Milling & Baking News - July 28, 2020 - 10

Business

Variability reigns as winter wheat
harvest approaches completion
KANSAS CITY - The finish line
is within sight for the 2020 winter
wheat harvest. For hard red winter
wheat, most of the crop left to be harvested was in the northern Plains of
South Dakota and Montana. In the
case of soft winter wheat, most fields
left to be combined were in northern
Michigan.
The US Department of Agriculture
indicated the hard red winter wheat
harvest was completed in Oklahoma
by July 5 and in Texas by July 12.
Combining by July 19 was 97% completed in Kansas, 79% in Nebraska,
92% in Colorado, 33% in South

"Combines couldn't just go from
field to field to field once they got
into south central Kansas," he said.
"Producers had to scout fields for
readiness, dryness, whether it had
turned sufficiently brown."
Combines moved swiftly through
the state from that point until rains
slowed the last third of the harvest
in the state. By the third week in July,
only about 2% of the Kansas crop,
mostly in the northwest and north
central cropping districts, remained
to be harvested.
The 2020 hard red winter wheat
crop endured a variety of challenges

'When it gets weighted for production, we
still might have a little lower-than-average
protein for the US hard winter crop.'
- Justin Gilpin,
Kansas Wheat

Dakota (34% as the recent five-year
average for the date) and 3% in Montana (9%).
For the US hard red winter crop,
"it's a year with a lot of variability,"
said Justin Gilpin, chief executive officer of Kansas Wheat. "Really good
yields in south central Kansas with
good test weights but lower protein, somewhat offset by a little bit
higher protein in western Kansas,
where yields weren't as good and
test weights ranged widely.
"In a two-week period, as western
Kansas and Colorado samples started
becoming part of the data set, we
went from 11.2% up to 11.8% average protein. It's important to keep in
mind that even though higher protein
was available in those areas, there
were fewer bushels because of the
lower yields. So, when it gets weighted for production, we still might have
a little lower-than-average protein for
the US hard winter crop."
The Oklahoma harvest was conducted under the most ideal conditions in recent memory. That state
managed to pull in a record yield at
42 bus per acre despite a severe lack
of moisture in the panhandle and
some western areas.
But when combines reached the
Oklahoma-Kansas border area, wheat
fields were not uniformly ready for
cutting, Mr. Gilpin observed.
10 / July 28, 2020

Milling & Baking News

that included drought conditions in
the fall and spring, two spring freeze
events and stretches of dry, 90-degree days in June.
Drought stress and heat in parts
of western Kansas, the Oklahoma
panhandle, eastern Colorado and
southern Nebraska adversely affected yields in those areas. These
same stresses during the grain-filling
stage of development led to lower
test weights in eastern Colorado and
western Kansas. At the same time,
drought stress increased proteins in
some of those areas.
Producers also noted increased
prevalence of "yellow bellies" -
softer, plumper kernels that didn't
finish the final development stage
into hard, vitreous kernels. Increased
yellow belly occurrence was attributed to improved genetic characteristics during the past 10 years that
have generated varieties that reach
for a higher end yield goal. In 2020,
amid drought stress that reduced
tillers and freeze events that killed
many primary tillers, wheat in some
areas kept trying to generate new
growth late into the development
period.
"That's how these new genetics really came on to do everything they
could in a stressed condition to produce grain," Mr. Gilpin said.
Ultimately, the yellow bellies would

not have any impact on marketing the
wheat and, in fact, were seen as a positive, Mr. Gilpin said.
"Varieties 10 years ago didn't
have that capability, and breeders
since, from both the public and private sectors, have made advances in
developing higher-yield, more tolerant varieties," Mr. Gilpin said. "The
fact Oklahoma set a record yield and
Kansas was still in the high 40-busper-acre range is a testament to the
improved genetics farmers have
available."
Outside those western areas, the
picture was notably better, especially in the central corridor of Kansas,
Oklahoma cropping districts other
than the panhandle, and in South
Dakota and Montana. Winter wheat
cut in central Kansas featured good
kernel characteristics and outstanding test weights, but generally tested
lower proteins.
The harvest in Nebraska by July 22
was wrapped up in the southwest,
south central and southeast cropping districts. Test weights in those
areas ranged from 55 to 66 bus per
acre with proteins as low as 9% and
in some areas reaching as high as
14%. Combining was nearly finished
in an extremely dry southern panhandle region where producers said
extreme sawfly damage cost between
5 and 15 bus an acre. In the northern panhandle, harvesting was about
70% completed by July 22 after brief
delays caused by rain and hail.
Thanks to moderate temperatures
and good rainfall, the South Dakota
crop seemed likely to see a high buper-acre average even as that state's
total production may be lower due to
lower planted acreage.
"As the harvest progresses north,
the last 20% of the winter wheat harvest - South Dakota, Montana - is
going to finish off with really strong
potential for winter wheat harvesting yields and good kernel characteristics," Mr. Gilpin said.
Meanwhile the soft winter wheat
crop was nearing completion. The
USDA said by July 19, harvest completion was 99% in Missouri (97% as
the recent five-year average), 94% in
Illinois (96%), 96% in Indiana (89%)
and 95% in Ohio (83%).
The later-planted Michigan crop
was 46% harvested by July 19 compared with the recent five-year average for the date at 36%. The first new
crop loads reached elevators eight
days earlier than in 2019, a central
Michigan miller said. MBN
bakingbusiness.com / world-grain.com


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Milling & Baking News - July 28, 2020

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