
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Milling & Baking News - June 23, 2015

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