Milling & Baking News - November 1, 2022 - 34

TUES | 11 01 202 2
IGC revises global flour trade
lower by 300,000 tonnes
LONDON - Reflecting a slower-than-anticipated
start to the 2022-23 marketing
year, the International Grains Council
(IGC) has trimmed its forecast global
wheat flour trade by 300,000 tonnes from
its last update in July, according to the
Grain Market Review, released Oct. 20.
The IGC projected 14 million tonnes of
flour trade this year, which is 1.1 million
tonnes lower than the five-year average
and only slightly higher than the most
recent low of 13.8 million tonnes in 202021.
If realized, it would be the second lowest
wheat flour trade total since 2013-14,
when 13.1 million tonnes were traded.
Linked to tighter envisaged wheat
availabilities, purchases by Iraq, the
world's largest flour buyer, are expected
to increase, with total arrivals pegged at
a five-year high of 2.7 million tonnes (up
from 2.2 million last year), unchanged
from the previous estimate in July.
A slight rebound in deliveries to
Afghanistan also is envisaged in 2022-23,
to 1.8 million tonnes, up from 1.7 million
in 2021-22. Imports by sub-Saharan Africa
may be the lowest in 12 years, forecast at
1.9 million tonnes, down 350,000 tonnes
from last year, with local consumers seen
switching to alternatives amid potentially
elevated prices for wheat-based foods.
Quarterly revisions for import forecasts
included a cut for China, where full-year
arrivals now are placed at a below-average
200,000 tonnes, but still above the prior
season's low level of 100,000.
" While the downgrade in part reflects
relatively slow purchases to date amid local
COVID-19-related measures, the analysis is
complicated by the absence of official trade
statistics for Russia, typically a major supplier
of flour to that country, " the IGC said.
Projected purchases by some buyers in
sub-Saharan Africa also were trimmed
from the previous estimate, the largest
cut being for Angola, to 300,000 tonnes,
seen broadly matching the season before.
" With the bulk of supplies typically
sourced from Turkey, the latest available
export statistics for the latter indicate a
sharp year-over-year drop in shipments
to Angola in July 2022, " the IGC said.
Import numbers also were reduced
slightly for Eritrea and Somalia on
smaller projected deliveries by Egypt, as
well as for Bolivia, where flour importers
Kellogg UK opens Culinary and
Sensory Centre in Manchester
MANCHESTER, UK - Kellogg UK has
opened a new Culinary and Sensory
Centre based at the company's Trafford
Park factory near the Manchester headquarters.
The food innovation center has
taken more than 18 months to complete
and includes a packaging design lab, a
culinary kitchen, a sensory hub and a
small-scale cereal factory, according to
the company.
One of the first innovations produced
by the center was a nearly 20% reduction
of salt in Special K cereal without
adversely affecting the flavor. The center
also offers the opportunity to conduct
new cereal trials, new ingredient tests,
34 MILLING & BAKING NEWS
recipe experimentation and
product invention. In the new
packaging design lab, Kellogg UK
can conduct trials for sustainable
packaging options as it works
toward its goal of 100% reusable,
recyclable or compostable packaging
by the end of 2025.
''As Kellogg's this year celebrates
its 100th anniversary since
launching in the UK, it's incredibly
exciting to be opening a
hub of food innovation as we
look to what's to come for us in
the next 100 years, " said Chris
Silcock, vice president, Kellogg
are almost entirely reliant on supplies
from Argentina, the IGC said.
While Turkey is expected to remain
by far the largest exporter of wheat flour
in 2022-23, the IGC's projection for that
country was scaled back slightly on a
generally sluggish start to the export
season. July shipments of around 300,000
tonnes were down by around 20% yearover-year,
mostly destined for Near East
Asia, notably Iraq, Syria and Yemen. Still,
at 5 million tonnes, the full-year forecast
(including processed secondary trade)
was seen slightly above the recent average
and some 600,000 tonnes higher yearover-year,
according to the IGC.
Reflecting tightening supply outlooks,
export projections for Argentina and the
United States also were lowered during
the past quarter, to 500,000 and 300,000
tonnes, respectively.
Amid a smaller domestic outturn,
coupled with high input and energy
costs for processing, shipments by the
EU are expected to be moderately lower
year-over-year, at 500,000 tonnes, down
slightly from the July update.
Following reports of government
export restrictions in August amid rising
domestic prices, projected flour shipments
by India were lowered to 400,000
tonnes, well short of last year's peak of 1.1
million. MBN
UK. " The space will be the source of new
products, innovative packaging solutions
and reformulation - that will not only be
rolled out across the UK but will be seen
by consumers across Europe. " MBN
From left, Tim McKnight, plant director, Kellogg UK;
Andy Burnham, mayor of Greater Manchester; and
Chris Silcock, vice president, Kellogg UK.
bakingbusiness.com
KELLOGG UK
http://www.bakingbusiness.com
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