Milling & Baking News - January 2, 2018 - 30

Export and Trade Issues

World flour trade forecast in '17-18
holds at all-time high, barely
up from 2,388,000 tonnes in 2016-17.
Uzbekistan was projected to import
900,000 tonnes this year, down 200,000
tonnes from August but up slightly

World flour exports

from 870,000 tonnes in 2016-17. Sudan was projected to import 700,000
tonnes, down from 820,000 tonnes as
the August forecast but still up from

1890

SQF LEVEL 2 CERTIFIED

Milling & Baking News

17,000**

16,900*

16,612

14,206

13,499

14,920

13,026

12,990

12,850

12,480

12,037

Source: International Grains Council

* Michigan White and Red Wheat
Pastry Flour
* Hard Wheat Flours
* Whole Wheat Specialists
* Super Kleaned WheatTM
* Food Grade Brans
* Heat Treated Flours

30 / January 2, 2018

11,004

2000-01 2002-03 2004-05 2006-07 2008-09 2010-11 2012-13 2014-15 2016-17

Q UA L I T Y
Since

11,168

10,586

10,207

8,909

8,531

8,824

(includes durum and semolina)
1,000 tonnes of grain

LONDON - Significant changes in
global flows of flour were projected
in the latest 2017-18 forecasts of the
International Grains Council, but aggregate global trade totals were left
unchanged by the I.G.C. from its August outlook.
World flour trade in the current
crop year was projected at a record
17 million tonnes (wheat equivalent), up slightly from a revised
16,900,000 tonnes in 2016-17 and
up from 16,612,000 in 2015-16 and
14,206,000 in 2014-15.
While the total figure was left unchanged, the import forecast was
adjusted from the last report for
more countries than not. Among the
largest importers, Afghanistan flour
imports were forecast at 2,750,000
tonnes, up 60,000 tonnes from the
August projection and up from
2,480,000 tonnes in 2016-17. Iraq, the
second largest flour importing country, was forecast at 2,600,000 tonnes,
up 50,000 tonnes from August and

600,000 tonnes in 2016-17. Brazil's
flour imports were projected at 700,000
tonnes, up 50,000 from the I.G.C. forecast in August and up 100,000 tonnes
from last year.
The Council made fewer adjustments in forecasts for flour exports
in 2017-18 by country. Turkey, by far

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ZZZNLQJIORXUFRP

*estimate **forecast

the largest flour exporter globally,
was projected at 5,450,000 tonnes
in 2017-18, unchanged from August
and up from 5,318,000 in 2016-17.
Kazakhstan, the second largest flour
exporter, was projected at 3,350,000
tonnes, up 150,000 tonnes from August and up from 3,194,000 tonnes in
2016-17.
Projected exports from the E.U.-28
were 950,000 tonnes, down 200,000
tonnes from August and down from
1,100,000 tonnes in 2016-17. Ukraine
flour exports were forecast at 600,000
tonnes, up 50,000 from August and
up from 562,000 tonnes in 2016-17.
U.S. flour exports in 2017-18 were
forecast at 450,000 tonnes, unchanged
from August and down from 466,000
tonnes in 2016-17.
Estimates for several flour importers, and a few exporters, were adjusted for 2016-17.
Imports by Uzbekistan last year
were revised to 870,000 tonnes, down
from the August estimate of 1 million tonnes; Afghanistan to 2,480,000
tonnes, from 2,580,000 tonnes in August; Angola to 790,000 tonnes from
770,000; and Sudan to 600,000 tonnes
from 800,000 tonnes. Figures for numerous smaller importers were adjusted as well.
In the case of exporters, Argentine
exports in 2016-17 were pegged at
1,008,000 tonnes, up 5,000 tonnes;
Kazakhstan, at 3,194,000, up 3,000
tonnes; Russia, 276,000 tonnes, up
19,000 tonnes; and Iran, 320,000, up
60,000 tonnes. MBN
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com
http://www.bakingbusiness.com http://www.world-grain.com http://www.kingflour.com
Milling & Baking News - January 2, 2018

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