Milling & Baking News - September 11, 2018 - 46

Data

Adverse weather lowers Canadian
wheat, canola prospects
OTTAWA - Lower yields due to poor
weather in Canada are expected to reduce
2018 production of all major grains except
durum and barley, including all from 2017
wheat down 3.3% and canola down 10%,
Statistics Canada said in its first surveybased crop forecast of the season.

"Wheat conditions, including lowerthan-average precipitation in several parts
of Canada, are expected to drive down
production and lower anticipated yields
for some crops," Statistics Canada said in
its Production of Principal Field Crops, July
2018 report released Aug. 31. "In addition,

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high temperatures in some areas may have
contributed to an expected decrease in production and average yields for some crops."
Production of all wheat was forecast at
28,987,300 tonnes, down 996,900 tonnes,
or 3.3%, from 29,984,200 tonnes in 2017,
Statistics Canada said. Spring wheat other than durum was forecast at 21,559,400
tonnes, down 607,300 tonnes, or 2.7%,
from 22,166,700 tonnes last year. Winter
wheat outturn was estimated at 2,394,200
tonnes, down 461,100 tonnes, or 16%,
from 2,855,300 tonnes in 2017.
But durum production was forecast
at 5,033,700 tonnes, up 71,500 tonnes, or
1.4%, from 4,962,200 tonnes last year.
"Total harvested area of wheat in Canada is expected to increase 9.4% from 2017,
to 24.3 million acres in 2018," Statistics
Canada said. "Total yields at the national
level are expected to fall 11.5%, from an
average of 49.6 bus per acre in 2017 to
43.9 bus per acre in 2018."
Provincially, all wheat production in
top-producing Saskatchewan was forecast at 12.8 million tonnes, down 0.8%
from 12.9 million tonnes last year, due
to a forecast 13.5% increase in harvested
area in 2018 more than offset by a 13% reduction in average yield.
Canola production was forecast at
19,162,100 tonnes, down 2,165,900 tonnes,
or 10%, from 21,328,000 tonnes in 2017.
The reduction was based on harvested area
forecast at 22.5 million acres, down 1.7%
from 2017, and an average yield of 37.5 bus
per acre, down 8.5%, Statistics Canada said.
Production in Saskatchewan was forecast
at 10.1 million tonnes, down 10%, in Alberta at 6 million tonnes, down 12%, and in
Manitoba at 2.9 million tonnes, down 8%.
Oats production in 2018 was forecast at
3,304,700 tonnes, down 428,400 tonnes, or
11%, from 3,733,100 tonnes last year.
Production of corn for grain was forecast
at 13,788,800 tonnes, down 306,500 tonnes,
or 2.2%, from 14,095,300 tonnes in 2017.
Soybean production was forecast at
7,010,200 tonnes, down 706,400 tonnes, or
9%, from 7,716,600 tonnes last year. Soybean production had been increasing annually for several years.
Of the key crops, the only increase in
production was forecast for barley at
7,991,600 tonnes, up 100,300 tonnes, or
1.3%, from 7,891,300 tonnes in 2017 as
an 11.5% increase in harvested area more
than offset an expected 9% decline in average yield.
Production, harvested area and average yield forecasts were based on a survey of 13,110 Canadian farmers taken
from July 6 to Aug. 1. Final 2018 production estimates will be released Dec. 6 and
are subject to revision for two years, Statistics Canada said. MBN
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Milling & Baking News - September 11, 2018

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