Milling & Baking News - November 19, 2019 - 32

Data

Flour milling production dips
1.4 million cwts in third quarter
Continued from Page 1

most recent 12-month total eroded to
422,075,000 cwts, the smallest four-quarter figure since July-September 2013.
U.S. 24-hour capacity in July-September was a record 1,674,210 cwts, up
from 1,646,760 in the second quarter and
1,642,731 a year back. The prior high was
1,647,831 in January-March of this year.
Flour mill operating rate in JulySeptember was 82.9%, up from 82%
in the second quarter but down from
86.7% a year ago. The current grind
was the lowest for the third quarter
in recent decades. The prior July-September low was 85.1% in 1985. The
January-September average grind was
82.5%, against 84.5% a year earlier.
Wheat grind in the third quarter

Quarterly U.S. wheat
flour production

January-September
flour production

million cwts

in 1,000 cwts
294,627
300,931
311,773
312,065
310,941
312,604
305,747
314,152
314,218
316,574
316,099
315,623
317,565
319,153
314,357

115

was 231,775,000 bus, down 0.5% from
232,938,000 a year ago; it was up 3% over
225,056,000 bus in the second. Aggregate
wheat grind in the first three quarters of
2019 was 680,181,000 against 686,712,000
in the same period of 2018, down 1%.
The extraction rate for July-September
was 76.8%, compared with 77% in AprilJune and 77.4% a year ago. Extraction
for the three quarters was 77% against
77.4% in January-September 2018.
Millfeed production in July-September totaled 1,659,494 tons, up 1.9% from
1,628,236 a year back. Millfeed production rose 2.5% from 1,618,622 tons in
April-June. The nine-month total for
millfeed in 2019 was 4,860,317 tons, up
0.6% from 4,829,669 a year ago.
Disproportionately contributing to

110
105
100
95
90

the drop in flour output from a year
ago, semolina production in July-September totaled 7,501,000 cwts, down
376,000 cwts, or 4.8%, from 7,877,000
in the third quarter of last year; it was
down 1.6% from 7,622,000 cwts in
April-June. January-September semolina production totaled 23,028,000
cwts, down 2.6% from 23,651,000 a
year earlier, which was the highest
three-quarter number since NASS began tracking flour milling production.
Durum grind in the third quarter
aggregated 15,928,000 bus, down 4.5%
from 16,677,000 bus a year ago. It was
down 0.6% from 16,017,000 bus in
April-June. January-September grind
came to 48,415,000 bus, down 2.3%
from 49,548,000 a year back.
Semolina mills' rate of grind was
74.2% in July-September, down from
75.4% in the second quarter and 84%
a year ago. It was the lowest figure

Flour grind
Wheat

Ex-semolina

Semolina

90%
85%
80%
75%
70%

2009

2011

2013

2015

2017

2019

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

'05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19
Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

Compilation on quarterly production of flour,
grind of wheat, millfeed output on six-day weekly basis

'19

Per
cent
operated Extraction

Jul-Sep-19
Apr-Jun-19
Jan-Mar-19

106,828
103,929
103,600

231,775
225,056
223,350

1,659,494
1,618,622
1,582,201

1,674,210
1,646,760
1,647,831

1,387
1,350
1,363

82.9%
82.0%
82.7%

76.8%
77.0%
77.3%

'18

Average
flour
per work
day, cwts

Oct-Dec-18
Jul-Sep-18
Apr-Jun-18
Jan-Mar-18

107,718
108,237
105,304
105,612

231,661
232,938
226,627
227,147

1,628,348
1,628,236
1,594,864
1,606,569

1,642,331
1,642,731
1,642,731
1,641,631

1,399
1,424
1,368
1,372

85.2%
86.7%
83.3%
83.6%

77.5%
77.4%
77.4%
77.5%

'17

Millfeed,
tons

Daily
capacity,
cwts

Oct-Dec-17
Jul-Sep-17
Apr-Jun-17
Jan-Mar-17

108,834
108,392
104,468
104,705

235,086
234,279
224,487
223,964

1,641,094
1,641,303
1,578,569
1,586,308

1,619,601
1,619,601
1,619,601
1,619,601

1,432
1,408
1,357
1,378

88.4%
86.9%
83.8%
85.1%

77.2%
77.1%
77.6%
77.9%

'16

Flour
Wheat
production, ground,
cwts
bus
-(1,000)-

Oct-Dec-16
Jul-Sep-16
Apr-Jun-16
Jan-Mar-16

108,080
107,891
103,823
103,909

232,642
233,391
224,382
224,220

1,659,496
1,687,374
1,613,972
1,595,910

1,619,801
1,619,801
1,615,001
1,615,969

1,404
1,401
1,348
1,349

86.7%
86.5%
83.5%
83.5%

77.4%
77.0%
77.1%
77.2%

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service, U.S.D.A.

32 / November 19, 2019

Milling & Baking News

Q3 Q2 Q1 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
2014 2015 2016
2017 2018 2019

Source: National Agricultural Statistics Service

for durum milling capacity utilization
in four years, or 71.9% in April-June
2015. Extraction for the quarter came
in at 78.5%. down from 79.3% in AprilJune and 78.7% a year back.
Flour ex-semolina in July-September totaled 99,327,000 cwts, down
1,033,000, or 1%, from 100,360,000
in the third quarter of 2018. It was
3.1% over 96,307,000 in the second
quarter. January-September totaled
291,329,000 cwts, down 1.5% from the
record 295,502,000 in the first three
quarters of 2018. It was the lowest
since 290,318,000 in 2013. The second
largest was 294,155,000 cwts in 2017.
Rye flour production during the
third quarter of 2018 was 218,000
cwts against 204,000 in the second
and 211,000 a year ago. Rye output in
the nine months totaled 632,000 cwts
against 670,000 a year ago.
Leading state and state groupings
in third-quarter flour output included
Illinois, Indiana and Wisconsin turning out 11,282,000 cwts, up 2.6% from
a year back. California was second at
7,916,000 cwts, up 0.8%; followed by
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