Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 22

Transportation and Distribution

and food products) and "all other" carloads were the only categories to show
gains in April. For the year to date
through May 2, total carloads were
down 12%, intermodal was down 11%
and combined carloads were down
11%. The only positive group (out of
10) was "all other" up 3.6%, while
farm products excluding grain were
down 1.5%. The AAR tracks 10 major
traffic groups that include 20 distinct
categories.
"To no one's surprise, the pandemic
made April a challenging month for
rail traffic," said John T. Gray, senior
vice president at the AAR. "The 25.2%
year-over-year decline in total rail carloads was the worst decline for total

'Trucks have kept rolling while
the rest of the country stays
locked down, and they'll remain
at the forefront when called to
power our economy back up.'
- Chris Spear,
American Trucking Associations

carloads for any month since our records began in 1989, and the 17.2% decline in intermodal loadings in April
was the worst since the summer of
2009. Coal and autos were by far the
worst-hit commodities in April. We
don't know exactly when it will happen, but our economy - and rail traffic - will rebound."
During April earnings calls, CSX,
Kansas City Southern, Norfolk Southern and Union Pacific all indicated
they would reduce rail capacity because of the drop in freight demand.
"The reason we're reducing train
starts is because volumes are down, and
all we need to do is to have an honest
dialog with our customers about the fact
that we don't think we can serve them
five days a week," Jim Foote, CEO of
CSX, said on an April earnings call.
Grain movement generally was not
a contributing factor to COVID-19-related railroad volume decline. For the
week ended May 2, grain, at 22,653
carloads, was the only commodity
group of 10 to post a gain, up 355 carloads from the same week a year earlier. Year-to-date grain carloads totaled
369,112, down 6% from the same period last year. Farm products excluding
grain for the week tumbled 16% from
a year ago.
Rail deliveries of grain to US ports
totaled 106,324 carloads through April
29, down 26% from the same period a
22 / May 19, 2020

Milling & Baking News

year earlier, according to USDA data,
although the average over the prior
four weeks was down only 11% from
the same four weeks a year earlier and
was down a mere 2% from the fouryear average.
Because of the reduced tonnage, and
generally favorable weather, rail freight
rates have been favorable for shippers.
Average May shuttle train secondary
bids and offers were $149 (per car)
below tariff for the week ended April
30, down $39 from a week earlier and
down $59 from the same week a year
ago, the USDA said. Non-shuttle bids
and offers were lacking. Non-shuttle
trains as of April 30 for June delivery
were down $88 per car, with no bids or
offers reported for July cars for either
non-shuttle or shuttle trains.
First-quarter rail tariff rates for shipping wheat to the PNW and the Gulf
from both Kansas and North Dakota
were unchanged from the OctoberDecember period. Compared with
the first quarter of 2019, first-quarter
2020 rates to the PNW were up 1%
from Kansas and were down 2% from
North Dakota, while rates to the Gulf
increased 2% from Kansas and were
up 1% from North Dakota.
Grain inspected for export from US
ports during the first quarter totaled
25.2 million tonnes, down 15% from
the first quarter of 2019, down 18%
from the five-year average and the
lowest since 2013.
"The decline stemmed mainly from
progressively lower demand in Africa and Europe," the USDA said. "All
three grains - corn, wheat and soybeans - registered a decline."
The only area to post an increase was
the "interior" because of record shipments to Mexico during the quarter.
Combined wheat, corn and soybeans
inspected for export for the respective marketing years to date as of May
7 were 82,810,443 tonnes, down 10%
from the same period a year earlier,
which indicates lower grain transportation demand. Cumulative all-wheat
exports were 23,436,677 tonnes, up 2.7%
from a year earlier, corn exports were
25,012,035 tonnes, down 32%, and soybeans were 34,361,731 tonnes, up 5%.
Barge traffic up; ocean freight down
Grain barge movement on the Mississippi, Illinois, Ohio and Arkansas
rivers, which is mainly corn and soybeans, for the year to date to May 2
was up 15% from the same period a
year ago, with corn at 5,268 loads, up
22%, soybeans at 3,899 loads, up 19%,
wheat at 558 loads, down 30%, and

other grains at 30 loads, down 41%,
according to the USDA.
Dry bulk ocean freight was one
of the sectors "most affected by the
COVID-19 outbreak worldwide" in
the first quarter of 2019, the USDA
said in its April 16 Grain Transportation report. Ocean freight rates typically drop from the global new year
through the Lunar New Year, which
this year nearly coincided with the
onslaught of COVID-19. While rates
dropped from the fourth quarter of
2019, most still were up from a year
earlier. It was noted that demand to
ship coal and steel were most affected.
"Despite multiple reasons for the
slowdown, its outsized impact on China - including COVID-19's first hot
spot in Wuhan - caused much of the
slump in bulk trade, leading to lower
freight rates," the USDA said.
China represents 33% of the world's
dry bulk trade, according to Drewry
Maritime Research, Inc.
"Since the beginning of January,
ocean freight for shipping bulk commodities (including grains) have continued to drop, mirroring the slump
in global bulk trade," the USDA said.
"Despite rallying slightly between
Feb. 13 and March 5, rates (also) have
continued to decline since then."
The cost of shipping grain from the
US Pacific Northwest to Japan was
down 12% from October-December
but up 1% from a year earlier and up
16% from the average. Rates from the
US Gulf to Europe were down 22%
from the final quarter of 2019, down
11% from the first quarter and down
1% from the average. The pandemic
ultimately may drive ocean freight
rates higher, the USDA said, since 56%
of new ship building tonnage in 2020
and 67% in 2021 was scheduled to
come from China.
Container shipping was devastated
by the pandemic, largely because of the
slowdown in trade with Asia, and with
China in particular. The ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach, which make up
the San Pedro Bay complex, handle 25%
of all US exports and 40% of containerized imports. It was estimated that US
retail container port imports in March
were the lowest in five years, which
reverberated through the rail industry
(intermodal) and the trucking industry.
Demand for grain transportation, of
course, will be affected by the size of
the 2020 crops, recovery of the ethanol
market, ongoing export demand and
other factors, not the least of which is
COVID-19. MBN
- Ron Sterk
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com


http://www.bakingbusiness.com http://www.world-grain.com

Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020

Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 1
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 1
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 2
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 3
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 4
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 5
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 6
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 7
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 8
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 9
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 10
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 11
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 12
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 13
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 14
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 15
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 16
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 17
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 18
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 19
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 20
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 21
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 22
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 23
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 24
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 25
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 26
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 27
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 28
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 29
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 30
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 31
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 32
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 33
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 34
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 35
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 36
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 37
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 38
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 39
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 40
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 41
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 42
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 43
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 44
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 45
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 46
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 47
Milling & Baking News - May 19, 2020 - 48
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_05_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_05_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_04_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_04_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_03_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_03_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_02_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_02_11
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_01_28
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2020_01_14
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_12_31
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_12_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_12_03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_11_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_11_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_10_22
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_10_08
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_09_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_09_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_08_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_08_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_07_30
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_07_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_07_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_06_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_06_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_05_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_05_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_04_23
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_04_09
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2019_03_26
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_03_12
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_02_26
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_02_12
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_01_29
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_01_15
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2019_01_01
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_12_18
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_12_04
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_11_20
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_11_06
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_10_23
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_10_09
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_09_25
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_09_11
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_08_24
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_08_14
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_07_31
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_07_17
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_07_03
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_06_19
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_06_05
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_05_22
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_05_08
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_04_24
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_04_10
http://digitalmbn.bakingbusiness.com/sosland/mbn/2018_03_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_03_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_02_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_02_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_01_30
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_01_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2018_01_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_12_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_12_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_11_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_11_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_10_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_10_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_09_26
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_09_12
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_08_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_08_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_07_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_07_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_06_20
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_06_06
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_05_23
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_05_09
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_04_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_04_11
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_03_28
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_03_14
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_02_28
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_02_14
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_01_31
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_01_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2017_01_03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_12_20
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_12_06
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_11_22
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_11_08
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_10_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_10_11
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_09_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_09_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_08_30
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_08_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_08_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_07_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_07_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_06_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_06_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_05_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_05_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_04_26
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_04_12
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_03_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_03_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_03_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_02_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_02_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_01_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2016_01_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_12_22
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_12_08
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_11_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_11_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_10_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_10_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_09_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_09_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_09_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_08_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_08_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_07_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_07_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_06_23
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_06_09
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_05_26
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_05_12
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_04_28
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_04_014
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_03_31
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_03_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/mbn/2015_03__03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_02_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_02_03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_01_20
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2015_01_06
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_12_23
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_12_09
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/mbn_2014_11_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_11_11
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_10_28
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_10_14
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_09_30
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_09_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_09_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/214_08_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_08_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_07_22
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_07_08
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_06_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_06_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_05_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_05_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_04_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_03_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_03_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_02_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_02_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_01_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2014_01_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_12_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_12_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_11_26
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_11_12
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_10_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_09_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_09_03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_08_20
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_08-06
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_07_23
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_07_09
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_06_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_06_11
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_05_28
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_05_14
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_04_30
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_04_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_04_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_03_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_03_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_02_19
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_02_05
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_01_22
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2013_01_08
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_12_25
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_12_11
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_11_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_11_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_10_30
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_10_16
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_10_02
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_09_18
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_09_04
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_08_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_08_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_07_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_07_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_06_26
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_06_12
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_05_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_05_15
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_05_01
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_04_17
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_04_03
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_03_20
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_03_06
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_02_21
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_02_07
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_01_24
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2012_01_10
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_12_27
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_12_13
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_11_29
https://www.nxtbook.com/sosland/mbn/2011_11_15
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