Milling & Baking News - November 10, 2015 - 16

Data X

Flour production up 1.1% in third
quarter; January-September flat

'10

'11

'12

'13

'14

'15

1,000 cwts

ended June 30. But these numbers
lagged the annual mixed total for
2014, which was 424,950,000 cwts and
the 12-month peak of 424,960,000 cwts
WASHINGTON - Wheat flour Millers' Association (NAMA) panel for the four quarters ended Sept. 30,
production in July-September to- of the largest U.S. mills and subse- 2014. The last numbers compiled by
taled 107,962,000 cwts, up 1.1% from quently were interpolated by Milling Census covered the second quarter
106,826,000 in the same quarter of & Baking News to make the data com- of 2011. The four-quarter aggregate at
2014, according to data issued Nov. 2 parable with earlier statistics issued that point was 413,722,000.
Although NASS, NAMA
by the National Agricultural
(as interpolated) and earlier
Statistics Service (NASS) of the
Third-quarter U.S. flour production
Census statistics are strictly
U.S. Department of Agricul110,000
not comparable, indications
ture. NASS statistics now are
suggest they are close enough
available for five consecutive
107,500
to provide meaningful comquarters and consequently, for
parisons.
the first time, fully comparable
105,000
The 24-hour milling capacity
year earlier numbers became
in
July-September was reported
available. Third-quarter out102,500
by NASS at 1,619,000 cwts, down
put also was up 2.7% from
4,000 from the record 1,623,000
105,114,000 in the second.
100,000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
cwts in the second quarter but
Flour production in the
still 18,000 over a year ago. Cenfirst three quarters of 2015,
covering January-September, totaled by the U.S. Census Bureau as well as sus showed 1,539,000 cwts in the second
quarter of 2011.
316,192,000 cwts, against 316,574,000 the current NASS sourced data.
Average daily grind in July-SepSuggesting the recent downtrend
in the same period of 2014, a decrease
of 0.1%. While the 2015 data were in flour output has been checked, tember was 1,402,000 cwts, up from
assembled solely by NASS, for 2014 the four-quarter wheat flour produc- 1,365,000 in the second and 1,387,000
only the third quarter came from tion total (October 2014-September a year ago.
Based on NASS data, six-day grind
NASS - the January-June numbers 2015) was 424,568,000 cwts, compared
originated from a North American with 423,432,000 for the four quarters in the third quarter was 86.6% of capacity, up from the 11-year low of
84.1% in in the second quarter and a
Compilation on quarterly production of flour,
shade below 86.7% a year ago. The
run rate in the second quarter of 2004
grind of wheat, millfeed output on six-day weekly basis
was 84.1%, which was the lowest
since the first of that year at 84%.The
Average
Census grind in the second quarter of
Flour
Wheat
Daily
flour
Per
production, ground,
Millfeed,
capacity,
per work
cent
2011, the last it issued, was 84.7%.
cwts
bus
tons
cwts
day, cwts operated
All wheat ground for flour during the third quarter of 2015 was
Jul-Sep-15
107,962
236,189
1,708,918
1,619
1,402
86.6%
236,189,000 bus, up 3.8% from the
Apr-Jun-15
105,114
227,467
1,643,116
1,623
1,365
84.1%
second quarter at 227,467,000 and
Jan-Mar-15
103,116
225,289
1,601,309
1,610
1,357
84.3%
1.2% above the third quarter of 2014
at 233,411,000. All of these numbers
Oct-Dec-14
108,376
235,921
1,683,479
1,601
1,407
87.9%
were from NASS. All wheat ground is
Jul-Sep-14
106,826
233,411
1,668,439
1,601
1,387
86.7%
the sum of wheat, excluding durum,
Apr-Jun-14
105,923
227,205
1,656,220
1,578
1,376
87.2%
Jan-Mar-14
103,824
224,727
1,645,987
1,559
1,366
87.6%
ground and durum wheat ground.
Millfeed production in the third
Oct-Dec-13
110,332
238,815
1,724,546
1,553
1,433
92.3%
quarter of 2015 was 1,708,918 tons, up
Jul-Sep-13
106,598
230,731
1,655,419
1,553
1,384
89.2%
4% from 1,643,116 in the second and
Apr-Jun-13
104,688
224,079
1,636,901
1,554
1,360
87.5%
2.4% over 1,668,439 a year back.
Jan-Mar-13
102,932
220,094
1,631,834
1,532
1,354
88.4%
The leading state/state grouping in third-quarter flour production
Oct-Dec-12
106,213
232,923
1,660,157
1,534
1,379
89.9%
was Illinois, Indiana and WisconJul-Sep-12
108,754
238,496
1,688,890
1,535
1,431
93.2%
sin at 10,223,000 cwts, up 3.5% from
Apr-Jun-12
101,936
223,544
1,593,876
1,527
1,324
86.7%
Jan-Mar-12
103,462
226,890
1,640,246
1,523
1,344
88.2%
9,873,000 a year earlier. This group of
states accounted for 9.5% of the naOct-Dec-11
105,998
232,452
1,656,798
1,522
1,377
90.5%
tional output, against 9.2% in the third
Jul-Sep-11
105,410
228,159
1,636,962
1,519
1,369
90.1%
quarter of 2014.
Apr-Jun-11
100,313
216,420
1,568,498
1,539
1,303
84.7%
California was second at 7,507,000
Jan-Mar-11
100,024
218,223
1,585,737
1,539
1,316
85.5%
cwts in July-September, gaining 2.3%
over 7,335,000 a year earlier. It proOct-Dec-10
104,792
226,867
1,637,949
1,544
1,361
88.1%
duced 7% of the total, against 6.9% a
Jul-Sep-10
108,593
234,623
1,686,395
1,550
1,410
91.0%
year back.
Apr-Jun-10
101,479
219,191
1,567,214
1,546
1,318
85.2%
Third in the quarter was Kansas,
Source: U.S. Department of Agriculture
Veris
Census
turning out 7,326,000 cwts, up 7.1%
16 / November 10, 2015 XMilling & Baking News

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